Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Grizzlies	16%	99	101	98.1	103	110.8
	12	Rockets	84%	112	132	128.2	103	96.3

Prediction updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+10

-13

100

HOU

+28

-11

120

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.01 50.5%

HOU

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rayan Rupert #32 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 22	41.6	21	66%	12	5	2	1	6	4	2	10	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Toby Okani #5 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	40.9	6	30%	7	1	1	2	0	4	1	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Dariq Whitehead #00 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	39.3	26	62%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	7-10	70%	4-11	36%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 23	38.4	11	46%	1	11	0	2	3	6	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	19.1	4	40%	4	1	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Lucas Williamson #55 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 27	34.9	15	50%	6	3	3	1	2	5	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-10	30%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.8	18	45%	3	1	2	0	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-10	20%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Impingement
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	37	23	8	6	13	24	6	31	10-10	100%	26-46	57%	13-49	27%

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30 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rayan Rupert #32 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 22	41.6	21	66%	12	5	2	1	6	4	2	10	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Toby Okani #5 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	40.9	6	30%	7	1	1	2	0	4	1	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Dariq Whitehead #00 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	39.3	26	62%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	7-10	70%	4-11	36%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 23	38.4	11	46%	1	11	0	2	3	6	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	19.1	4	40%	4	1	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Lucas Williamson #55 · NA · 6'4" 205 · 27	34.9	15	50%	6	3	3	1	2	5	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-10	30%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.8	18	45%	3	1	2	0	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-10	20%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Impingement
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	37	23	8	6	13	24	6	31	10-10	100%	26-46	57%	13-49	27%

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12 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · PF · 6'4" 230 · 30	26.2	13	72%	6	2	1	0	3	1	2	4	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	25.9	19	50%	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	4-12	33%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	23.8	20	56%	8	3	0	0	2	1	2	6	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	23.0	23	82%	13	1	1	3	0	3	7	6	4-7	57%	8-9	89%	1-2	50%
Josh Okogie #20 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 28	21.9	3	25%	4	2	1	1	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%

JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	26.4	9	38%	10	7	1	2	0	0	1	9	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	24.2	6	33%	5	1	1	1	3	2	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	21.0	9	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30	19.8	7	70%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	15.8	11	79%	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	12.0	12	60%	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 23	DND – Rest
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 38	Inactive – Rest
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	Inactive – Rest
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	55%	64	23	10	8	11	10	21	43	22-30	73%	34-56	61%	14-49	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.01 50.5%

HOU

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

68%

HOU

66%

Midrange

MEM

46%

HOU

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

19.5

27%

40%

HOU

21.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

MEM

100%

HOU

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Whitehead	26	62%	13.0 / 21
R. Rupert	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Small	18	45%	9.0 / 20
L. Williamson	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Mashack	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Okani	6	30%	3.0 / 10
T. Gibson	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Capela	23	82%	11.5 / 14
T. Eason	20	56%	10.0 / 18
R. Sheppard	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Tate	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Newton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
I. Crawford	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Davison	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Finney-Smith	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Holiday	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Green	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Okogie	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 8 117.5	MEM 98.1 HOU 128.2 +30.1
Pace	7 101.8 29 96.9	MEM 110.8 +14.5 HOU 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 1 15.8	MEM 13.0 −2.0 HOU 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 17 54.2%	MEM 47.9% HOU 52.4% +4.5%
TO %	22 14.3% 25 14.7%	MEM 11.6% HOU 8.5% −3.1%
ORB %	19 24.7% 1 34.8%	MEM 12.2% HOU 40.4% +28.2%
FTrt	21 25.1 18 26.0	MEM 10.5 HOU 28.6 +18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 27 59.1%	MEM 59.0% +11.1% HOU 47.9%
STL %	11 8.7% 9 8.7%	MEM 7.8% HOU 9.7% +1.9%
BLK %	14 9.1% 4 10.9%	MEM 10.7% HOU 17.4% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 20 56.1%	MEM 50.5% HOU 54.5% +4.0%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 13 64.8%	MEM 68.2% +2.4% HOU 65.8%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 9 44.3%	MEM 45.8% HOU 50.0% +4.2%
3P %	22 35.3% 10 36.4%	MEM 26.5% HOU 28.6% +2.1%
FT %	9 79.3% 25 76.3%	MEM 100.0% +26.7% HOU 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 20 30.7%	MEM 23.2% HOU 36.2% +13.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 29 34.2%	MEM 25.3% HOU 17.1% −8.1%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 28 35.0%	MEM 51.6% +4.9% HOU 46.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	HOU
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	101	132
Rebounds	37	64
Assists	23	23
Steals	8	10
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	24	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	21 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	43 (3)
Field Goals	39-95	48-105
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	25-38
Midrange FG	11-24	9-18
2-Point FG	26-46	34-56
3-Point FG	13-49	14-49
Free Throws	10-10	22-30
Fast Break Pts	14	16
2nd Chance Pts	6	34
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	15	19
Bench Points	33	54
Biggest Lead	4	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg