FinalWin Prob.pScore
1640%90
91
1760%93
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.08283.7
ATL logo ATL
130.98179.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL91
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLHAWKS Rebound91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Law 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ATLJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIADiawara Running Dunk (2 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26ATLLaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ATLHAWKS Rebound87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ATLMISS Morris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ATLMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41ATLJohnson Running Dunk (25 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16ATLMISS Smith Dunk82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)82
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMurray Driving Dunk (23 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44ATLHAWKS Rebound79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44ATLMISS Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 278
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:14ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 277
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 7:33ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)77
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)77
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 8:16ATLMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)74
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 8:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)74
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot74
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 9:02ATLHAWKS Rebound74
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk74
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 9:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 274
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIABeasley Putback Layup (10 PTS)74
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Beasley 6' Turnaround Jump Shot72
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 9:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 9:49ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot72
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 10:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Jump Shot72
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 10:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 10:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 10:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)72
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)71
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:57ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 270
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:57ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 270
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 11:04ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot70
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 11:25ATLMurray 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 11:41ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)70
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL70
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot70
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot70
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Smith 13' Turnaround Jump Shot70
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)70
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 1:12ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)67
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 1:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)65
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)65
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q3 - 1:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:57ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 2:21ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot65
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 2:33ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 265
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 2:33ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)65
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q3 - 2:50MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)65
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 2:58ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q3 - 2:58ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 2:59ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)63
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 3:24MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)63
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 3:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 3:37ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot61
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)61
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 4:32ATLPachulia Putback Layup (2 PTS)59
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 4:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 4:35ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup59
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIAO'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)59
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound57
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot57
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 5:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 5:48ATLMurray 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 6:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 6:27ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)57
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 7:09ATLMurray 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)55
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 7:35MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)55
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 7:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 7:49ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 153
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)53
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 8:11ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot51
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 8:25MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)51
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 8:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot49
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 9:06ATLSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)49
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 9:29MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)49
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 9:43ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 146
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot44
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 10:36MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 10:50MIAHeat Rebound42
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot42
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q3 - 11:15MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q3 - 11:32ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P1.T3)40
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 11:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 11:36ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot40
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 11:40ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 11:43ATLMISS Smith 11' Hook Shot40
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound40
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)40
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLJohnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)38
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q2 - 1:11MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 237
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 1:25ATLBibby 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q2 - 1:55ATLMurray 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 2:11ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot35
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q2 - 2:32ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
5.5%
55
94.5%
Q2 - 2:32ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 235
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 2:44MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)35
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 2:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 2:52ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 2:56ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 3:21ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)35
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)35
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q2 - 3:57ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)33
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 3:57ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)33
8.4%
49
91.6%
Q2 - 3:57ATLHAWKS Rebound33
9.1%
48
90.9%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 4:24ATLEvans 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)33
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q2 - 4:41MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 4:56ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 4:56ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)31
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 5:22ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)31
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 5:39MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 5:53ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)29
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 6:09MIAHaslem Putback Layup (4 PTS)29
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot27
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 6:28ATLEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 6:50MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 7:13ATLEvans Dunk (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)25
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 7:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup25
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 7:42ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)25
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 7:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.8%
35
82.2%
Q2 - 8:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 8:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 8:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot25
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 8:30ATLMurray 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)25
23.1%
33
76.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 9:03ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)23
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 9:11ATLMISS Evans Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 223
25.1%
29
74.9%
Q2 - 9:11ATLEvans Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 9:13ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot23
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 9:32ATLMurray 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
29.4%
28
70.6%
Q2 - 9:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 9:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 223
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q2 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)23
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 10:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q2 - 10:03ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot22
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q2 - 10:25MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T3)22
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q2 - 10:36ATLEvans Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)22
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)22
34.1%
24
65.9%
Q2 - 10:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup22
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIABeasley 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q2 - 11:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q2 - 11:42ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot20
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAO'Neal 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)20
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 1:02ATLBibby 1' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)16
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup16
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 1:27ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 1:27ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 1:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 1:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 2:03ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 2:05ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 2:07ATLMISS Johnson 4' Driving Layup14
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 2:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 213
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 2:48ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
36.5%
15
63.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIACook 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)13
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 3:19MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
36.7%
13
63.3%
Q1 - 3:20ATLMISS Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot11
36.0%
13
64.0%
Q1 - 3:33MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 3:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 3:51ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
36.0%
13
64.0%
Q1 - 3:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 4:02ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.8%
13
64.2%
Q1 - 4:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot11
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 4:35ATLBibby 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
36.5%
13
63.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAO'Neal 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 5:22ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)9
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 5:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot9
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 5:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 5:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 6:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot9
45.1%
6
54.9%
Q1 - 6:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 6:18ATLMISS Johnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper9
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
44.0%
6
56.0%
Q1 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot8
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHeat Rebound8
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 7:01ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 7:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 7:06ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 7:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot8
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 7:35ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 7:35ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.4%
4
55.6%
Q1 - 8:00ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup6
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 8:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot6
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Evans 3' Layup6
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 8:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:35MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)6
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 8:50ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot6
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot3
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:36ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)3
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)3
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 10:29ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)1
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 10:36ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot1
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 10:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot1
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:20ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)1
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 11:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
39.6%
0
60.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.5%
ATL
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
17
65%
ATL
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIA
16
36
44%
ATL
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
ATL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
25
32
78%
ATL
33
41
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2958%14.5 / 25
M. Beasley1860%9.0 / 15
J. O'Neal1454%7.0 / 13
U. Haslem1169%5.5 / 8
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
D. Cook225%1.0 / 4
C. Quinn2100%1.0 / 1
Y. Diawara250%1.0 / 2
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2557%12.5 / 22
R. Murray2368%11.5 / 17
J. Smith2050%10.0 / 20
M. Bibby1777%8.5 / 11
M. Evans1056%5.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia675%3.0 / 4
A. Horford375%1.5 / 2
S. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
R. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+7
-7
82
ATL
76
+14
-5
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.5%
ATL
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
101.3
MIA 111.0
ATL 130.9 +19.9
Pace
84.1
82.9
MIA 83.7 +4.4
ATL 79.3
Avg. Poss. Time
17.9
16.3
MIA 17.2 +1.0
ATL 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
45.0%
MIA 50.8%
ATL 52.1% +1.3%
TO %
14.8%
13.5%
MIA 8.1%
ATL 6.4% +1.7%
ORB %
24.9%
26.1%
MIA 19.4%
ATL 34.3% +14.9%
FTrt
32.4
32.3
MIA 49.2
ATL 58.6 +9.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
56.2%
MIA 54.8%
ATL 67.6% +12.8%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
MIA 2.4%
ATL 6.2% +3.8%
BLK %
10.3%
6.6%
MIA 2.0%
ATL 3.8% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
48.6%
MIA 55.5%
ATL 58.2% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.7%
53.1%
MIA 64.7%
ATL 66.7% +2.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
33.5%
MIA 44.4%
ATL 48.1% +3.7%
3P %
35.7%
34.7%
MIA 33.3% +7.0%
ATL 26.3%
FT %
81.6%
74.4%
MIA 78.1%
ATL 80.5% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.1%
36.0%
MIA 26.2%
ATL 34.3% +8.1%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
40.1%
MIA 55.4%
ATL 38.6% +16.8%
3P Att. %
28.7%
23.8%
MIA 18.5%
ATL 27.1% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8281
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points91106
Rebounds2937
Assists1723
Steals25
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)25 (3)
Field Goals31-6534-70
At-the-Rim FG11-1716-24
Midrange FG16-3613-27
2-Point FG27-5329-51
3-Point FG4-125-19
Free Throws25-3233-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 29
42.0
6
75%
2
4
1
0
2
3
1
1
3-4
75%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
39.0
29
58%
4
4
0
0
1
4
0
4
10-13
77%
8-17
47%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
37.2
11
69%
8
0
0
0
0
3
3
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
29.5
14
54%
3
1
0
1
0
5
0
3
2-4
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
27.5
7
50%
1
6
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.3
18
60%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
7-7
100%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
21.4
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
6.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
3.7
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
3.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
#2 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
56%
29
17
2
1
7
0
6
23
25-32
78%
27-53
51%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.