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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat41%8964
21Hawks59%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.3
40.2
39.5
19
42%
5
5
3
2
0
8
0
5
2-4
50%
7-15
9-17
47%
49%
1-6
17%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
34.0
26.8
9
65%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
33.6
25.5
8
37%
3
2
2
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
25.0
29.4
6
77%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
21.8
9.9
5
43%
2
2
1
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
32.1
25.8
10
33%
10
2
2
0
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
20.6
26.4
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
38%
0-5
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
18.8
22.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
7.1
8.2
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
6.9
19.9
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
22.5
0
1-2
45%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.9
20.4
0
2-4
46%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
38.3
18.9
23
69%
10
2
3
1
0
3
3
7
5-6
83%
9-12
3-5
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
37.1
25.4
15
44%
5
2
1
1
0
3
3
2
0-2
0%
6-13
4-8
46%
47%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
34.2
17.7
14
60%
9
2
1
0
2
2
1
8
4-4
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
32.3
25.0
10
63%
3
9
2
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
17.2
13.7
10
65%
2
1
2
0
0
2
1
1
3-6
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
25.9
32.8
6
38%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-3
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
24.7
37.1
2
17%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
19.0
18.1
10
46%
10
0
1
0
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
4.5
23.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
3.3
26.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
3.3
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
0.1
18.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.