Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Jazz	31%	112	107	101.9	105	112.6
	15	Lakers	69%	118	131	123.6	106	99.2

Prediction updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+18

-16

107

LAL

+16

-15

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.00 50.0%

LAL

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bez Mbeng #21 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 23	48.0	14	58%	4	9	5	0	4	2	0	4	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	39.2	14	41%	3	6	2	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	5-13	38%	0-2	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	32.1	29	73%	17	3	0	0	3	1	9	8	5-8	63%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	29.4	15	34%	3	1	0	1	3	4	2	1	0-2	0%	6-12	50%	1-9	11%
Blake Hinson #2 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	25.6	10	42%	6	2	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-8	25%

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	27.8	4	33%	7	2	3	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Hayden Gray #33 · NA · 6'4" 190 · 23	24.8	6	75%	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	13.2	15	58%	2	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	50%	42	25	13	4	16	14	17	25	18-27	67%	34-60	57%	7-34	21%

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24 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bez Mbeng #21 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 23	48.0	14	58%	4	9	5	0	4	2	0	4	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	39.2	14	41%	3	6	2	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	5-13	38%	0-2	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	32.1	29	73%	17	3	0	0	3	1	9	8	5-8	63%	12-17	71%	0-0	-
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	29.4	15	34%	3	1	0	1	3	4	2	1	0-2	0%	6-12	50%	1-9	11%
Blake Hinson #2 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	25.6	10	42%	6	2	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-8	25%

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	27.8	4	33%	7	2	3	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Hayden Gray #33 · NA · 6'4" 190 · 23	24.8	6	75%	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	13.2	15	58%	2	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	50%	42	25	13	4	16	14	17	25	18-27	67%	34-60	57%	7-34	21%

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15 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	29.0	22	79%	10	0	1	0	0	3	2	8	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	26.3	5	31%	2	10	1	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	25.6	22	73%	10	1	0	3	0	1	3	7	2-2	100%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	16.6	18	50%	4	6	3	0	4	0	0	4	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 30	11.4	3	75%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	24.8	2	33%	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 22	18.9	11	79%	1	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	17.6	12	55%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	16.4	4	40%	4	2	2	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	15.2	2	50%	6	0	0	1	2	3	4	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	12.0	17	94%	2	4	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	12.0	8	100%	4	2	0	0	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	7.2	3	150%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	7.2	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Injury Management
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Muscle Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	62%	49	37	12	6	15	20	11	38	14-17	82%	36-59	61%	15-34	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.00 50.0%

LAL

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

73%

LAL

76%

Midrange

UTA

44%

LAL

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

10.5

21%

31%

LAL

22.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

UTA

67%

LAL

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Tshiebwe	29	73%	14.5 / 20
A. Bailey	15	34%	7.5 / 22
B. Sensabaugh	15	58%	7.5 / 13
B. Mbeng	14	58%	7.0 / 12
C. Williams	14	41%	7.0 / 17
B. Hinson	10	42%	5.0 / 12
H. Gray	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Konchar	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hachimura	22	79%	11.0 / 14
D. Ayton	22	73%	11.0 / 15
L. James	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. Knecht	17	94%	8.5 / 9
N. Smith	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. James	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Thiero	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Smart	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Vanderbilt	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Kennard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Timme	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. LaRavia	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Kleber	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Mañon	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 10 117.1	UTA 101.9 LAL 123.6 +21.7
Pace	2 103.4 21 99.2	UTA 112.6 +13.4 LAL 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 6 14.8	UTA 12.8 −1.7 LAL 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 2 57.3%	UTA 47.3% LAL 62.9% +15.6%
TO %	23 14.4% 19 13.9%	UTA 13.1% −1.4% LAL 14.5%
ORB %	12 26.2% 22 23.9%	UTA 30.9% +0.3% LAL 30.6%
FTrt	10 27.7 1 32.0	UTA 28.7 +10.4 LAL 18.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 19 61.5%	UTA 61.0% LAL 72.5% +11.5%
STL %	14 8.5% 12 8.6%	UTA 12.4% +1.1% LAL 11.3%
BLK %	30 7.5% 23 8.3%	UTA 6.8% LAL 10.0% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 2 59.4%	UTA 50.0% LAL 61.8% +11.8%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 1 72.0%	UTA 73.1% LAL 75.8% +2.7%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 4 46.8%	UTA 44.1% +1.8% LAL 42.3%
3P %	25 34.5% 14 35.9%	UTA 20.6% LAL 44.1% +23.5%
FT %	13 78.6% 26 76.3%	UTA 66.7% LAL 82.4% +15.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 21 30.7%	UTA 27.7% LAL 35.5% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 26 30.0%	UTA 36.2% LAL 28.0% −8.2%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 22 39.4%	UTA 36.2% LAL 36.6% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	UTA	LAL
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	107	131
Rebounds	42	49
Assists	25	37
Steals	13	12
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	14	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (1)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	38 (3)
Field Goals	41-94	51-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	25-33
Midrange FG	15-34	11-26
2-Point FG	34-60	36-59
3-Point FG	7-34	15-34
Free Throws	18-27	14-17
Fast Break Pts	17	20
2nd Chance Pts	23	13
Points in Paint	50	60
Pts off Turnovers	18	26
Bench Points	25	61
Biggest Lead	0	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg