FinalWin Prob.pScore
1839%90
108
1761%93
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
125.68676.4
ATL logo ATL
108.18698.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)104
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)104
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)101
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 1:45MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)101
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot101
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 2:27ATLMISS Johnson 8' Fadeaway Jumper101
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade 29' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (33 PTS)101
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 3:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
96.6%
91
3.4%
Q4 - 3:03ATLMISS Murray 2' Running Layup98
96.1%
91
3.9%
Q4 - 3:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)98
94.5%
91
5.5%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Moon Free Throw 2 of 298
94.9%
91
5.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 298
96.2%
91
3.8%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 3:34ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
93.0%
91
7.0%
Q4 - 3:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)98
91.1%
91
8.9%
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 298
93.6%
91
6.4%
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 298
91.9%
91
8.1%
Q4 - 3:56MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)98
91.4%
91
8.6%
Q4 - 4:16ATLSmith 3' Running Layup (17 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)96
88.5%
91
11.5%
Q4 - 4:36MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)96
91.8%
89
8.2%
Q4 - 4:54ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)94
88.7%
89
11.3%
Q4 - 4:54ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 4:56ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot94
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q4 - 5:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
91.5%
86
8.5%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 294
91.9%
86
8.1%
Q4 - 5:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
93.3%
86
6.7%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
91.7%
86
8.3%
Q4 - 5:28ATLMISS Murray 1' Running Layup93
90.8%
86
9.2%
Q4 - 5:33ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
88.6%
86
11.4%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
89.7%
86
10.3%
Q4 - 5:59ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)93
91.8%
86
8.2%
Q4 - 6:03ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
93.6%
83
6.4%
Q4 - 6:05ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot93
94.8%
83
5.2%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T13)93
93.7%
83
6.3%
Q4 - 6:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
95.4%
83
4.6%
Q4 - 6:39ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
95.0%
83
5.0%
Q4 - 6:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
93.8%
83
6.2%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
95.4%
83
4.6%
Q4 - 7:02ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
93.4%
83
6.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T12)93
92.0%
83
8.0%
Q4 - 7:33MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
94.0%
83
6.0%
Q4 - 7:36ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot93
93.5%
83
6.5%
Q4 - 7:48MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)93
92.1%
83
7.9%
Q4 - 8:17ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
92.5%
83
7.5%
Q4 - 8:25MIABeasley 3' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)93
95.5%
80
4.5%
Q4 - 8:47ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)91
94.2%
80
5.8%
Q4 - 8:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
92.6%
80
7.4%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot91
93.2%
80
6.8%
Q4 - 9:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
92.7%
80
7.3%
Q4 - 9:10ATLMISS Johnson 11' Fadeaway Jumper91
92.3%
80
7.7%
Q4 - 9:26ATLHAWKS Rebound91
91.1%
80
8.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot91
91.7%
80
8.3%
Q4 - 9:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
92.8%
80
7.2%
Q4 - 9:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
93.1%
79
6.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)91
94.4%
78
5.6%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)89
91.5%
78
8.5%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)89
93.2%
76
6.8%
Q4 - 11:00ATLMurray Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)86
89.7%
76
10.3%
Q4 - 11:05MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)86
90.2%
74
9.8%
Q4 - 11:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
91.9%
74
8.1%
Q4 - 11:17ATLSmith Putback Layup (15 PTS)86
91.9%
74
8.1%
Q4 - 11:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q4 - 11:17ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot86
94.2%
72
5.8%
Q4 - 11:20ATLMISS Bibby 1' Driving Layup86
94.3%
72
5.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)86
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)83
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLMurray Running Layup (5 PTS)83
93.7%
69
6.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMurray STEAL (2 STL)83
94.9%
67
5.1%
Q3 - 1:03ATLPachulia 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)83
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)83
96.0%
65
4.0%
Q3 - 1:42ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)80
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q3 - 1:42ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 280
94.4%
64
5.6%
Q3 - 1:55MIABeasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
94.2%
64
5.8%
Q3 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound77
90.3%
64
9.7%
Q3 - 2:02MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)77
89.1%
64
10.9%
Q3 - 2:20ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)77
90.4%
64
9.6%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)77
91.9%
62
8.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)76
91.6%
62
8.4%
Q3 - 2:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)75
90.4%
62
9.6%
Q3 - 2:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
93.2%
59
6.8%
Q3 - 2:59MIAJones Putback Layup (5 PTS)75
93.2%
59
6.8%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup73
89.7%
59
10.3%
Q3 - 3:24ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q3 - 3:24ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 3:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
92.3%
57
7.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot73
92.7%
57
7.3%
Q3 - 3:54MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q3 - 3:56ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot73
93.2%
57
6.8%
Q3 - 4:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
91.4%
57
8.6%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
91.9%
57
8.1%
Q3 - 4:22MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 4:25ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot73
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
91.5%
57
8.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
91.2%
57
8.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIAHeat Rebound71
90.3%
57
9.7%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
89.0%
57
11.0%
Q3 - 5:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
89.0%
57
11.0%
Q3 - 5:14ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 271
88.8%
57
11.2%
Q3 - 5:14ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 271
87.7%
57
12.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS)71
87.1%
57
12.9%
Q3 - 5:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
85.4%
57
14.6%
Q3 - 5:48ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
84.7%
57
15.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAO'Neal 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)69
81.7%
57
18.3%
Q3 - 6:27ATLWilliams 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)67
79.4%
57
20.6%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)67
81.8%
55
18.2%
Q3 - 7:11ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
77.7%
55
22.3%
Q3 - 7:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
80.2%
53
19.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot65
81.0%
53
19.0%
Q3 - 7:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)65
82.7%
53
17.3%
Q3 - 7:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q3 - 7:39MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)65
87.2%
50
12.8%
Q3 - 8:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q3 - 8:00ATLHorford Putback Dunk (11 PTS)65
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q3 - 8:02ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup65
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q3 - 8:14MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)65
89.1%
48
10.9%
Q3 - 8:40ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)62
86.0%
48
14.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAO'Neal 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)62
86.9%
46
13.1%
Q3 - 9:31ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)60
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
88.6%
43
11.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
88.3%
43
11.7%
Q3 - 10:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
86.0%
43
14.0%
Q3 - 10:11ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot58
85.4%
43
14.6%
Q3 - 10:20ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
84.2%
43
15.8%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup58
84.8%
43
15.2%
Q3 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
86.0%
43
14.0%
Q3 - 10:43ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot58
85.5%
43
14.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)58
84.2%
43
15.8%
Q3 - 11:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
81.3%
43
18.7%
Q3 - 11:05ATLMISS Smith 4' Running Jump Shot56
80.6%
43
19.4%
Q3 - 11:19MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
79.0%
43
21.0%
Q3 - 11:36ATLWilliams Putback Layup (6 PTS)54
76.8%
43
23.2%
Q3 - 11:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q3 - 11:41ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup54
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
80.1%
41
19.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
79.6%
41
20.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLHAWKS Rebound54
78.5%
41
21.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T9)54
80.2%
41
19.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
78.5%
41
21.5%
Q2 - 1:18ATLEvans Putback Dunk (2 PTS)51
72.2%
41
27.8%
Q2 - 1:19ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
76.6%
39
23.4%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q2 - 2:05ATLHorford Putback Layup (9 PTS)48
68.8%
39
31.2%
Q2 - 2:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
71.4%
37
28.6%
Q2 - 2:08ATLMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup48
73.2%
37
26.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
71.4%
37
28.6%
Q2 - 2:42ATLHorford 5' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)45
66.1%
37
33.9%
Q2 - 3:00MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)45
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
71.0%
35
29.0%
Q2 - 3:02ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
70.1%
35
29.9%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 3:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 3:39ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
64.6%
35
35.4%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWade 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHeat Rebound41
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMurray BLOCK (1 BLK)41
56.6%
35
43.4%
Q2 - 4:15ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 4:15ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIACook Running Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
61.6%
33
38.4%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
58.8%
33
41.2%
Q2 - 4:18ATLMISS Murray Layup39
57.9%
33
42.1%
Q2 - 4:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)39
55.7%
33
44.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
58.9%
33
41.1%
Q2 - 5:01ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 239
57.8%
33
42.2%
Q2 - 5:01ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 239
56.2%
33
43.8%
Q2 - 5:01ATLHAWKS Rebound39
55.4%
33
44.6%
Q2 - 5:03ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
57.3%
33
42.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)39
55.4%
33
44.6%
Q2 - 5:47ATLHorford Putback Dunk (5 PTS)36
49.4%
33
50.6%
Q2 - 5:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 5:55ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup36
54.4%
31
45.6%
Q2 - 6:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot36
52.6%
31
47.4%
Q2 - 6:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
55.0%
31
45.0%
Q2 - 6:27ATLMISS Johnson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot36
54.0%
31
46.0%
Q2 - 6:38MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)36
51.7%
31
48.3%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
55.0%
31
45.0%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
55.0%
31
45.0%
Q2 - 6:57ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 236
54.6%
31
45.4%
Q2 - 6:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
52.6%
31
47.4%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)36
54.2%
30
45.8%
Q2 - 7:25ATLHorford 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)36
57.1%
30
42.9%
Q2 - 7:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
59.8%
28
40.2%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q2 - 7:47ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot36
61.8%
28
38.2%
Q2 - 8:07MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q2 - 8:17ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)34
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 8:28MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
53.7%
28
46.3%
Q2 - 8:33ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P2.T7)34
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 8:44MIABeasley 19' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)34
53.7%
28
46.3%
Q2 - 9:01ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)32
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 9:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
55.6%
25
44.4%
Q2 - 9:07ATLMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot32
57.5%
25
42.5%
Q2 - 9:23MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)32
55.6%
25
44.4%
Q2 - 9:35ATLWilliams 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)32
58.3%
25
41.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)32
60.9%
23
39.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
55.7%
23
44.3%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot29
53.8%
23
46.2%
Q2 - 10:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q2 - 10:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
55.7%
22
44.3%
Q2 - 10:28MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)29
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q2 - 10:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
52.7%
21
47.3%
Q2 - 10:47ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 226
52.3%
21
47.7%
Q2 - 10:47ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
50.6%
21
49.4%
Q2 - 11:04MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
52.1%
20
47.9%
Q2 - 11:18ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)24
49.7%
20
50.3%
Q2 - 11:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot24
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q2 - 11:42ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)24
54.8%
18
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
54.8%
18
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 1' Driving Layup24
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMoon Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup22
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 0:15.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup22
48.0%
18
52.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)22
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
48.6%
17
51.4%
Q1 - 1:05ATLSmith Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)20
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 1:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Beasley 4' Driving Layup20
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 1:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 1:32ATLMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup20
49.9%
15
50.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 219
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 1:50MIAHeat Rebound19
48.1%
15
51.9%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup19
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 2:13ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)19
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 2:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot19
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q1 - 2:45ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot19
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
50.2%
13
49.8%
Q1 - 3:17ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 3:49MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 4:04ATLMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper15
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 4:38ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)13
43.0%
11
57.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 4:57ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 5:23MIAO'Neal 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
42.6%
8
57.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound9
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot9
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 6:06ATLJohnson Running Dunk (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)9
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 6:17ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup9
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 6:49ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 6:49ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 27
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 6:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
41.0%
5
59.0%
Q1 - 7:12ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)7
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 7:31MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)7
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 7:51ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 7:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
40.7%
3
59.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 8:12ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 8:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 8:18ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 8:28ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical5
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 8:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot5
40.6%
3
59.4%
Q1 - 8:48ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Haslem: Tip to Wade5
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 9:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 9:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 9:28ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot2
35.6%
3
64.4%
Q1 - 9:45ATLHAWKS Rebound2
34.4%
3
65.6%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot2
34.9%
3
65.1%
Q1 - 10:10ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS)2
36.2%
3
63.8%
Q1 - 10:30MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
37.8%
1
62.2%
Q1 - 10:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.7%
1
60.3%
Q1 - 10:36ATLMISS Smith 10' Turnaround Jump Shot2
39.1%
1
60.9%
Q1 - 10:53MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
37.8%
1
62.2%
Q1 - 11:07ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
39.0%
1
61.0%
Q1 - 11:20ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
37.4%
1
62.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAChalmers Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
37.5%
0
62.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
ATL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
19
53%
ATL
21
36
58%
Midrange
MIA
15
27
56%
ATL
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
26
58%
87%
ATL
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
ATL
19
30
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3372%16.5 / 23
D. Cook2083%10.0 / 12
J. O'Neal1973%9.5 / 13
M. Beasley1246%6.0 / 13
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
J. Jones563%2.5 / 4
J. Moon583%2.5 / 3
M. Chalmers440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby1869%9.0 / 13
J. Smith1757%8.5 / 15
J. Johnson1650%8.0 / 16
R. Murray1542%7.5 / 18
A. Horford1150%5.5 / 11
M. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
Z. Pachulia338%1.5 / 4
M. Evans250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+11
-13
84
ATL
75
+14
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
ATL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
101.3
MIA 125.6 +17.4
ATL 108.1
Pace
84.1
82.9
MIA 76.4
ATL 98.4 +22.1
Avg. Poss. Time
17.9
16.3
MIA 18.9
ATL 14.6 +4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
45.0%
MIA 66.0% +17.9%
ATL 48.1%
TO %
14.8%
13.5%
MIA 14.9%
ATL 10.9% +4.0%
ORB %
24.9%
26.1%
MIA 23.1%
ATL 27.7% +4.6%
FTrt
32.4
32.3
MIA 25.0
ATL 39.0 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
56.2%
MIA 57.5% +4.6%
ATL 52.9%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
MIA 7.0% +1.2%
ATL 5.8%
BLK %
10.3%
6.6%
MIA 10.5% +1.8%
ATL 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
48.6%
MIA 62.8% +10.6%
ATL 52.2%
Rim FG%
60.7%
53.1%
MIA 52.6%
ATL 58.3% +5.7%
Mid FG%
42.2%
33.5%
MIA 55.6% +22.3%
ATL 33.3%
3P %
35.7%
34.7%
MIA 57.7% +27.7%
ATL 30.0%
FT %
81.6%
74.4%
MIA 72.2% +8.9%
ATL 63.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.1%
36.0%
MIA 26.4%
ATL 46.8% +20.4%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
40.1%
MIA 37.5%
ATL 27.3% +10.2%
3P Att. %
28.7%
23.8%
MIA 36.1% +10.1%
ATL 26.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points10893
Rebounds4033
Assists2318
Steals65
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)20 (3)
Field Goals40-7234-77
At-the-Rim FG10-1921-36
Midrange FG15-277-21
2-Point FG25-4628-57
3-Point FG15-266-20
Free Throws13-1819-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
38.8
33
72%
5
7
1
2
5
5
0
5
5-6
83%
5-10
50%
6-10
60%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
36.7
19
73%
6
3
1
4
2
4
0
6
7-8
88%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
25.9
10
63%
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
22.1
4
40%
2
7
3
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 218 · 29
20.9
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
34.7
20
83%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
6-9
67%
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
27.5
5
83%
8
1
0
0
0
3
3
5
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
22.1
12
46%
7
3
0
0
2
2
0
7
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
11.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
#2 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
63%
40
23
6
6
13
0
6
34
13-18
72%
25-46
54%
15-26
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.