Final Win Prob. pScore
1840%90
81
1660%94
71
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
101.38079.3
MIA logo Heat
89.97979.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL81
100%
71
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLSUB: Evans FOR Bibby81
71
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)81
71
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLSUB: West FOR Johnson80
71
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.PN)79
71
Q4 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Jones79
71
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P6.T4)79
71
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)79
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 1:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 1:33MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers79
69
Q4 - 1:33ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)79
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 1:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)79
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 2:11ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2)79
69
Q4 - 2:15ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P4.T1)79
69
Q4 - 2:33ATLMurray 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 2:56MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
97.8%
69
2.2%
Q4 - 3:20MIASUB: Jones FOR Cook77
67
Q4 - 3:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)77
67
Q4 - 3:21ATLMurray Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)77
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 3:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 3:24ATLMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot75
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q4 - 3:46ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot75
95.4%
67
4.6%
Q4 - 4:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 4:07ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot75
94.8%
67
5.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)75
96.2%
67
3.8%
Q4 - 4:57ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
97.3%
65
2.7%
Q4 - 5:12MIACook P.FOUL (P2.T3)72
65
Q4 - 5:25MIAWade 10' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)72
91.8%
65
8.2%
Q4 - 5:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q4 - 5:37ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot72
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 5:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)72
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot72
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q4 - 6:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
91.8%
63
8.2%
Q4 - 6:17ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot72
92.5%
63
7.5%
Q4 - 6:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)72
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 6:56ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P4.T14)72
92.0%
63
8.0%
Q4 - 6:56ATLBibby OFF.Foul (P4)72
63
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q4 - 7:44ATLPachulia Tip Shot (12 PTS)72
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q4 - 7:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)70
92.4%
61
7.6%
Q4 - 7:46ATLMISS Smith Driving Layup70
90.8%
61
9.2%
Q4 - 7:59ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)70
61
Q4 - 8:06ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup70
90.0%
61
10.0%
Q4 - 8:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
88.4%
61
11.6%
Q4 - 8:17ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot70
89.1%
61
10.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
90.7%
61
9.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
92.8%
59
7.2%
Q4 - 8:43ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot70
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q4 - 9:03MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
92.9%
59
7.1%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
94.4%
57
5.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
95.2%
57
4.8%
Q4 - 9:33ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)70
94.5%
57
5.5%
Q4 - 9:33MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T2)69
57
Q4 - 9:33ATLSmith Layup (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)69
57
Q4 - 9:39MIASUB: Cook FOR Jones67
57
Q4 - 9:39MIAJones P.FOUL (P5.T1)67
57
Q4 - 9:53MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q4 - 10:16MIASUB: Wade FOR Anthony67
55
Q4 - 10:16MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Beasley67
55
Q4 - 10:16MIASUB: Haslem FOR Cook67
55
Q4 - 10:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)67
55
Q4 - 10:16ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
91.7%
55
8.3%
Q4 - 10:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
89.8%
55
10.2%
Q4 - 10:31ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper65
88.3%
55
11.7%
Q4 - 10:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot65
89.2%
55
10.8%
Q4 - 11:08ATLPachulia Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)65
86.1%
55
13.9%
Q4 - 11:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)63
83.2%
55
16.8%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot63
82.3%
55
17.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot63
82.4%
55
17.6%
Q4 - 12:0063
55
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSUB: West FOR Bibby63
55
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
78.7%
55
21.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
77.9%
55
22.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)61
55
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
74.7%
55
25.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
78.8%
53
21.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 261
79.2%
53
20.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR O'Neal61
53
Q3 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Diawara61
53
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
81.3%
53
18.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWade S.FOUL (P4.PN)60
53
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)60
78.4%
53
21.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot60
76.2%
53
23.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
78.5%
53
21.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot60
77.5%
53
22.5%
Q3 - 1:13ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)60
73.9%
53
26.1%
Q3 - 1:30ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
65.3%
53
34.7%
Q3 - 1:31ATLMISS Murray Driving Layup57
62.4%
53
37.6%
Q3 - 1:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
65.3%
53
34.7%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 257
64.7%
53
35.3%
Q3 - 1:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
61.7%
53
38.3%
Q3 - 1:55ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P3.T4)57
52
Q3 - 1:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
65.7%
52
34.3%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot57
68.4%
52
31.6%
Q3 - 2:19MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 2:20ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)57
65.4%
52
34.6%
Q3 - 2:24MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)57
68.3%
52
31.7%
Q3 - 2:43ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)57
64.2%
52
35.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIASUB: Diawara FOR Jones55
52
Q3 - 2:55MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.T4)55
52
Q3 - 3:05ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
52
Q3 - 3:09ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)55
58.8%
52
41.2%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
57.4%
52
42.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers55
52
Q3 - 3:24ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)55
54.2%
52
45.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIAO'Neal 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)55
58.9%
52
41.1%
Q3 - 3:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
62.9%
50
37.1%
Q3 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
50
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot55
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup55
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 4:09ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P4.T12)55
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q3 - 4:09ATLSmith OFF.Foul (P3)55
50
Q3 - 4:25MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
66.5%
50
33.5%
Q3 - 4:38ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)55
69.7%
48
30.3%
Q3 - 4:54MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)55
73.8%
48
26.2%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
68.2%
48
31.8%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot55
71.0%
48
29.0%
Q3 - 5:25ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford55
48
Q3 - 5:25ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans55
48
Q3 - 5:25ATLHorford P.FOUL (P4.T3)55
48
Q3 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
68.3%
48
31.7%
Q3 - 5:32ATLMISS Bibby 7' Running Hook Shot55
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q3 - 5:55MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q3 - 6:11ATLEvans P.FOUL (P4.T2)55
45
Q3 - 6:27ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
77.0%
45
23.0%
Q3 - 6:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
74.2%
45
25.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 253
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q3 - 6:48MIAHEAT Rebound53
45
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 253
71.7%
45
28.3%
Q3 - 6:48ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.T1)53
45
Q3 - 7:08ATLChalmers STEAL (4 STL)53
69.2%
45
30.8%
Q3 - 7:18MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)53
72.6%
45
27.4%
Q3 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q3 - 7:29ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)53
45
Q3 - 7:41ATLHawks Rebound53
72.7%
45
27.3%
Q3 - 7:42ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot53
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q3 - 8:00MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)53
72.7%
45
27.3%
Q3 - 8:22ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
74.6%
43
25.4%
Q3 - 8:22ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
73.9%
43
26.1%
Q3 - 8:22MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)51
43
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)51
71.9%
43
28.1%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
68.5%
43
31.5%
Q3 - 8:39ATLMISS Smith 14' Turnaround Jump Shot51
69.5%
43
30.5%
Q3 - 9:02ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
71.0%
43
29.0%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot51
70.1%
43
29.9%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)51
43
Q3 - 9:31ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
67.9%
43
32.1%
Q3 - 9:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)49
64.7%
43
35.3%
Q3 - 10:06ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)49
60.3%
43
39.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T1)46
43
Q3 - 10:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
52.3%
43
47.7%
Q3 - 10:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q3 - 10:36ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
50.9%
43
49.1%
Q3 - 11:00MIAHEAT Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#9)46
53.4%
43
46.6%
Q3 - 11:00MIAJones Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)46
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q3 - 11:00ATLHawks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Evans )46
42
Q3 - 11:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
52.7%
42
47.3%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q3 - 11:30ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)46
52.7%
42
47.3%
Q3 - 11:34ATLHawks Rebound46
56.4%
42
43.6%
Q3 - 11:34ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper46
53.9%
42
46.1%
Q3 - 12:0046
42
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL46
56.4%
42
43.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound46
56.4%
42
43.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
53.9%
42
46.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot46
53.7%
42
46.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)46
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup46
60.3%
40
39.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
62.0%
40
38.0%
Q2 - 1:13ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
68.1%
37
31.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers45
37
Q2 - 1:13ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
67.4%
37
32.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.PN)44
37
Q2 - 1:39MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 1:49ATLMISS Horford 11' Turnaround Jump Shot44
68.8%
35
31.2%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)44
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 2:15ATLSUB: West FOR Bibby44
34
Q2 - 2:15ATLBibby S.FOUL (P3.PN)44
34
Q2 - 2:15MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)44
34
Q2 - 2:26ATLSUB: Johnson FOR West44
31
Q2 - 2:26ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)44
31
Q2 - 2:26ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P3.T8)44
77.0%
31
23.0%
Q2 - 2:26ATLBibby OFF.Foul (P2)44
31
Q2 - 2:26MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
79.2%
31
20.8%
Q2 - 2:26ATLJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)44
30
Q2 - 2:26MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)44
30
Q2 - 2:35ATLSUB: West FOR Evans44
27
Q2 - 2:35ATLEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
84.8%
27
15.2%
Q2 - 2:35ATLEvans OFF.Foul (P3)44
27
Q2 - 2:56MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
86.4%
27
13.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
86.6%
26
13.4%
Q2 - 2:5644
25
Q2 - 2:56ATLBibby P.FOUL (P1.PN)44
25
Q2 - 3:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
87.1%
25
12.9%
Q2 - 3:10ATLMISS Horford 8' Hook Shot44
87.6%
25
12.4%
Q2 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q2 - 3:26ATLSUB: Jones FOR Pachulia44
24
Q2 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
88.9%
24
11.1%
Q2 - 3:26ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
23
Q2 - 3:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)44
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 3:47ATLPachulia Tip Shot (7 PTS)44
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 3:48ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
87.6%
23
12.4%
Q2 - 4:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
87.8%
23
12.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot42
87.4%
23
12.6%
Q2 - 4:35ATLEvans Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)42
86.4%
23
13.6%
Q2 - 4:39MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)40
85.1%
23
14.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
83.3%
23
16.7%
Q2 - 4:50ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)40
83.9%
23
16.1%
Q2 - 5:10ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
84.2%
23
15.8%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot40
83.7%
23
16.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
82.6%
23
17.4%
Q2 - 5:22ATLMISS Murray Layup40
83.1%
23
16.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
84.2%
23
15.8%
Q2 - 5:59ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)40
85.8%
21
14.2%
Q2 - 6:09ATLSUB: Horford FOR Johnson38
21
Q2 - 6:09ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
21
Q2 - 6:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
83.5%
21
16.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot38
82.9%
21
17.1%
Q2 - 6:43ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
81.6%
21
18.4%
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
80.1%
21
19.9%
Q2 - 6:54MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley36
20
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)36
80.4%
20
19.6%
Q2 - 6:54ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
19
Q2 - 7:12ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)36
81.1%
19
18.9%
Q2 - 7:32ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
77.4%
19
22.6%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
76.8%
19
23.2%
Q2 - 7:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)33
19
Q2 - 7:50ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
75.3%
19
24.7%
Q2 - 7:50ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Smith32
19
Q2 - 7:50MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.PN)32
19
Q2 - 7:50ATLEvans Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)32
19
Q2 - 7:52ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot30
70.2%
19
29.8%
Q2 - 8:10ATLSmith P.FOUL (P2.T2)30
19
Q2 - 8:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
67.5%
19
32.5%
Q2 - 8:11ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot30
68.2%
19
31.8%
Q2 - 8:19MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T4)30
19
Q2 - 8:35ATLHawks Rebound30
69.9%
19
30.1%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk30
69.2%
19
30.8%
Q2 - 8:45ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Johnson30
19
Q2 - 8:45MIASUB: Jones FOR Cook30
19
Q2 - 8:45ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)30
67.6%
19
32.4%
Q2 - 8:45ATLHawks Rebound30
69.9%
19
30.1%
Q2 - 8:46ATLMISS Smith 11' Fadeaway Jumper30
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q2 - 9:10MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)30
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q2 - 9:30ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)30
66.7%
19
33.3%
Q2 - 9:50ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
64.3%
19
35.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot28
63.6%
19
36.4%
Q2 - 10:06MIAHEAT Rebound28
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q2 - 10:07ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot28
61.9%
19
38.1%
Q2 - 10:30MIACook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)28
63.7%
19
36.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIASUB: Wade FOR Anthony28
19
Q2 - 10:35MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Diawara28
19
Q2 - 10:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
19
Q2 - 10:44ATLPachulia Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)28
61.2%
19
38.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)26
19
Q2 - 11:01ATLHawks Rebound26
58.1%
19
41.9%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot26
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q2 - 11:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
55.6%
19
44.4%
Q2 - 11:17ATLSUB: Evans FOR Bibby25
19
Q2 - 11:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
55.2%
19
44.8%
Q2 - 11:17MIADiawara S.FOUL (P2.T2)24
19
Q2 - 11:30MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q2 - 11:30MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
53.7%
18
46.3%
Q2 - 11:30ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
17
Q2 - 11:42ATLCook STEAL (1 STL)24
55.6%
17
44.4%
Q2 - 11:47MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
17
Q2 - 12:0024
17
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)24
56.8%
17
43.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)24
60.3%
15
39.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)24
61.5%
15
38.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Bank Shot24
60.3%
15
39.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
61.6%
15
38.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot24
61.1%
15
38.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Magloire23
15
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
59.4%
15
40.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.PN)22
15
Q1 - 1:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 1:23ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)22
54.5%
15
45.5%
Q1 - 1:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
49.0%
15
51.0%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Magloire Layup19
48.5%
15
51.5%
Q1 - 1:50ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 1:50ATLHawks Rebound18
15
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 218
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIADiawara S.FOUL (P1.PN)18
15
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Driving Layup (3 PTS)18
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 2:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 2:21ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 218
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 2:21ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
13
Q1 - 2:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Beasley Dunk17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 2:38MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 217
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 2:40ATLHawks Rebound17
13
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 217
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIASUB: Magloire FOR O'Neal17
13
Q1 - 2:40ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
13
Q1 - 2:40MIACook S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
13
Q1 - 2:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 3:05ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 3:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 3:28MIASUB: Diawara FOR Chalmers17
13
Q1 - 3:28MIAHEAT Rebound17
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 3:50ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 3:50ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 3:50MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
13
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)15
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)15
13
Q1 - 4:17ATLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)15
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 4:20MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem15
13
Q1 - 4:20ATLSUB: Murray FOR West15
13
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T4)15
13
Q1 - 4:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 115
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 4:30ATLWest S.FOUL (P2.PN)15
13
Q1 - 4:30MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
13
Q1 - 4:32ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)15
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 4:38ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot15
47.0%
11
53.0%
Q1 - 4:54ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
11
Q1 - 4:54ATLSmith 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
11
Q1 - 4:58MIACook Violation:Kicked Ball12
11
Q1 - 5:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 5:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 5:07ATLWest P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
9
Q1 - 5:28ATLWest Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 5:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 5:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 5:40ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P1.PN)10
7
Q1 - 5:53ATLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)10
43.1%
7
56.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIASUB: Cook FOR Jones10
7
Q1 - 5:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
7
Q1 - 5:59MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)10
7
Q1 - 6:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 6:05ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot10
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 6:25MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 6:49ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 7:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 7:04ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot8
43.0%
5
57.0%
Q1 - 7:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound8
4
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 28
44.4%
4
55.6%
Q1 - 7:20ATLSUB: West FOR Evans8
4
Q1 - 7:20ATLEvans S.FOUL (P2.PN)8
4
Q1 - 7:42ATLEvans 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 8:00ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford6
4
Q1 - 8:00ATLHorford P.FOUL (P2.T4)6
4
Q1 - 8:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 8:08ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot6
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 8:22MIAHEAT Rebound6
3
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 8:22ATLEvans S.FOUL (P1.T3)6
3
Q1 - 8:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot6
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
43.2%
3
56.8%
Q1 - 8:54ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)6
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 9:10ATLHawks Rebound6
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot6
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 9:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 9:22ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot6
41.9%
3
58.1%
Q1 - 9:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 9:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)6
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 9:38ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
1
Q1 - 10:01ATLHorford Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
42.6%
1
57.4%
Q1 - 10:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
41.8%
1
58.2%
Q1 - 10:04ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot4
41.2%
1
58.8%
Q1 - 10:16MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
41.6%
1
58.4%
Q1 - 10:34ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
40.7%
1
59.3%
Q1 - 10:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
40.0%
1
60.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAHEAT Rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 22
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 10:53ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:16ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 12
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:16MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:16ATLSmith Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:31MIAHEAT Rebound0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Chalmers0
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
21
62%
MIA
7
15
47%
Midrange
ATL
10
31
32%
MIA
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
20
26
77%
MIA
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby1568%7.5 / 11
J. Johnson1447%7.0 / 15
J. Smith1341%6.5 / 16
Z. Pachulia1260%6.0 / 10
R. Murray1146%5.5 / 12
M. Evans1083%5.0 / 6
A. Horford433%2.0 / 6
M. West2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2239%11.0 / 28
J. O'Neal2063%10.0 / 16
J. Jones19119%9.5 / 8
M. Chalmers440%2.0 / 5
U. Haslem425%2.0 / 8
M. Beasley225%1.0 / 4
D. Cook0-0.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
67
+15
-13
82
MIA
67
+8
-12
75
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
104.8
ATL 101.3 +11.4
MIA 89.9
Pace
82.9
84.1
ATL 79.3
MIA 79.7 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.9
ATL 18.2
MIA 18.1 −0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.0%
50.1%
ATL 46.2% +5.2%
MIA 41.0%
TO %
13.5%
14.8%
ATL 16.2%
MIA 16.0% −0.2%
ORB %
26.1%
24.9%
ATL 29.7% +12.6%
MIA 17.1%
FTrt
32.3
32.4
ATL 39.4
MIA 45.9 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
47.9%
ATL 53.6% +5.8%
MIA 47.8%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
ATL 8.8%
MIA 8.9% +0.1%
BLK %
6.6%
10.3%
ATL 8.9% +3.1%
MIA 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
52.9%
ATL 49.4% +2.7%
MIA 46.7%
Rim FG%
53.1%
60.7%
ATL 61.9% +15.2%
MIA 46.7%
Mid FG%
33.5%
42.2%
ATL 32.3%
MIA 40.0% +7.7%
3P %
34.7%
35.7%
ATL 35.7% +10.7%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
74.4%
81.6%
ATL 76.9% +1.9%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
25.1%
ATL 31.8% +7.2%
MIA 24.6%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
46.2%
ATL 47.0% −2.2%
MIA 49.2%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.7%
ATL 21.2%
MIA 26.2% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8079
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points8171
Rebounds4032
Assists1511
Steals77
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals28-6623-61
At-the-Rim FG13-217-15
Midrange FG10-3112-30
2-Point FG23-5219-45
3-Point FG5-144-16
Free Throws20-2621-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
42.9
14
47%
1
5
1
0
3
3
0
1
4-6
67%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
42.8
15
68%
3
3
2
0
4
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
3-3
100%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
40.2
13
41%
7
4
1
4
4
3
2
5
5-7
71%
4-11
36%
0-3
0%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
20.4
10
83%
2
0
1
0
1
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
C · 6'8" 240 · 23
16.7
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
34.0
12
60%
18
1
2
0
1
4
6
12
2-4
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
33.8
11
46%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
5.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
49%
40
15
7
4
13
0
11
29
20-26
77%
23-52
44%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.