Final Win Prob. pScore
1841%91
78
1559%93
107
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
91.88598.9
MIA logo Heat
125.98574.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
107
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
107
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Law 9' Running Jump Shot78
107
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
107
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot78
107
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLO. Hunter Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Law 2 AST)78
107
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
107
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Beasley 10' Fadeaway Jumper76
107
Q4 - 1:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
107
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Gardner 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
107
Q4 - 1:21MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
107
Q4 - 1:21MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
106
Q4 - 1:21ATLGardner S.FOUL (P1.PN)76
105
Q4 - 1:39ATLGardner 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
105
Q4 - 1:51MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
105
Q4 - 1:51MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
104
Q4 - 1:51ATLSUB: O. Hunter FOR Pachulia74
103
Q4 - 1:51ATLSUB: Gardner FOR Murray74
103
Q4 - 1:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)74
103
Q4 - 1:51ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P5.PN)74
103
Q4 - 2:03MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
103
Q4 - 2:04ATLMISS Pachulia Driving Layup74
103
Q4 - 2:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
103
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot74
103
Q4 - 2:42ATLJones 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)74
103
Q4 - 2:55MIAQuinn Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)72
103
Q4 - 3:00ATLCook STEAL (1 STL)72
101
Q4 - 3:12MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
101
Q4 - 3:12MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
100
Q4 - 3:12ATLLaw S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
99
Q4 - 3:18ATLLaw P.FOUL (P1.T4)72
99
Q4 - 3:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
99
Q4 - 3:38MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem71
99
Q4 - 3:38ATLSUB: Jones FOR Smith71
99
Q4 - 3:38ATLSUB: West FOR Evans71
99
Q4 - 3:38ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
99
Q4 - 3:38MIASUB: Diawara FOR Wade70
99
Q4 - 3:38MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers70
99
Q4 - 3:38MIASUB: Anthony FOR O'Neal70
99
Q4 - 3:38MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.PN)70
99
Q4 - 3:48MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
99
Q4 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
97
Q4 - 4:10ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot70
97
Q4 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)70
97
Q4 - 4:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)70
96
Q4 - 4:28ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P4.T3)70
95
Q4 - 4:50ATLSmith 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)70
95
Q4 - 5:08ATLSUB: Law FOR Bibby68
95
Q4 - 5:0868
95
Q4 - 5:08ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)68
95
Q4 - 5:14MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)68
95
Q4 - 5:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
93
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot68
93
Q4 - 5:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
93
Q4 - 5:39ATLMISS Murray Driving Layup68
93
Q4 - 5:49MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)68
93
Q4 - 6:12ATLChalmers STEAL (4 STL)68
90
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)68
90
Q4 - 6:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
90
Q4 - 6:41ATLSUB: Evans FOR Johnson67
90
Q4 - 6:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
90
Q4 - 6:41MIACook S.FOUL (P1.PN)66
90
Q4 - 6:50MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)66
90
Q4 - 7:10ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
88
Q4 - 7:10MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Beasley65
88
Q4 - 7:10MIASUB: Haslem FOR Magloire65
88
Q4 - 7:10ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Evans65
88
Q4 - 7:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
88
Q4 - 7:10MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4)64
88
Q4 - 7:24MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)64
88
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
85
Q4 - 7:44ATLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot64
85
Q4 - 7:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
85
Q4 - 7:47ATLWade BLOCK (4 BLK)64
85
Q4 - 7:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
85
Q4 - 7:51ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot64
85
Q4 - 8:00MIABeasley L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)64
85
Q4 - 8:00ATLHawks Rebound64
85
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Beasley Layup64
85
Q4 - 8:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
85
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
85
Q4 - 8:22ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
85
Q4 - 8:22ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford63
85
Q4 - 8:22ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
85
Q4 - 8:22MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T2)62
85
Q4 - 8:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
85
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Running Jump Shot62
85
Q4 - 8:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
85
Q4 - 8:49ATLChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)62
85
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)62
85
Q4 - 9:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
83
Q4 - 9:20ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot62
83
Q4 - 9:37ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)62
83
Q4 - 9:44MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)62
83
Q4 - 10:04ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia62
80
Q4 - 10:04ATLJohnson L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)62
80
Q4 - 10:04ATLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)62
80
Q4 - 10:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
80
Q4 - 10:20MIAChalmers Tip Shot (12 PTS)62
80
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Layup62
78
Q4 - 10:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
78
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
78
Q4 - 10:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
78
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
78
Q4 - 10:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
78
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
78
Q4 - 10:59ATLPachulia L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)62
78
Q4 - 10:59MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
78
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot62
78
Q4 - 11:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
78
Q4 - 11:16ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 262
78
Q4 - 11:16ATLSUB: Evans FOR Bibby62
78
Q4 - 11:16ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
78
Q4 - 11:16MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T1)61
78
Q4 - 11:25MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
78
Q4 - 11:47MIAHEAT Rebound61
75
Q4 - 11:48ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
75
Q4 - 12:0061
75
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL61
75
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound61
75
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Bibby 42' 3PT Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
75
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLHorford Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)61
72
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
72
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot59
72
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)59
72
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLHawks Rebound56
72
Q3 - 1:00ATLWade BLOCK (3 BLK)56
72
Q3 - 1:12MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
72
Q3 - 1:26ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
70
Q3 - 1:26ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
70
Q3 - 1:26MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P3.PN)54
70
Q3 - 1:35MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal54
70
Q3 - 1:35MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)54
70
Q3 - 1:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
70
Q3 - 1:50ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
70
Q3 - 1:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
70
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper54
70
Q3 - 2:13ATLHorford 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)54
70
Q3 - 2:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
70
Q3 - 2:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
69
Q3 - 2:35ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans52
68
Q3 - 2:35ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
68
Q3 - 2:35ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.PN)52
68
Q3 - 2:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
68
Q3 - 2:44ATLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)52
68
Q3 - 3:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
68
Q3 - 3:00ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Smith52
67
Q3 - 3:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
67
Q3 - 3:00ATLSmith S.FOUL (P4.T4)52
66
Q3 - 3:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
66
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot52
66
Q3 - 3:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
66
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot52
66
Q3 - 3:16MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem52
66
Q3 - 3:16MIAHEAT Rebound52
66
Q3 - 3:17ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
66
Q3 - 3:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
66
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot52
66
Q3 - 3:40ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
66
Q3 - 3:55MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers49
66
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)49
66
Q3 - 3:55ATLHawks Rebound49
66
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot49
66
Q3 - 4:20ATLHorford 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
66
Q3 - 4:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
66
Q3 - 4:23ATLMISS Bibby 10' Jump Shot47
66
Q3 - 4:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
66
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
66
Q3 - 4:48ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.T3)47
66
Q3 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)47
66
Q3 - 5:10ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 147
66
Q3 - 5:10MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T3)47
66
Q3 - 5:10ATLSmith Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)47
66
Q3 - 5:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
66
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
66
Q3 - 5:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)45
66
Q3 - 5:37ATLJohnson Driving Layup (10 PTS)45
66
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
66
Q3 - 6:25ATLSmith 15' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)43
64
Q3 - 6:43MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)41
64
Q3 - 7:03ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)41
62
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
62
Q3 - 7:27ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
62
Q3 - 7:27ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
62
Q3 - 7:27MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
62
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)36
62
Q3 - 8:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
59
Q3 - 8:02ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)36
59
Q3 - 8:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
59
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot36
59
Q3 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)36
59
Q3 - 8:23ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot36
59
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)36
59
Q3 - 9:02ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)36
56
Q3 - 9:10MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T1)33
56
Q3 - 9:26MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)33
56
Q3 - 9:35ATLBibby P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
54
Q3 - 9:36ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)33
54
Q3 - 9:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
54
Q3 - 9:39ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup33
54
Q3 - 9:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
54
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot33
54
Q3 - 10:06ATLBibby Driving Layup (8 PTS)33
54
Q3 - 10:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
54
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot31
54
Q3 - 10:35ATLHorford L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)31
54
Q3 - 10:35MIAHEAT Rebound31
54
Q3 - 10:36ATLMISS Smith 12' Hook Shot31
54
Q3 - 10:53MIAO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)31
54
Q3 - 11:14ATLEvans 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
52
Q3 - 11:41MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS)29
52
Q3 - 12:0029
50
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL29
50
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound29
50
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
50
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
50
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
47
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Bibby 19' Fadeaway Jumper29
47
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)29
47
Q2 - 0:53.0MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal29
46
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
46
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade Dunk (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)29
46
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
44
Q2 - 1:15ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
44
Q2 - 1:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
44
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot29
44
Q2 - 1:40MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
44
Q2 - 1:52ATLSUB: Evans FOR Murray29
42
Q2 - 1:52ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P2.T4)29
42
Q2 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound29
42
Q2 - 2:06ATLMISS Murray 22' Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)29
42
Q2 - 2:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
40
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 229
40
Q2 - 2:48ATLHawks Rebound29
40
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 229
40
Q2 - 2:4829
40
Q2 - 2:48MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T3)29
40
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 3:32ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
38
Q2 - 3:40MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
38
Q2 - 3:49ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)27
35
Q2 - 4:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
35
Q2 - 4:05ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Smith27
34
Q2 - 4:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 4:05ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
33
Q2 - 4:27ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS)27
33
Q2 - 4:51MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
33
Q2 - 4:59MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cook25
31
Q2 - 4:59ATLSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
31
Q2 - 5:15ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
31
Q2 - 5:31ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
31
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
31
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot23
31
Q2 - 5:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
31
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot23
31
Q2 - 6:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley23
31
Q2 - 6:12ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Evans23
31
Q2 - 6:12ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)23
31
Q2 - 6:19MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
29
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot23
29
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
29
Q2 - 6:30ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot23
29
Q2 - 6:47MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
29
Q2 - 6:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
27
Q2 - 6:58ATLBeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)23
27
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
27
Q2 - 7:16ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia23
26
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
26
Q2 - 7:16ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
25
Q2 - 7:27ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)23
25
Q2 - 7:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)21
25
Q2 - 8:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
22
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 8:19ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
22
Q2 - 8:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
22
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Cook Layup19
22
Q2 - 8:53MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Magloire19
22
Q2 - 8:53MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers19
22
Q2 - 8:53ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Johnson19
22
Q2 - 8:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)19
22
Q2 - 9:02ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
22
Q2 - 9:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
22
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
22
Q2 - 9:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
22
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
22
Q2 - 9:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
22
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS Murray 9' Jump Shot16
22
Q2 - 10:08MIASUB: Jones FOR Moon16
22
Q2 - 10:08MIAMagloire L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)16
22
Q2 - 10:08ATLHawks Rebound16
22
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
22
Q2 - 10:14ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)16
22
Q2 - 10:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
22
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Cook 11' Jump Shot16
22
Q2 - 10:43ATLJohnson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
22
Q2 - 10:58ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot14
22
Q2 - 11:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
22
Q2 - 11:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
22
Q2 - 11:25MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
22
Q2 - 11:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
22
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot12
22
Q2 - 12:0012
22
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL12
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA12
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMoon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
22
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Rebound12
20
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)12
20
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
20
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot12
20
Q1 - 0:37.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Pachulia Alley Oop Layup12
20
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
20
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot12
20
Q1 - 1:00ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
20
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
20
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
19
Q1 - 1:15ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
18
Q1 - 1:27ATLMurray 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)10
18
Q1 - 1:37MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem8
18
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)8
18
Q1 - 1:57ATLMurray 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
18
Q1 - 2:08MIAMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
18
Q1 - 2:11ATLMoon STEAL (1 STL)6
18
Q1 - 2:24MIAMoon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)6
18
Q1 - 2:24MIAMoon OFF.Foul (P1)6
18
Q1 - 2:37MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal6
18
Q1 - 2:37ATLSUB: Horford FOR Smith6
18
Q1 - 2:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
18
Q1 - 2:43ATLPachulia 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
18
Q1 - 2:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18
Q1 - 2:47ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot4
18
Q1 - 2:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup4
