Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Magic	30%	109	111	112.1	99	102.7
	5	Knicks	70%	116	102	100.0	102	98.4

Prediction updated:

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+15

-15

NYK

+19

-14

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.11 55.5%

NYK

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 25	37.5	23	46%	13	9	0	0	3	2	3	10	5-5	100%	9-20	45%	0-3	0%	+7.2
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	35.1	22	65%	6	2	0	2	3	2	2	4	6-8	75%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	+8.7
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	33.9	4	25%	6	6	3	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%	+3.4
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 28	32.8	9	64%	10	2	1	1	2	4	1	9	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%	+5.2
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 21	17.3	6	43%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	+0.5

Tristan da Silva #23 · F · 6'8" 217 · 25	26.8	19	73%	2	2	0	1	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	+9.3
Anthony Black #0 · G · 6'7" 200 · 23	25.9	18	75%	3	5	2	0	0	6	0	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	+12.2
Jamal Cain #8 · F · 6'7" 191 · 28	15.5	5	125%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%	+2.5
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 36	15.2	5	42%	3	3	0	2	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	+3.3
Goga Bitadze #35 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP
Jevon Carter #2 · G · 6'0" 190 · 31	DNP
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP
Alex Morales #30 · G · 6'6" 180 · 29	DNP
Paolo Banchero #5 · F · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Ankle Sprain
Noah Penda #93 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Partially Torn Hamstring
Jonathan Isaac #1 · F · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee Injury Management
Izaiyah Nelson #35 · F · 6'9" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Ankle Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	49	29	6	6	15	24	10	39	17-21	81%	20-46	43%	18-42	43%

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17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 25	37.5	23	46%	13	9	0	0	3	2	3	10	5-5	100%	9-20	45%	0-3	0%	+7.2
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	35.1	22	65%	6	2	0	2	3	2	2	4	6-8	75%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	+8.7
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	33.9	4	25%	6	6	3	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%	+3.4
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 28	32.8	9	64%	10	2	1	1	2	4	1	9	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%	+5.2
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 21	17.3	6	43%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	+0.5

Tristan da Silva #23 · F · 6'8" 217 · 25	26.8	19	73%	2	2	0	1	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	+9.3
Anthony Black #0 · G · 6'7" 200 · 23	25.9	18	75%	3	5	2	0	0	6	0	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	+12.2
Jamal Cain #8 · F · 6'7" 191 · 28	15.5	5	125%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%	+2.5
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 36	15.2	5	42%	3	3	0	2	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	+3.3
Goga Bitadze #35 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP
Jevon Carter #2 · G · 6'0" 190 · 31	DNP
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP
Alex Morales #30 · G · 6'6" 180 · 29	DNP
Paolo Banchero #5 · F · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Ankle Sprain
Noah Penda #93 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Right Partially Torn Hamstring
Jonathan Isaac #1 · F · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Knee Injury Management
Izaiyah Nelson #35 · F · 6'9" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness · Left Ankle Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	49	29	6	6	15	24	10	39	17-21	81%	20-46	43%	18-42	43%

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5 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 29	35.0	22	73%	3	2	0	0	2	4	1	2	7-9	78%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	+8.0
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 30	35.0	6	43%	5	1	0	1	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	+3.0
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 32	34.5	13	54%	8	2	2	0	3	4	0	8	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	+6.0
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 31	33.3	22	65%	14	4	1	1	4	2	5	9	6-7	86%	8-11	73%	0-4	0%	+9.6
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 30	32.5	28	47%	3	4	2	1	3	1	0	3	3-6	50%	11-21	52%	1-7	14%	+6.7

Landry Shamet #44 · G · 6'5" 190 · 30	21.8	6	50%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	+3.1
Tyler Kolek #13 · G · 6'2" 195 · 26	15.1	0	0%	3	9	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	+4.7
Miles McBride #2 · G · 6'2" 195 · 26	12.7	1	25%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%	+2.0
Andre Drummond #0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	7.2	4	67%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+2.7
James Wiseman #35 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	7.2	0	0%	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-0	-	−2.0
Jordan Clarkson #00 · G · 6'5" 194 · 34	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−0.1
Jaden Akins #14 · G · 6'4" 195 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.0
Mohamed Diawara #51 · F · 6'9" 225 · 21	DNP
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · F · 6'9" 210 · 21	DNP
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · G · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP
Jose Alvarado #5 · G · 6'0" 179 · 29	Injury/Illness - Left Ankle Sprain
Tyler Nickel F · 6'6" 217 · 23	Inactive - Not On Report
Dalton Knecht #4 · F · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Not On Report
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	48%	45	26	8	4	14	22	12	33	17-24	71%	29-55	53%	9-38	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.11 55.5%

NYK

0.95 47.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

52%

NYK

69%

Midrange

ORL

33%

NYK

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

27.0

43%

64%

NYK

13.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

ORL

81%

NYK

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	23	46%	11.5 / 25
D. Bane	22	65%	11.0 / 17
T. da Silva	19	73%	9.5 / 13
A. Black	18	75%	9.0 / 12
W. Carter	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Richardson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Cain	5	125%	2.5 / 2
N. Vučević	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Suggs	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brunson	28	47%	14.0 / 30
O. Anunoby	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Towns	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Hart	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Bridges	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Shamet	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Drummond	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. McBride	1	25%	0.5 / 2
T. Kolek	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Wiseman	0	-	0.0 / 5
J. Clarkson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.0 14 114.3	ORL 112.1 +12.1 NYK 100.0
Pace	26 97.7 30 96.0	ORL 102.7 +4.3 NYK 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 3 15.4	ORL 14.0 −0.6 NYK 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 52.8% 22 51.9%	ORL 53.4% +7.7% NYK 45.7%
TO %	27 16.2% 9 13.5%	ORL 14.1% NYK 13.4% −0.7%
ORB %	19 26.0% 3 31.2%	ORL 23.3% NYK 23.5% +0.2%
FTrt	23 26.3 25 24.6	ORL 23.9 NYK 25.8 +1.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.7% 4 69.2%	ORL 76.3% +7.9% NYK 68.4%
STL %	22 7.5% 18 7.8%	ORL 6.1% NYK 7.8% +1.7%
BLK %	27 8.2% 23 8.9%	ORL 10.9% +2.2% NYK 8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 55.0% 27 53.5%	ORL 55.5% +7.8% NYK 47.7%
Rim FG%	6 66.8% 30 57.6%	ORL 52.0% NYK 68.6% +16.6%
Mid FG%	9 45.1% 27 38.8%	ORL 33.3% +8.3% NYK 25.0%
3P %	22 33.7% 12 36.1%	ORL 42.9% +19.2% NYK 23.7%
FT %	18 78.2% 11 79.5%	ORL 81.0% +10.2% NYK 70.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 23.7% 12 32.1%	ORL 28.4% NYK 37.6% +9.2%
Mid Att. %	21 28.4% 7 21.7%	ORL 23.9% NYK 21.5% −2.4%
3P Att. %	6 47.9% 9 46.2%	ORL 47.7% +6.9% NYK 40.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	NYK
Possessions	99	102
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	111	102
Rebounds	49	45
Assists	29	26
Steals	6	8
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	33 (2)
Field Goals	38-88	38-93
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	24-35
Midrange FG	7-21	5-20
2-Point FG	20-46	29-55
3-Point FG	18-42	9-38
Free Throws	17-21	17-24
Fast Break Pts	12	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	15
Points in Paint	32	52
Pts off Turnovers	23	12
Bench Points	47	11
Biggest Lead	11	12

	TOR	112
	PHI	123 ◀

	DET	144 ◀
	WAS	140

	CHA	96
	PHX	101 ◀

	NYK	104
	IND	106 ◀

	CLE	121
	MIA	133 ◀

	ATL	117
	CHI	125 ◀

	MEM	142 ◀
	NOP	111

	UTA	118
	HOU	125 ◀

	GSW	85
	SAS	123 ◀

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg