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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat37%89108
17Hawks63%9493
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.3
38.8
39.8
33
73%
5
7
1
2
2
5
0
5
5-6
83%
5-10
8-17
50%
49%
6-10
60%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
36.7
16.9
19
76%
6
3
1
0
4
2
0
6
7-8
88%
6-9
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
25.9
28.0
10
63%
7
1
1
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
22.1
30.0
4
40%
2
7
3
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
20.9
30.3
5
63%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
34.7
22.9
20
83%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
6-9
67%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.9
27.5
8.0
5
87%
8
1
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
22.1
29.2
12
47%
7
3
0
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
4-11
6-12
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.9
11.3
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
20.0
0
1-2
47%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
12.2
0
1-2
41%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
11.1
0
0-1
46%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.9
43.3
28.3
18
70%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
4-8
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
41.4
30.5
17
55%
10
3
2
1
2
3
3
7
1-3
33%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
39.0
27.9
11
51%
11
5
1
1
0
0
4
7
1-4
25%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
35.0
30.7
16
47%
3
0
0
1
0
4
0
3
5-9
56%
4-11
4-9
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.8
19.1
16.6
11
53%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
29.9
29.7
15
41%
2
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
6-7
86%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
1-5
20%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
16.6
28.7
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
15.1
18.5
3
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
0.5
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
11.9
0
1-2
54%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.0
6.8
0
1-2
40%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
6.7
0
1-1
50%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.2
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.