Final Win Prob. pScore
1738%89
78
1862%93
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
94.08376.3
ATL logo Hawks
113.88087.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL78
91
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound78
91
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot78
91
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
91
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
91
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMurray STEAL (1 STL)78
91
Q4 - 0:37.0MIACook Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)78
91
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLWest T.FOUL (P0.PN)77
91
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound77
91
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLMISS West Dunk77
91
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)77
91
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)77
91
Q4 - 1:06MIACook P.FOUL (P3.T4)77
89
Q4 - 1:24MIABeasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
89
Q4 - 1:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
89
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
89
Q4 - 1:32ATLMorris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)74
89
Q4 - 1:46MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)74
89
Q4 - 1:59ATLSmith AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P6.PN)72
89
Q4 - 1:59MIACook Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)72
89
Q4 - 1:59ATLSUB: Morris FOR Smith71
89
Q4 - 2:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
89
Q4 - 2:05ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot71
89
Q4 - 2:29MIABeasley 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)71
89
Q4 - 2:45ATLSUB: Law FOR Bibby69
89
Q4 - 2:45ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)69
89
Q4 - 3:13MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)69
89
Q4 - 3:26ATLHAWKS Rebound67
89
Q4 - 3:26ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot67
89
Q4 - 3:26ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)67
89
Q4 - 3:28ATLSUB: Jones FOR Pachulia67
89
Q4 - 3:28MIASUB: Diawara FOR Jones67
89
Q4 - 3:28ATLHAWKS Rebound67
89
Q4 - 3:28ATLMISS West 4' Driving Layup67
89
Q4 - 3:51ATLSUB: West FOR Johnson67
89
Q4 - 3:51ATLPachulia Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
89
Q4 - 3:51MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade67
88
Q4 - 3:51ATLPachulia Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
88
Q4 - 3:51MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem67
87
Q4 - 3:51MIAHaslem Ejection:First Flagrant Type 267
87
Q4 - 3:51MIAHaslem FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE2 (P4.T3)67
87
Q4 - 4:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
87
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
87
Q4 - 4:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
87
Q4 - 4:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
86
Q4 - 4:17MIAWade Free Throw Technical (31 PTS)67
85
Q4 - 4:17ATLPachulia T.FOUL (P4.PN)66
85
Q4 - 4:17MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)66
85
Q4 - 4:34ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Evans66
85
Q4 - 4:34ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)66
85
Q4 - 4:34MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)66
85
Q4 - 4:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
85
Q4 - 4:50ATLMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup63
85
Q4 - 5:15MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)63
85
Q4 - 5:19ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)63
85
Q4 - 5:46MIABeasley 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
85
Q4 - 6:02ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T5)61
85
Q4 - 6:02ATLPachulia OFF.Foul (P4)61
85
Q4 - 6:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)61
85
Q4 - 6:12ATLSUB: Smith FOR Horford60
85
Q4 - 6:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)60
85
Q4 - 6:12ATLEvans P.FOUL (P3.PN)59
85
Q4 - 6:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
85
Q4 - 6:22ATLMISS Johnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot59
85
Q4 - 6:43ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
85
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot59
85
Q4 - 6:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
85
Q4 - 6:55ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot59
85
Q4 - 7:20MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)59
85
Q4 - 7:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
85
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
85
Q4 - 7:41ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)56
85
Q4 - 8:01ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
82
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot56
82
Q4 - 8:20ATLSUB: Evans FOR Bibby56
82
Q4 - 8:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)56
82
Q4 - 8:21ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)56
82
Q4 - 8:38MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)56
79
Q4 - 8:51ATLJohnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)56
79
Q4 - 9:13ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)56
77
Q4 - 9:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
77
Q4 - 9:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
77
Q4 - 9:13ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P3.PN)54
77
Q4 - 9:23ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)54
77
Q4 - 9:42ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
77
Q4 - 10:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
74
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 254
74
Q4 - 10:07ATLSUB: Horford FOR Smith54
74
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound54
74
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 254
74
Q4 - 10:07ATLSmith S.FOUL (P5.T3)54
74
Q4 - 10:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
74
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
74
Q4 - 10:28ATLSmith P.FOUL (P4.T2)54
74
