for complete access.
All Games Sunday, April 19, 2009
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Heat
41%89
64
21
Hawks
59%92
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
69.69298.4
ATL logo ATL
100.09084.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLHAWKS Rebound64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLPachulia Putback Layup (10 PTS)64
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot64
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)64
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 1:17ATLPachulia 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)61
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 1:32ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46ATLEvans Putback Layup (6 PTS)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49ATLMISS Evans 5' Turnaround Jump Shot61
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Bank Shot61
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19ATLEvans 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMoon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)61
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Jones Putback Layup59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05ATLMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29ATLHAWKS Rebound59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05ATLMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ATLHorford Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T19)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Driving Layup59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T15)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04ATLPachulia Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:26ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot59
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 9:01ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Bibby 9 AST)59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 9:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 10:03ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 10:12MIABeasley Putback Layup (10 PTS)59
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 10:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 10:15MIABibby BLOCK (2 BLK)57
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 10:37ATLPachulia Dunk (6 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)57
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 10:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot57
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 11:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 11:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 11:30ATLMISS Murray 1' Layup57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 11:35MIASmith STEAL (3 STL)57
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup57
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot57
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Driving Layup57
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 1:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 1:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 1:26ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 257
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 1:26ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 257
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 2:00ATLPachulia 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)55
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIACook 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)55
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 2:29ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot53
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 2:52MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 3:08ATLMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot51
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 3:29MIABeasley 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)51
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 3:49ATLSmith Putback Dunk (21 PTS)49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 3:51ATLMISS Evans 2' Driving Layup49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 4:16ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 4:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 4:57ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 5:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot49
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 5:20ATLMISS Bibby 9' Running Jump Shot49
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q3 - 5:41MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:05ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)47
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 6:11MIABibby STEAL (2 STL)47
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 6:22ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)47
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)47
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 7:09ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)47
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:15MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)47
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 7:25ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot47
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 7:45MIAO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)47
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 7:59ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)45
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 8:13MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)45
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 8:31ATLSmith 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)43
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 8:41MIAChalmers Running Layup (8 PTS)43
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 8:46ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)41
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 9:05MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T14)41
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 9:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 9:15ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 241
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 9:15ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 241
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 9:25ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot41
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 9:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 10:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 10:07ATLJohnson Putback Layup (13 PTS)41
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 10:09ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 10:53ATLWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)39
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)39
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 11:37ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)39
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound39
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 66' 3PT Jump Shot39
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)39
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem Running Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)39
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLHorford Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup37
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)37
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot37
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 1:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 237
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)37
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q2 - 1:26ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)36
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q2 - 1:32MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)36
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 1:33ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 1:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 1:41ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot36
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 2:04MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)36
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 2:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper36
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 2:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q2 - 2:24ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 236
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q2 - 2:24ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)36
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 2:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 2:40MIAHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)36
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMurray 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)36
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 3:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 236
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q2 - 3:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)36
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 3:33ATLSmith Running Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)35
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q2 - 3:36ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 3:58ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)35
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 4:02ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 4:14ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup35
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAChalmers Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)35
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 4:37ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 4:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 5:07ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 5:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 5:07MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)33
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 5:08ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 5:13MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)33
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 5:22ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 5:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q2 - 5:41MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 6:00ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 6:08ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot31
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 6:23ATLSmith 5' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)31
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 6:42MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 6:59ATLJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)29
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Driving Dunk (15 PTS)29
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 7:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 7:30ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)27
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 7:32ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
22.9%
35
77.1%
Q2 - 7:32ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 7:32ATLHAWKS Rebound27
24.9%
33
75.1%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup27
25.5%
33
74.5%
Q2 - 7:52ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)27
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 7:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 7:56MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)27
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 8:11ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 227
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q2 - 8:11ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 8:15MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)27
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 8:24ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Driving Layup27
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 8:39MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
32.0%
30
68.0%
Q2 - 9:00ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T5)25
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 9:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 225
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 9:29ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)24
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 10:02ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q2 - 10:02ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 10:14ATLHAWKS Rebound22
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot22
26.2%
28
73.8%
Q2 - 10:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q2 - 10:27ATLMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup22
27.0%
28
73.0%
Q2 - 10:44ATLHAWKS Rebound22
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
26.2%
28
73.8%
Q2 - 11:04ATLEvans 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
30.0%
26
70.0%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 221
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q2 - 11:43ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
30.0%
26
70.0%
Q2 - 11:43ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
32.2%
24
67.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 53' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLHorford 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)21
34.1%
24
65.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)21
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot21
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot21
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 1:06ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 1:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot21
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 1:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup21
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 1:54MIAWade Reverse Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)21
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 2:06ATLMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)19
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup17
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 2:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q1 - 2:35ATLMISS Johnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper17
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 2:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
33.4%
20
66.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup17
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 3:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot17
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q1 - 3:28ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 3:28ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
35.2%
19
64.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)17
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 4:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 4:04ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot14
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 4:21ATLHAWKS Rebound14
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIABibby BLOCK (1 BLK)14
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 4:38ATLJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)14
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:06ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
36.8%
16
63.2%
Q1 - 5:23MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot12
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 5:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot12
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 6:03ATLSmith 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)12
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)12
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 6:40ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
34.2%
12
65.8%
Q1 - 7:13ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
32.6%
12
67.4%
Q1 - 7:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 7:40ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
32.6%
12
67.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 8:16ATLWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
32.4%
9
67.6%
Q1 - 8:37MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 8:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 8:56ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup2
30.1%
7
69.9%
Q1 - 8:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.9%
7
71.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot2
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 9:19ATLWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)2
33.0%
5
67.0%
Q1 - 9:41ATLSmith 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 9:57MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 10:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 10:02ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot2
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 10:08ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.1%
3
62.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
3
61.6%
Q1 - 10:24ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot2
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 10:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot2
37.2%
3
62.8%
Q1 - 10:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
3
61.6%
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Smith 16' Turnaround Jump Shot2
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 11:06MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.5%
3
63.5%
Q1 - 11:20ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
38.2%
3
61.8%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
39.8%
0
60.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.78 39.0%
ATL
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
18
72%
ATL
21
39
54%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
ATL
11
25
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
23
17%
26%
ATL
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
8
12
67%
ATL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1941%9.5 / 23
M. Beasley1033%5.0 / 15
J. Jones964%4.5 / 7
M. Chalmers836%4.0 / 11
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
J. O'Neal542%2.5 / 6
J. Moon5125%2.5 / 2
D. Cook217%1.0 / 6
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2368%11.5 / 17
J. Johnson1544%7.5 / 17
A. Horford1458%7.0 / 12
M. Bibby1063%5.0 / 8
M. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia1045%5.0 / 11
M. Evans638%3.0 / 8
R. Murray217%1.0 / 6
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+8
-18
82
ATL
73
+16
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.78 39.0%
ATL
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
101.3
MIA 69.6 +30.4
ATL 100.0
Pace
84.1
82.9
MIA 98.4 +13.8
ATL 84.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.9
16.3
MIA 14.6 +2.4
ATL 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
45.0%
MIA 39.4%
ATL 48.7% +9.3%
TO %
14.8%
13.5%
MIA 19.9%
ATL 17.2% +2.7%
ORB %
24.9%
26.1%
MIA 12.2%
ATL 31.8% +19.6%
FTrt
32.4
32.3
MIA 16.9
ATL 25.6 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
56.2%
MIA 46.2%
ATL 63.9% +17.7%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
MIA 10.9%
ATL 11.1% +0.2%
BLK %
10.3%
6.6%
MIA 7.8%
ATL 8.3% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
48.6%
MIA 39.0%
ATL 50.6% +11.6%
Rim FG%
60.7%
53.1%
MIA 72.2% +18.4%
ATL 53.8%
Mid FG%
42.2%
33.5%
MIA 30.0%
ATL 44.0% +14.0%
3P %
35.7%
34.7%
MIA 17.4%
ATL 28.6% +11.2%
FT %
81.6%
74.4%
MIA 66.7%
ATL 70.0% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.1%
36.0%
MIA 25.4%
ATL 50.0% +24.6%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
40.1%
MIA 42.3%
ATL 32.1% +10.2%
3P Att. %
28.7%
23.8%
MIA 32.4% +14.4%
ATL 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points6490
Rebounds3550
Assists1223
Steals1010
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)36 (4)
Field Goals26-7136-78
At-the-Rim FG13-1821-39
Midrange FG9-3011-25
2-Point FG22-4832-64
3-Point FG4-234-14
Free Throws8-1214-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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17 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.2
19
41%
5
5
3
0
8
3
0
5
2-4
50%
7-15
47%
1-6
17%
James Jones
F · 6'8" 218 · 29
34.0
9
64%
4
0
1
0
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
33.6
8
36%
3
2
2
0
3
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
25.0
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
21.8
5
42%
2
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
32.1
10
33%
10
2
2
2
2
3
1
9
0-0
-
5-13
38%
0-2
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
20.6
2
17%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-5
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
18.8
0
0%
4
0
0
2
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
7.1
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
6.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
Luther Head
#2 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mark Blount
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
64
39%
35
12
10
5
18
0
5
30
8-12
67%
22-48
46%
4-23
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.