Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Warriors	23%	105	122	119.6	102	101.0
	21	Suns	77%	114	131	129.7	101	102.1

Prediction updated:

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+22

-16

108

PHX

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.5%

PHX

1.36 68.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yaxel Lendeborg #1 · SF · 6'9" 241 · 24	36.4	26	65%	9	5	0	1	2	0	5	4	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	6-11	55%	+12.2
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	31.2	11	61%	0	1	2	1	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	+5.3
Graham Ike #45 · C · 6'9" 245 · 24	26.4	12	43%	10	2	1	0	1	4	5	5	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-	+4.8
Brandon Williams #12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27	24.2	20	71%	3	5	2	0	2	1	1	2	8-11	73%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%	+10.3
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	23.3	7	44%	4	3	0	0	1	4	2	2	4-8	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	+3.3

De'Anthony Melton #8 · G · 6'2" 200 · 28	26.8	25	83%	5	5	3	0	3	3	1	4	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	4-8	50%	+14.4
Georges Niang #32 · F · 6'6" 230 · 33	23.2	4	22%	4	2	0	0	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-5	0%	−1.6
Gary Payton II #0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 34	17.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+0.3
LJ Cryer #18 · G · 6'0" 200 · 25	14.1	3	30%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	−0.3
Charles Bassey #28 · C-F · 6'10" 230 · 26	12.7	10	100%	7	0	0	2	1	1	2	5	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	0-0	-	+5.7
Malevy Leons #33 · F · 6'9" 210 · 27	4.4	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.5
Draymond Green #23 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	DND – Injury · Bilateral Low Back Soreness
Brandin Podziemski #2 · G · 6'4" 205 · 24	DND – Injury · Bilateral Low Back Injury Management
Stephen Curry #30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right ACL Repair / Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Bilateral Low Back Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · G · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · F-C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	44	24	9	4	16	22	19	25	23-32	72%	24-52	46%	17-39	44%

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16 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yaxel Lendeborg #1 · SF · 6'9" 241 · 24	36.4	26	65%	9	5	0	1	2	0	5	4	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	6-11	55%	+12.2
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	31.2	11	61%	0	1	2	1	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	+5.3
Graham Ike #45 · C · 6'9" 245 · 24	26.4	12	43%	10	2	1	0	1	4	5	5	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-	+4.8
Brandon Williams #12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27	24.2	20	71%	3	5	2	0	2	1	1	2	8-11	73%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%	+10.3
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	23.3	7	44%	4	3	0	0	1	4	2	2	4-8	50%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	+3.3

De'Anthony Melton #8 · G · 6'2" 200 · 28	26.8	25	83%	5	5	3	0	3	3	1	4	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	4-8	50%	+14.4
Georges Niang #32 · F · 6'6" 230 · 33	23.2	4	22%	4	2	0	0	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-5	0%	−1.6
Gary Payton II #0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 34	17.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+0.3
LJ Cryer #18 · G · 6'0" 200 · 25	14.1	3	30%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	−0.3
Charles Bassey #28 · C-F · 6'10" 230 · 26	12.7	10	100%	7	0	0	2	1	1	2	5	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	0-0	-	+5.7
Malevy Leons #33 · F · 6'9" 210 · 27	4.4	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.5
Draymond Green #23 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	DND – Injury · Bilateral Low Back Soreness
Brandin Podziemski #2 · G · 6'4" 205 · 24	DND – Injury · Bilateral Low Back Injury Management
Stephen Curry #30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Knee Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right ACL Repair / Surgery
Al Horford #20 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Bilateral Low Back Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · G · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Patellar Tendon Repair / Surgery
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · F-C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	44	24	9	4	16	22	19	25	23-32	72%	24-52	46%	17-39	44%

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21 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #15 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 30	36.5	43	83%	7	7	0	1	4	1	0	7	7-8	88%	15-18	83%	2-7	29%	+15.9
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	33.8	15	58%	2	5	0	0	2	4	1	1	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%	+4.8
Miles Bridges #22 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	33.3	16	67%	7	3	0	0	0	3	2	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	+8.2
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 20	27.6	9	75%	9	3	1	2	2	4	1	8	4-6	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	+7.5
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 25	26.4	12	60%	2	1	1	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%	+2.3

Collin Gillespie #12 · G · 6'1" 195 · 27	27.9	11	69%	4	9	2	0	2	3	1	3	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	+9.8
Jordan Goodwin #23 · G · 6'3" 215 · 28	20.3	9	56%	2	4	3	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	+8.1
Luke Kennard #8 · G · 6'5" 206 · 30	18.3	11	92%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	+7.4
Ryan Dunn #0 · F · 6'7" 216 · 24	12.8	5	83%	5	0	1	2	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	+4.4
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'10" 245 · 30	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−0.3
Rasheer Fleming #20 · F · 6'9" 240 · 22	DNP
Pat Spencer #61 · G · 6'2" 205 · 30	DNP
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · G · 6'2" 180 · 27	DNP
Koa Peat #18 · F · 6'7" 245 · 20	DNP
Drew Timme #2 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	DNP
Mark Williams #25 · C · 7'1" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Shoulder Surgery
Oso Ighodaro #11 · F · 6'11" 235 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Oblique Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	68%	42	33	9	5	15	22	9	33	17-22	77%	36-49	73%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.5%

PHX

1.36 68.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

55%

PHX

72%

Midrange

GSW

32%

PHX

75%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

25.5

44%

65%

PHX

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

GSW

72%

PHX

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Y. Lendeborg	26	65%	13.0 / 20
D. Melton	25	83%	12.5 / 15
B. Williams	20	71%	10.0 / 14
G. Ike	12	43%	6.0 / 14
W. Richard	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Bassey	10	100%	5.0 / 5
G. Santos	7	44%	3.5 / 8
G. Niang	4	22%	2.0 / 9
L. Cryer	3	30%	1.5 / 5
G. Payton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Leons	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	43	83%	21.5 / 26
M. Bridges	16	67%	8.0 / 12
D. Brooks	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Green	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Gillespie	11	69%	5.5 / 8
L. Kennard	11	92%	5.5 / 6
K. Maluach	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Goodwin	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Dunn	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Reath	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 116.2 14 113.9	GSW 119.6 PHX 129.7 +10.1
Pace	19 99.6 24 98.1	GSW 101.0 PHX 102.1 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 14 14.4	GSW 14.3 PHX 14.1 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 55.4% 11 54.4%	GSW 54.4% PHX 66.3% +11.9%
TO %	19 15.3% 7 13.4%	GSW 13.9% −1.2% PHX 15.1%
ORB %	11 29.0% 23 24.5%	GSW 36.5% +10.0% PHX 26.5%
FTrt	13 28.8 28 22.6	GSW 35.2 +9.6 PHX 25.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 70.0% 13 65.9%	GSW 58.5% PHX 66.0% +7.5%
STL %	15 8.2% 11 8.5%	GSW 8.8% PHX 8.9% +0.1%
BLK %	9 10.7% 20 9.6%	GSW 8.2% PHX 9.6% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.6% 13 56.3%	GSW 56.5% PHX 68.2% +11.7%
Rim FG%	15 62.7% 22 61.0%	GSW 54.5% PHX 72.4% +17.9%
Mid FG%	23 40.5% 3 47.6%	GSW 31.6% PHX 75.0% +43.4%
3P %	1 39.4% 10 36.9%	GSW 43.6% +5.8% PHX 37.8%
FT %	6 81.0% 19 77.7%	GSW 71.9% PHX 77.3% +5.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 27.1% 25 26.6%	GSW 36.3% +2.5% PHX 33.7%
Mid Att. %	16 25.1% 26 31.6%	GSW 20.9% −2.4% PHX 23.3%
3P Att. %	7 47.8% 20 41.8%	GSW 42.9% PHX 43.0% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	PHX
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	122	131
Rebounds	44	42
Assists	24	33
Steals	9	9
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (3)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	33 (1)
Field Goals	41-91	50-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	21-29
Midrange FG	6-19	15-20
2-Point FG	24-52	36-49
3-Point FG	17-39	14-37
Free Throws	23-32	17-22
Fast Break Pts	10	27
2nd Chance Pts	26	9
Points in Paint	48	60
Pts off Turnovers	12	26
Bench Points	46	36
Biggest Lead	7	16

	WAS	101
	IND	114 ◀

	CLE	115 ◀
	NYK	107

	BOS	98 ◀
	TOR	93

	SAS	124 ◀
	CHI	119

	DEN	123 ◀
	MEM	118

	LAL	123 ◀
	MIL	112

	BKN	145 ◀
	NOP	111

	DET	144 ◀
	WAS	140

	DAL	94
	MIN	133 ◀

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg