Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Pacers	75%	123	136	129.5	105	104.7
	29	Nets	25%	115	109	103.8	105	105.3

Prediction updated:

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-14

BKN

+15

-15

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.40 70.1%

BKN

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 27	31.4	24	80%	4	10	2	0	2	0	0	4	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	+15.2
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 27	29.6	14	88%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	+6.0
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 33	25.6	21	58%	7	6	1	0	1	3	0	7	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%	+10.3
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	19.4	13	65%	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%	+3.4
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	7.0	2	100%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.0

Larry Nance Jr. #22 · F-C · 6'6" 245 · 34	21.8	6	100%	6	1	1	0	1	2	0	6	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	+4.2
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	20.7	14	100%	2	3	0	3	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	+9.5
Kelly Oubre Jr. #10 · F-G · 6'8" 210 · 31	19.7	14	78%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	+5.2
Obi Toppin #1 · F · 6'9" 220 · 29	19.7	16	89%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	+8.3
Jarace Walker #5 · F · 6'7" 235 · 23	19.2	6	43%	7	1	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%	+2.9
Quenton Jackson #29 · G · 6'4" 173 · 28	17.9	5	42%	1	2	1	1	1	3	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	+3.0
Jalen Slawson #18 · F · 6'7" 215 · 27	7.9	1	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.7
Braden Smith #3 · G · 5'10" 167 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Brown #24 · F · 6'7" 250 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · G · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right ACL Repair / Surgery
Ben Sheppard #26 · G · 6'6" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Meniscus Tear
T.J. McConnell #9 · G · 6'1" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	70%	40	34	7	4	14	24	4	36	17-22	77%	28-42	67%	21-43	49%

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9 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 27	31.4	24	80%	4	10	2	0	2	0	0	4	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	+15.2
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 27	29.6	14	88%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	+6.0
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 33	25.6	21	58%	7	6	1	0	1	3	0	7	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%	+10.3
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	19.4	13	65%	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%	+3.4
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	7.0	2	100%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+1.0

Larry Nance Jr. #22 · F-C · 6'6" 245 · 34	21.8	6	100%	6	1	1	0	1	2	0	6	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	+4.2
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	20.7	14	100%	2	3	0	3	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	+9.5
Kelly Oubre Jr. #10 · F-G · 6'8" 210 · 31	19.7	14	78%	2	2	0	0	1	4	0	2	1-1	100%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	+5.2
Obi Toppin #1 · F · 6'9" 220 · 29	19.7	16	89%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	+8.3
Jarace Walker #5 · F · 6'7" 235 · 23	19.2	6	43%	7	1	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%	+2.9
Quenton Jackson #29 · G · 6'4" 173 · 28	17.9	5	42%	1	2	1	1	1	3	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	+3.0
Jalen Slawson #18 · F · 6'7" 215 · 27	7.9	1	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.7
Braden Smith #3 · G · 5'10" 167 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Brown #24 · F · 6'7" 250 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · G · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right ACL Repair / Surgery
Ben Sheppard #26 · G · 6'6" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Meniscus Tear
T.J. McConnell #9 · G · 6'1" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Hamstring Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	70%	40	34	7	4	14	24	4	36	17-22	77%	28-42	67%	21-43	49%

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29 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 32	24.0	10	42%	7	7	1	0	3	0	2	5	6-8	75%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%	+5.1
Keon Ellis #1 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 27	22.9	9	113%	1	3	4	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	+10.9
Michael Porter Jr. #17 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 28	20.8	10	36%	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	0	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-5	0%	+1.9
Egor Dëmin #8 · PG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.3	3	25%	0	1	2	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	−0.0
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	16.2	11	79%	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	4-7	57%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	+3.6

Nolan Traore #10 · G · 6'3" 185 · 20	24.7	17	71%	2	5	1	2	2	4	1	1	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%	+8.7
Josh Minott #00 · F · 6'8" 205 · 24	21.2	15	54%	8	2	2	0	0	2	1	7	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	+9.8
Chaney Johnson #31 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 24	21.2	4	40%	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	+1.7
Noah Clowney #21 · F-C · 6'10" 210 · 22	20.2	9	45%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	6-8	75%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	+3.0
Danny Wolf #2 · F · 6'11" 250 · 22	15.3	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%	+2.4
Moritz Wagner #13 · F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29	14.5	13	72%	3	1	1	0	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%	+4.8
Drake Powell #4 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 21	12.3	0	0%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+1.5
Ben Saraf #77 · G · 6'6" 200 · 21	3.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+0.9
Joshua Jefferson #9 · F · 6'8" 246 · 23	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	−1.6
Terance Mann #14 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30	DNP
Mikel Brown Jr. #0 · G · 6'5" 180 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Back, Injury
Tyler Bilodeau #34 · F · 6'8" 228 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Shoulder Sprain
Grant Nelson #16 · F · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Not On Report
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	52%	40	25	13	3	15	25	10	30	26-37	70%	22-47	47%	13-39	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	BKN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.40 70.1%

BKN

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

76%

BKN

56%

Midrange

IND

53%

BKN

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

31.5

49%

73%

BKN

19.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

IND

77%

BKN

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	24	80%	12.0 / 15
P. Siakam	21	58%	10.5 / 18
O. Toppin	16	89%	8.0 / 9
A. Nembhard	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Huff	14	100%	7.0 / 7
K. Oubre	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Nesmith	13	65%	6.5 / 10
L. Nance	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Walker	6	43%	3.0 / 7
Q. Jackson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
I. Zubac	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Slawson	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Traore	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Minott	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Wagner	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Sharpe	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Randle	10	42%	5.0 / 12
M. Porter	10	36%	5.0 / 14
K. Ellis	9	113%	4.5 / 4
N. Clowney	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Wolf	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Johnson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
E. Dëmin	3	25%	1.5 / 6
B. Saraf	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Powell	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Jefferson	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.3 24 109.8	IND 129.5 +25.7 BKN 103.8
Pace	6 100.8 20 99.5	IND 104.7 BKN 105.3 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.0 14 14.4	IND 13.8 BKN 13.7 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 53.5% 17 52.9%	IND 70.0% +21.7% BKN 48.3%
TO %	13 14.0% 28 16.5%	IND 13.7% BKN 12.8% −0.9%
ORB %	30 21.7% 15 27.6%	IND 11.8% BKN 21.7% +9.9%
FTrt	18 27.7 4 33.7	IND 25.9 BKN 43.0 +17.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 68.0% 18 65.2%	IND 69.4% BKN 71.4% +2.0%
STL %	24 7.3% 10 8.6%	IND 6.7% BKN 12.4% +5.7%
BLK %	26 8.5% 12 10.6%	IND 8.5% +1.4% BKN 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.1% 18 55.2%	IND 70.1% +18.2% BKN 51.9%
Rim FG%	5 67.2% 29 58.6%	IND 76.0% +19.7% BKN 56.3%
Mid FG%	18 42.0% 21 41.0%	IND 52.9% +26.2% BKN 26.7%
3P %	24 33.3% 13 35.9%	IND 48.8% +15.5% BKN 33.3%
FT %	26 75.7% 25 75.8%	IND 77.3% +7.0% BKN 70.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 32.4% 11 32.2%	IND 29.4% BKN 37.2% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	18 25.5% 3 19.4%	IND 20.0% BKN 17.4% −2.6%
3P Att. %	19 42.0% 4 48.5%	IND 50.6% +5.2% BKN 45.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	BKN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	136	109
Rebounds	40	40
Assists	34	25
Steals	7	13
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	24	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (2)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	30 (2)
Field Goals	49-85	35-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	18-32
Midrange FG	9-17	4-15
2-Point FG	28-42	22-47
3-Point FG	21-43	13-39
Free Throws	17-22	26-37
Fast Break Pts	25	18
2nd Chance Pts	7	16
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	18	15
Bench Points	62	66
Biggest Lead	27	6

	TOR	112
	PHI	123 ◀

	DET	144 ◀
	WAS	140

	DAL	94
	MIN	133 ◀

	CHA	96
	PHX	101 ◀

	MIL	99
	ORL	107 ◀

	NYK	104
	IND	106 ◀

	CLE	121
	MIA	133 ◀

	ATL	117
	CHI	125 ◀

	MEM	142 ◀
	NOP	111

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg