FinalWin Prob.pScore
1538%90
72
1662%94
98
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
87.88287.7
MIA logo MIA
119.58277.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL72
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)72
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLMISS West Driving Layup72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Diawara Free Throw 2 of 272
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Diawara Free Throw 1 of 272
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:11ATLEvans 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Law 1 AST)72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Diawara 20' Jump Shot70
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:44ATLWest Driving Layup (2 PTS)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26ATLWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Cook 31' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15ATLPachulia Reverse Layup (6 PTS)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05ATLHawks Rebound66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53ATLMurray 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39ATLHawks Rebound63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02ATLChalmers STEAL (5 STL)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (41 PTS)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T14)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (38 PTS)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 163
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Evans: Tip to Smith61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40ATLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Cook 12' Running Jump Shot61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw Technical (35 PTS)61
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:03ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:16MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)58
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 10:36ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS)58
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)56
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:14ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T13)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 11:36MIABeasley Driving Layup (20 PTS)56
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLJohnson Driving Layup (11 PTS)56
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLMurray 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)52
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 1:19MIABeasley 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)52
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:39ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:51MIAChalmers Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)52
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 2:13ATLPachulia Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)52
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIABeasley Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)50
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 2:48MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)50
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 3:07ATLMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot50
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 3:25MIABeasley Driving Layup (14 PTS)50
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 3:44ATLChalmers STEAL (4 STL)50
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 3:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot50
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 249
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 4:15MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)49
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 4:27ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 4:27ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 4:43MIABeasley Driving Dunk (12 PTS)47
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 4:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)47
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)47
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 5:49MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)44
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 6:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 6:17ATLMISS Bibby Driving Layup44
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 6:30MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)44
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 6:53ATLSmith Driving Dunk (5 PTS)44
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q3 - 7:09ATLHawks Rebound42
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot42
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 7:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 7:22ATLMISS Bibby 15' Jump Shot42
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)42
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 8:06ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)42
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)42
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q3 - 8:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot42
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q3 - 8:47ATLEvans Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)42
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 8:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade Layup42
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q3 - 9:05ATLAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)42
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q3 - 9:22ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 9:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q3 - 9:45ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.4%
57
93.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)42
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 10:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q3 - 10:21ATLMISS Smith 9' Jump Hook Shot42
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 10:42MIAAnthony Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)42
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q3 - 11:01ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 11:23MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)42
13.0%
53
87.0%
Q3 - 11:37ATLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)42
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q3 - 11:40ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
16.4%
51
83.6%
Q3 - 11:41ATLMISS Johnson Layup42
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
16.4%
51
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot42
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLBibby 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)40
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
11.9%
51
88.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)38
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)38
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot38
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
9.5%
51
90.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot38
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)38
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)38
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 1:22ATLJones Layup (6 PTS)38
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 1:24ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q2 - 1:26ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)36
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 1:31ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)36
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 1:49MIAAnthony 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 1:52MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
11.9%
47
88.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)35
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)35
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 2:06ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)35
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 2:35MIABeasley Tip Shot (10 PTS)35
15.7%
45
84.3%
Q2 - 2:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)35
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)35
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 2:47ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot35
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 2:53ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Beasley Layup35
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 2:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 3:27ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 3:33ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot33
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 3:58ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)33
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 4:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 4:04ATLMISS Johnson Layup30
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 4:17ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 4:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
10.5%
43
89.5%
Q2 - 4:34ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 4:42ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot30
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 4:52MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
10.5%
43
89.5%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot30
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 5:17ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)30
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 5:17ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)29
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 5:30MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)28
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 5:53ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)28
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 5:58ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 6:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 6:07ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot25
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)25
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)25
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 6:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)25
10.1%
39
89.9%
Q2 - 6:39ATLMISS Evans 16' Jump Shot25
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 6:56ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot25
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 7:14ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
10.4%
39
89.6%
Q2 - 7:14ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 224
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 7:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot24
10.1%
39
89.9%
Q2 - 7:43ATLBibby Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 7:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot22
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 8:06ATLMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)22
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q2 - 8:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot22
8.7%
39
91.3%
Q2 - 8:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot22
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 8:50ATLHawks Rebound22
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 8:51ATLMISS Pachulia Layup22
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIABeasley Tip Shot (6 PTS)22
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
10.1%
37
89.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Beasley Layup22
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
10.1%
37
89.9%
Q2 - 9:20ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 122
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 9:43MIACook 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)20
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 9:52ATLHawks Turnover: Backcourt (T#7)20
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q2 - 10:16MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)20
11.5%
35
88.5%
Q2 - 10:18MIAHEAT Rebound20
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot20
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q2 - 10:40ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
9.0%
35
91.0%
Q2 - 11:08ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)18
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 11:25MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Beasley 4' Running Jump Shot18
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot18
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL18
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound18
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS West 44' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)18
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 218
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot17
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)17
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIACook Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q1 - 1:07ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)17
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 1:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 1:31ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 117
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)15
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)15
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 1:53ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Running Dunk (10 PTS)15
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 2:18ATLMISS Murray Layup15
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 2:54ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)15
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 3:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot12
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 3:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 3:35ATLMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot12
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 4:14ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot12
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)12
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot12
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 5:10ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)12
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)12
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 5:48ATLSmith Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
29.5%
15
70.5%
Q1 - 5:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 5:50ATLMISS Smith Layup10
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 6:12MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)10
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 6:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 6:29ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot10
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 6:54MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
31.3%
13
68.7%
Q1 - 7:16ATLJones Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)10
34.7%
10
65.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 7:41ATLMISS Murray 22' Jump Shot8
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 8:06ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 8:12ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)8
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 8:16ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 8:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot8
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 8:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 8:26ATLMISS Evans Layup8
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 8:47MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 9:09ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)8
36.8%
7
63.2%
Q1 - 9:20ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot5
32.5%
7
67.5%
Q1 - 9:41ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 9:58MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 10:08ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 10:25MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)2
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 10:25MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)2
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 10:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)2
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 10:48ATLJones Layup (2 PTS)2
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 10:49ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 10:50ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAAnthony Layup (2 PTS)0
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 11:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Wade Layup0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:23ATLMISS Smith 5' Running Hook Shot0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:43ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Wade0
34.5%
0
65.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
28
50%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
ATL
6
24
25%
MIA
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
11
18
61%
MIA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby2071%10.0 / 14
J. Johnson1346%6.5 / 14
R. Murray1343%6.5 / 15
J. Smith725%3.5 / 14
S. Jones675%3.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia650%3.0 / 6
M. Evans528%2.5 / 9
M. West233%1.0 / 3
M. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4168%20.5 / 30
M. Beasley2244%11.0 / 25
J. Jones1192%5.5 / 6
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
D. Cook542%2.5 / 6
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Magloire2100%1.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+16
-14
84
MIA
71
+15
-11
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 42.9%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
104.8
ATL 87.8 +31.7
MIA 119.5
Pace
82.9
84.1
ATL 87.7 +10.8
MIA 77.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.9
ATL 16.4 +2.3
MIA 18.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.0%
50.1%
ATL 41.8%
MIA 52.0% +10.2%
TO %
13.5%
14.8%
ATL 16.5%
MIA 12.4% +4.1%
ORB %
26.1%
24.9%
ATL 25.5%
MIA 33.3% +7.8%
FTrt
32.3
32.4
ATL 24.7
MIA 32.4 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
47.9%
ATL 29.6%
MIA 34.3% +4.7%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
ATL 8.5% +2.4%
MIA 6.1%
BLK %
6.6%
10.3%
ATL 9.4%
MIA 9.6% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
52.9%
ATL 42.9%
MIA 57.0% +14.1%
Rim FG%
53.1%
60.7%
ATL 50.0%
MIA 73.7% +23.7%
Mid FG%
33.5%
42.2%
ATL 25.0%
MIA 41.2% +16.2%
3P %
34.7%
35.7%
ATL 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
74.4%
81.6%
ATL 61.1%
MIA 87.5% +26.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
25.1%
ATL 38.4% +12.7%
MIA 25.7%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
46.2%
ATL 32.9% +13.1%
MIA 45.9%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.7%
ATL 28.8% +0.4%
MIA 28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8282
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points7298
Rebounds3647
Assists812
Steals75
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)35 (0)
Field Goals27-7335-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2814-19
Midrange FG6-2414-34
2-Point FG20-5228-53
3-Point FG7-217-21
Free Throws11-1821-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
39.9
7
25%
10
0
1
3
1
5
5
5
1-3
33%
3-11
27%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
33.9
20
71%
7
3
1
0
4
3
0
7
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
32.1
13
46%
5
2
0
0
3
3
1
4
0-1
0%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
31.7
5
28%
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 235 · 25
22.0
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
33.8
13
43%
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
29.6
6
50%
2
0
1
0
1
5
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
6.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
3.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
43%
36
8
7
5
14
0
12
24
11-18
61%
20-52
38%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.