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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls29%91115
7Celtics71%99118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
43.5
39.3
42
75%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
8-9
89%
8-13
5-12
62%
44%
6-11
55%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.4
39.4
34.8
17
44%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
4-5
80%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
38.8
36.5
13
69%
8
3
2
1
4
1
3
5
1-1
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.5
34.4
42.7
10
45%
6
7
0
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-11
7-15
45%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
20.4
28.4
6
38%
4
0
0
1
6
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
35.5
25.4
16
69%
9
2
0
1
1
4
1
8
7-8
88%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
19.0
21.3
7
122%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.4
7.7
2
53%
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.9
1.2
0.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
8.2
0
1-1
42%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.4
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.5
43.9
34.6
18
44%
8
3
1
1
0
4
0
8
2-3
67%
8-18
5-10
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.3
41.3
34.6
26
58%
9
0
1
1
1
1
4
5
2-3
67%
12-21
5-11
57%
47%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.2
40.0
30.5
19
44%
12
16
5
2
0
2
7
5
5-8
63%
7-17
5-10
41%
51%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.8
38.8
25.0
30
73%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
6-10
60%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.4
32.3
31.6
16
71%
12
0
1
0
2
3
7
5
2-5
40%
7-9
4-7
78%
57%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
14.2
19.5
3
38%
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.5
11.6
12.3
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.2
10.0
16.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
7.8
16.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.3
0.1
18.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
50%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.5
5.1
0
1-1
52%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 23.0
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.