FinalWin Prob.pScore
1841%91
78
1559%93
107
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
91.88598.9
MIA logo MIA
125.98574.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Law 9' Running Jump Shot78
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot78
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLO. Hunter Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Law 2 AST)78
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Beasley 10' Fadeaway Jumper76
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Gardner 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:21MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:21MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:39ATLGardner 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:51MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:51MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:03MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 2:04ATLMISS Pachulia Driving Layup74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ATLJones 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)74
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 2:55MIAQuinn Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ATLCook STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50ATLSmith 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39ATLMISS Murray Driving Layup68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12ATLChalmers STEAL (4 STL)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)64
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:44ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 7:47ATLWade BLOCK (4 BLK)64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 7:51ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot64
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00ATLHawks Rebound64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Beasley Layup64
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 8:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 8:22ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:22ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Running Jump Shot62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49ATLChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)62
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:20ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot62
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 9:44MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)62
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:04ATLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)62
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 10:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIAChalmers Tip Shot (12 PTS)62
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Layup62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot62
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 11:16ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 262
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 11:16ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 11:25MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAHEAT Rebound61
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 11:48ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL61
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound61
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Bibby 42' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLHorford Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)61
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot59
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)59
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLHawks Rebound56
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 1:00ATLWade BLOCK (3 BLK)56
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 1:26ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 1:26ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 1:35MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 1:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 1:50ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 1:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 2:13ATLHorford 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)54
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 2:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 2:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 2:44ATLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)52
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 3:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot52
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot52
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 3:16MIAHEAT Rebound52
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 3:17ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 3:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot52
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 3:40ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 3:55ATLHawks Rebound49
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot49
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 4:20ATLHorford 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 4:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 4:23ATLMISS Bibby 10' Jump Shot47
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 4:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)47
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 5:10ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 147
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 5:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 5:37ATLJohnson Driving Layup (10 PTS)45
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 6:25ATLSmith 15' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)43
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)41
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 7:03ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)41
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 7:27ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 7:27ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)36
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 8:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q3 - 8:02ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)36
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q3 - 8:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot36
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)36
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q3 - 8:23ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot36
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)36
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q3 - 9:02ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)36
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)33
2.6%
56
97.4%
Q3 - 9:36ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)33
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q3 - 9:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:39ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup33
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q3 - 9:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot33
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 10:06ATLBibby Driving Layup (8 PTS)33
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 10:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
2.9%
54
97.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot31
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHEAT Rebound31
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 10:36ATLMISS Smith 12' Hook Shot31
2.6%
54
97.4%
Q3 - 10:53MIAO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)31
2.9%
54
97.1%
Q3 - 11:14ATLEvans 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 11:41MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS)29
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL29
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound29
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
5.9%
47
94.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Bibby 19' Fadeaway Jumper29
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)29
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 1:15ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.2%
44
90.8%
Q2 - 1:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot29
9.2%
44
90.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound29
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 2:06ATLMISS Murray 22' Jump Shot29
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)29
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 2:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 229
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 229
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)29
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 3:32ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 3:40MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 3:49ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)27
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
23.0%
34
77.0%
Q2 - 4:27ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS)27
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 4:51MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 5:15ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 5:31ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot23
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 5:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot23
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 6:19MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)23
23.5%
31
76.5%
Q2 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
25.2%
29
74.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot23
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
25.2%
29
74.8%
Q2 - 6:30ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot23
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
27.8%
29
72.2%
Q2 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 6:58ATLBeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)23
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 7:27ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)23
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q2 - 7:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)21
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q2 - 8:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot21
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q2 - 8:19ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q2 - 8:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Cook Layup19
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q2 - 9:02ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q2 - 9:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
27.4%
22
72.6%
Q2 - 9:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
27.4%
22
72.6%
Q2 - 9:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS Murray 9' Jump Shot16
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q2 - 10:08ATLHawks Rebound16
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q2 - 10:14ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)16
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q2 - 10:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Cook 11' Jump Shot16
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q2 - 10:43ATLJohnson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot14
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q2 - 11:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
22.8%
22
77.2%
Q2 - 11:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q2 - 11:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot12
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL12
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMoon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Rebound12
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)12
23.8%
20
76.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot12
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Pachulia Alley Oop Layup12
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot12
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:00ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q1 - 1:27ATLMurray 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)10
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)8
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 1:57ATLMurray 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 2:11ATLMoon STEAL (1 STL)6
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMoon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)6
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 2:43ATLPachulia 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 2:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 2:47ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot4
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 2:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup4
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)4
15.6%
18
84.4%
Q1 - 3:07ATLMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)4
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 3:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 3:10ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)4
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 3:30MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)4
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)4
15.6%
18
84.4%
Q1 - 3:49ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot4
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 3:59ATLHawks Rebound4
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 4:00ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)4
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 4:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot4
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)4
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 4:31ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)4
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)4
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 5:02ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot4
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 5:38ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)4
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 5:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 5:42ATLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)4
23.5%
13
76.5%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
24.7%
13
75.3%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)4
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 6:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 6:12ATLMISS Horford 12' Fadeaway Jumper4
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 6:41MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
29.7%
9
70.3%
Q1 - 7:00ATLMISS Horford 8' Hook Shot4
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 7:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.6%
9
68.4%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup4
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 7:29ATLBibby 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 7:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 7:31ATLMISS Bibby 13' Floating Jump Shot2
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 7:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
27.5%
9
72.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 7:51ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot2
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 8:23ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 8:44MIAO'Neal 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:08ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:25MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 9:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:39ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:41ATLHawks Rebound0
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:42ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 10:02ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot0
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:44ATLEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:47ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:57ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot0
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)0
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:43ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
40.7%
0
59.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
7
20
35%
MIA
11
20
55%
Midrange
ATL
17
44
39%
MIA
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
MIA
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
Free Throws
ATL
15
19
79%
MIA
19
19
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford1354%6.5 / 12
M. Bibby1346%6.5 / 14
J. Smith1341%6.5 / 16
J. Johnson1029%5.0 / 17
M. Evans867%4.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia840%4.0 / 10
R. Murray744%3.5 / 8
S. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
T. Gardner250%1.0 / 2
O. Hunter2100%1.0 / 1
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2963%14.5 / 23
J. O'Neal2261%11.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1575%7.5 / 10
U. Haslem1267%6.0 / 9
J. Jones11110%5.5 / 5
D. Cook630%3.0 / 10
M. Beasley420%2.0 / 10
C. Quinn467%2.0 / 3
J. Moon2100%1.0 / 1
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
75
+15
-10
90
MIA
76
+15
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
104.8
ATL 91.8 +34.1
MIA 125.9
Pace
82.9
84.1
ATL 98.9 +24.5
MIA 74.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.9
ATL 14.6 +4.8
MIA 19.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.0%
50.1%
ATL 39.9%
MIA 54.3% +14.4%
TO %
13.5%
14.8%
ATL 10.3%
MIA 9.2% +1.1%
ORB %
26.1%
24.9%
ATL 23.3%
MIA 37.5% +14.2%
FTrt
32.3
32.4
ATL 24.1 +0.6
MIA 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
47.9%
ATL 44.8%
MIA 47.4% +2.6%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
ATL 3.5%
MIA 9.4% +5.9%
BLK %
6.6%
10.3%
ATL 8.6%
MIA 18.8% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
52.9%
ATL 42.9%
MIA 58.8% +15.9%
Rim FG%
53.1%
60.7%
ATL 35.0%
MIA 55.0% +20.0%
Mid FG%
33.5%
42.2%
ATL 38.6%
MIA 39.5% +0.9%
3P %
34.7%
35.7%
ATL 33.3%
MIA 52.2% +18.9%
FT %
74.4%
81.6%
ATL 78.9%
MIA 100.0% +21.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
25.1%
ATL 25.3% +0.6%
MIA 24.7%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
46.2%
ATL 55.7%
MIA 46.9% +8.8%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.7%
ATL 19.0%
MIA 28.4% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points78107
Rebounds3548
Assists1318
Steals38
Blocks512
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)33 (5)
Field Goals29-7938-81
At-the-Rim FG7-2011-20
Midrange FG17-4415-38
2-Point FG24-6426-58
3-Point FG5-1512-23
Free Throws15-1919-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
38.6
10
29%
6
3
0
0
5
2
3
3
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
38.0
13
54%
7
2
1
2
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
35.6
13
46%
2
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
32.0
8
67%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
28.0
13
41%
8
0
0
1
0
4
2
6
4-5
80%
3-11
27%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
27.1
7
44%
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
24.5
8
40%
7
0
0
1
0
5
2
5
6-8
75%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
5.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
3.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
1.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'8" 225 · 23
1.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'11" 275 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
43%
35
13
3
5
10
0
10
25
15-19
79%
24-64
38%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.