for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pistons22%8282
2Cavaliers78%9294
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.2
40.1
29.4
17
49%
0
3
3
1
1
2
0
0
2-3
67%
6-12
5-11
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
31.6
32.6
14
42%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
42%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
28.1
26.6
8
40%
11
1
1
1
0
3
2
9
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
25.7
31.7
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
44%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.6
25.7
29.1
8
57%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
2-2
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.2
19.3
15.1
5
64%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
18.6
19.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
18.1
17.2
13
45%
4
5
2
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
43%
0-2
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
17.2
23.3
10
56%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
7.9
10.0
3
150%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.0
7.6
6.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
44.6
36.2
20
68%
3
4
0
1
0
5
1
2
5-6
83%
6-10
4-7
60%
48%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
37.9
32.6
29
68%
13
6
0
1
0
2
1
12
13-17
76%
5-9
6-12
56%
53%
2-5
40%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.3
35.3
27.4
21
69%
2
7
1
1
1
3
1
1
3-5
60%
6-8
3-6
75%
49%
2-5
40%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
31.6
28.8
2
20%
7
1
2
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.9
29.0
27.0
12
45%
5
2
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
21.6
15.5
5
54%
6
1
2
0
0
0
3
3
5-6
83%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
17.8
19.5
3
21%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.1
8.4
18.3
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
7.5
11.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.5
6.3
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.4
9.4
0
1-1
43%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.1
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.6
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.