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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics48%96107
12Bulls52%9786
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.3
38.9
37.6
14
49%
9
6
6
1
3
2
3
6
4-5
80%
5-12
6-13
42%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.8
34.6
31.5
18
68%
0
0
2
1
1
2
0
0
3-3
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
3-4
75%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.2
33.9
34.9
20
60%
11
6
5
2
0
3
0
11
3-4
75%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.4
27.8
32.1
6
44%
7
3
0
0
2
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
57%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.5
27.6
38.4
24
76%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
6-12
71%
48%
4-8
50%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.2
24.4
13.0
13
55%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.5
20.3
11.6
1
57%
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
12.3
16.9
8
50%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.3
8.6
9.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.1
6.3
4.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-1
100%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.5
2.7
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 23.0
2.7
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.1
36.8
41.2
15
48%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
4-9
5-12
44%
45%
1-4
25%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.4
34.4
36.7
14
55%
4
1
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-4
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
32.6
38.6
9
29%
3
2
0
1
0
7
2
1
1-3
33%
4-13
6-14
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
29.8
37.4
8
52%
10
3
0
1
2
1
5
5
4-6
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
26.5
24.6
6
34%
8
0
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-2
100%
2-8
3-8
25%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
22.4
20.2
14
64%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.0
17.9
29.9
3
26%
8
0
0
1
0
3
3
5
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.2
10.0
4.5
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.4
8.5
2.5
3
75%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
37%
1-2
50%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.9
8.5
0.4
2
53%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.4
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
4.2
8
100%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.4
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.