18
Q1 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)4
18
Q1 - 3:07ATLMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)4
18
Q1 - 3:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
18
Q1 - 3:10ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)4
18
Q1 - 3:19MIASUB: Moon FOR Jones4
18
Q1 - 3:19MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
18
Q1 - 3:30MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)4
18
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)4
18
Q1 - 3:49ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot4
18
Q1 - 3:59MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers4
18
Q1 - 3:59ATLHawks Rebound4
18
Q1 - 4:00ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)4
18
Q1 - 4:13ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford4
18
Q1 - 4:13ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans4
18
Q1 - 4:13MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
18
Q1 - 4:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot4
18
Q1 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)4
18
Q1 - 4:31ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
18
Q1 - 4:54MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)4
18
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)4
15
Q1 - 5:02ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot4
15
Q1 - 5:24MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
15
Q1 - 5:38ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)4
13
Q1 - 5:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
13
Q1 - 5:42ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
13
Q1 - 5:42ATLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)4
13
Q1 - 6:02MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
13
Q1 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)4
11
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 6:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11
Q1 - 6:12ATLMISS Horford 12' Fadeaway Jumper4
11
Q1 - 6:41MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 6:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
9
Q1 - 7:00ATLMISS Horford 8' Hook Shot4
9
Q1 - 7:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup4
9
Q1 - 7:29ATLBibby 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
9
Q1 - 7:30ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
9
Q1 - 7:31ATLMISS Bibby 13' Floating Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 7:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9
Q1 - 7:51ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot2
9
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
9
Q1 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
6
Q1 - 8:23ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 8:36MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 8:44MIAO'Neal 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:08ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 9:25MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 9:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 9:39ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 9:41ATLHawks Rebound0
2
Q1 - 9:42ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)0
2
Q1 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:02ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
2
Q1 - 10:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:44ATLEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:44ATLEvans OFF.Foul (P1)0
2
Q1 - 10:47ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:57ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:16MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 13' Floating Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:43ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
7
20
35%
MIA
11
20
55%
Midrange
ATL
17
44
39%
MIA
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
MIA
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
Free Throws
ATL
15
19
79%
MIA
19
19
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Horford1354%6.5 / 12
M. Bibby1346%6.5 / 14
J. Smith1341%6.5 / 16
J. Johnson1029%5.0 / 17
M. Evans867%4.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia840%4.0 / 10
R. Murray744%3.5 / 8
S. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
T. Gardner250%1.0 / 2
O. Hunter2100%1.0 / 1
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2963%14.5 / 23
J. O'Neal2261%11.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1575%7.5 / 10
U. Haslem1267%6.0 / 9
J. Jones11110%5.5 / 5
D. Cook630%3.0 / 10
M. Beasley420%2.0 / 10
C. Quinn467%2.0 / 3
J. Moon2100%1.0 / 1
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
75
+15
-10
90
MIA
76
+15
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
104.8
ATL 91.8
MIA 125.9 +34.1
Pace
82.9
84.1
ATL 98.9 +24.5
MIA 74.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.9
ATL 14.6 −4.8
MIA 19.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.0%
50.1%
ATL 39.9%
MIA 54.3% +14.4%
TO %
13.5%
14.8%
ATL 10.3%
MIA 9.2% −1.1%
ORB %
26.1%
24.9%
ATL 23.3%
MIA 37.5% +14.2%
FTrt
32.3
32.4
ATL 24.1 +0.6
MIA 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
47.9%
ATL 44.8%
MIA 47.4% +2.6%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
ATL 3.5%
MIA 9.4% +5.9%
BLK %
6.6%
10.3%
ATL 8.6%
MIA 18.8% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
52.9%
ATL 42.9%
MIA 58.8% +15.9%
Rim FG%
53.1%
60.7%
ATL 35.0%
MIA 55.0% +20.0%
Mid FG%
33.5%
42.2%
ATL 38.6%
MIA 39.5% +0.9%
3P %
34.7%
35.7%
ATL 33.3%
MIA 52.2% +18.9%
FT %
74.4%
81.6%
ATL 78.9%
MIA 100.0% +21.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
25.1%
ATL 25.3% +0.6%
MIA 24.7%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
46.2%
ATL 55.7%
MIA 46.9% −8.8%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.7%
ATL 19.0%
MIA 28.4% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points78107
Rebounds3548
Assists1318
Steals38
Blocks512
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)33 (5)
Field Goals29-7938-81
At-the-Rim FG7-2011-20
Midrange FG17-4415-38
2-Point FG24-6426-58
3-Point FG5-1512-23
Free Throws15-1919-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
38.6
10
29%
6
3
0
0
5
2
3
3
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-3
0%
C · 6'8" 240 · 23
38.0
13
54%
7
2
1
2
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
35.6
13
46%
2
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
32.0
8
67%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
28.0
13
41%
8
0
0
1
0
4
2
6
4-5
80%
3-11
27%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
27.1
7
44%
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
24.5
8
40%
7
0
0
1
0
5
2
5
6-8
75%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
5.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
3.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
1.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'8" 225 · 23
1.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'11" 275 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
43%
35
13
3
5
10
0
10
25
15-19
79%
24-64
38%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.