Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	38%	90	72	87.8	82	87.7
	16	Heat	62%	94	98	119.5	82	77.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	39.9	7	25%	10	0	1	3	1	5	5	5	1-3	33%	3-11	27%	0-2	0%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	33.9	20	71%	7	3	1	0	4	3	0	7	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	32.1	13	46%	5	2	0	0	3	3	1	4	0-1	0%	5-12	42%	1-2	50%
Maurice Evans F · 6'5" 220 · 30	31.7	5	28%	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Solomon Jones C · 6'10" 235 · 25	22.0	6	75%	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 30	33.8	13	43%	2	2	2	1	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	2-5	40%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	29.6	6	50%	2	0	1	0	1	5	0	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	6.2	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	3.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	3.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Al Horford C-F · 6'8" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	72	43%	36	8	7	5	14	0	12	24	11-18	61%	20-52	38%	7-21	33%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	39.9	7	25%	10	0	1	3	1	5	5	5	1-3	33%	3-11	27%	0-2	0%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	33.9	20	71%	7	3	1	0	4	3	0	7	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	32.1	13	46%	5	2	0	0	3	3	1	4	0-1	0%	5-12	42%	1-2	50%
Maurice Evans F · 6'5" 220 · 30	31.7	5	28%	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Solomon Jones C · 6'10" 235 · 25	22.0	6	75%	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 30	33.8	13	43%	2	2	2	1	2	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	2-5	40%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	29.6	6	50%	2	0	1	0	1	5	0	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	6.2	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	3.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	3.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Al Horford C-F · 6'8" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	72	43%	36	8	7	5	14	0	12	24	11-18	61%	20-52	38%	7-21	33%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	42.1	9	56%	3	8	5	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	39.1	41	68%	5	2	0	2	0	1	0	5	16-17	94%	8-16	50%	3-7	43%
James Jones F · 6'8" 218 · 29	38.0	11	92%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	5-5	100%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 27	35.2	6	100%	8	0	0	3	1	4	5	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 29	11.5	2	50%	6	0	0	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	35.6	22	44%	15	1	0	0	1	3	4	11	0-0	-	11-21	52%	0-4	0%
Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	16.6	5	42%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	12.8	2	100%	7	0	0	0	2	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 26	3.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yakhouba Diawara F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jermaine O'Neal C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31	\| NWT - Concussion
Luther Head #13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jamario Moon #8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mark Blount #15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	57%	47	12	5	5	11	0	12	35	21-24	88%	28-53	53%	7-21	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.86 42.9%

MIA

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

14

28

50%

MIA

14

19

74%

Midrange

ATL

6

24

25%

MIA

14

34

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

MIA

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

11

18

61%

MIA

21

24

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bibby	20	71%	10.0 / 14
J. Johnson	13	46%	6.5 / 14
R. Murray	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Smith	7	25%	3.5 / 14
S. Jones	6	75%	3.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Evans	5	28%	2.5 / 9
M. West	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	41	68%	20.5 / 30
M. Beasley	22	44%	11.0 / 25
J. Jones	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Chalmers	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Anthony	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Cook	5	42%	2.5 / 6
U. Haslem	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Magloire	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Y. Diawara	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 101.3 9 104.8	ATL 87.8 MIA 119.5 +31.7
Pace	15 82.9 13 84.1	ATL 87.7 +10.8 MIA 77.0
Avg. Poss. Time	21 16.3 15 17.9	ATL 16.4 −2.3 MIA 18.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 45.0% 6 50.1%	ATL 41.8% MIA 52.0% +10.2%
TO %	8 13.5% 11 14.8%	ATL 16.5% MIA 12.4% −4.1%
ORB %	5 26.1% 7 24.9%	ATL 25.5% MIA 33.3% +7.8%
FTrt	10 32.3 9 32.4	ATL 24.7 MIA 32.4 +7.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 56.2% 14 47.9%	ATL 29.6% MIA 34.3% +4.7%
STL %	4 8.3% 8 7.4%	ATL 8.5% +2.4% MIA 6.1%
BLK %	9 6.6% 4 10.3%	ATL 9.4% MIA 9.6% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 48.6% 6 52.9%	ATL 42.9% MIA 57.0% +14.1%
Rim FG%	13 53.1% 3 60.7%	ATL 50.0% MIA 73.7% +23.7%
Mid FG%	15 33.5% 6 42.2%	ATL 25.0% MIA 41.2% +16.2%
3P %	10 34.7% 8 35.7%	ATL 33.3% MIA 33.3%
FT %	11 74.4% 2 81.6%	ATL 61.1% MIA 87.5% +26.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.0% 15 25.1%	ATL 38.4% +12.7% MIA 25.7%
Mid Att. %	4 40.1% 13 46.2%	ATL 32.9% −13.1% MIA 45.9%
3P Att. %	8 23.8% 2 28.7%	ATL 28.8% +0.4% MIA 28.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	82	82
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	72	98
Rebounds	36	47
Assists	8	12
Steals	7	5
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (2)	35 (0)
Field Goals	27-73	35-74
At-the-Rim FG	14-28	14-19
Midrange FG	6-24	14-34
2-Point FG	20-52	28-53
3-Point FG	7-21	7-21
Free Throws	11-18	21-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg