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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1376ers24%8878
3Magic76%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
46.7
44.4
26
57%
5
4
1
2
0
4
1
4
10-13
77%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
2-5
40%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.1
44.1
43.1
17
49%
3
6
4
1
0
5
0
3
4-5
80%
5-11
7-15
45%
46%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.9
40.1
38.4
9
48%
6
1
2
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
4-7
6-13
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
35.9
25.8
16
52%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
20.0
24.2
4
67%
9
1
0
0
2
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
19.1
13.3
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.5
15.9
24.2
0
0%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
42%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.9
8.3
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
5.9
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
3.9
8.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.7
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.1
40.0
38.3
9
30%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
1-5
20%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
39.5
39.4
24
69%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
49%
3-5
60%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
37.3
40.8
24
62%
24
1
1
1
2
4
10
14
8-12
67%
8-14
7-12
57%
58%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.8
34.1
31.9
14
50%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.6
5.9
39.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.8
29.9
4.5
6
47%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
29.0
16.5
4
35%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
1-4
25%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.6
13.9
15.1
4
40%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.2
10.3
7.3
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
0.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.0
0.9
0
0-0
41%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.1
0.2
0
0-0
50%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.