Q4 - 10:40ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (21 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)54
74
Q4 - 10:55MIA54
72
Q4 - 10:55MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
72
Q4 - 10:55MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
72
Q4 - 10:55ATLBibby S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
72
Q4 - 11:07MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers52
72
Q4 - 11:07MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony52
72
Q4 - 11:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)52
72
Q4 - 11:07ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
72
Q4 - 11:07ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
71
Q4 - 11:07MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T1)52
70
Q4 - 11:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
70
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot52
70
Q4 - 11:47ATLSmith Driving Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)52
70
Q4 - 12:0052
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA52
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound52
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Murray 65' 3PT Jump Shot52
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
68
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
68
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
68
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
68
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T3)52
68
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)52
68
Q3 - 1:22MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T15)52
65
Q3 - 1:22MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)52
65
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)52
65
Q3 - 1:57MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)52
63
Q3 - 2:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
63
Q3 - 2:06ATLMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 2:26MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)52
63
Q3 - 2:38MIAHeat Rebound49
63
Q3 - 2:41ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
63
Q3 - 2:53ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
63
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot49
63
Q3 - 3:01MIASUB: Anthony FOR Beasley49
63
Q3 - 3:01MIAHeat Rebound49
63
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot49
63
Q3 - 3:28ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)49
63
Q3 - 3:50MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)49
61
Q3 - 4:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
61
Q3 - 4:06ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 247
61
Q3 - 4:06ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford47
61
Q3 - 4:06ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
61
Q3 - 4:06MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T2)47
60
Q3 - 4:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
60
Q3 - 4:26ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot47
60
Q3 - 4:53MIAWade 5' Driving Jump Shot (20 PTS)47
60
Q3 - 5:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)45
60
Q3 - 5:09ATLHorford 4' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)45
60
Q3 - 5:25MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)45
58
Q3 - 5:30ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.T4)45
58
Q3 - 5:31ATLSmith P.FOUL (P2.T3)45
58
Q3 - 5:52ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)45
58
Q3 - 6:01MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)45
55
Q3 - 6:14ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans45
55
Q3 - 6:14ATLBibby P.FOUL (P1.T2)45
55
Q3 - 6:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)45
55
Q3 - 6:16ATLMISS Johnson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot45
55
Q3 - 6:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
55
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
55
Q3 - 6:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
55
Q3 - 6:54ATLMISS Horford 3' Jump Shot45
55
Q3 - 7:09ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)45
55
Q3 - 7:17MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
55
Q3 - 7:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)43
55
Q3 - 7:35ATLMISS Bibby 1' Driving Layup43
55
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)43
55
Q3 - 8:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
55
Q3 - 8:11ATLMISS Johnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper41
55
Q3 - 8:20ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
55
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
55
Q3 - 8:45ATLHorford 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)41
55
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)41
53
Q3 - 9:34ATLJohnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)39
53
Q3 - 9:56MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
51
Q3 - 9:56MIAHeat Rebound38
51
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 238
51
Q3 - 9:56ATLEvans S.FOUL (P2.T1)38
51
Q3 - 10:09MIAHeat Rebound38
51
Q3 - 10:09ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
51
Q3 - 10:19MIABeasley P.FOUL (P3.T1)38
51
Q3 - 10:39MIABeasley 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
51
Q3 - 11:04ATLSmith Running Layup (14 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)36
51
Q3 - 11:12ATLHAWKS Rebound36
49
Q3 - 11:12ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
49
Q3 - 11:16ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
49
Q3 - 11:19ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot36
49
Q3 - 11:36MIAJohnson STEAL (5 STL)36
49
Q3 - 12:0036
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound36
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 54' 3PT Jump Shot36
49
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)36
49
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
47
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
47
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLEvans L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)34
47
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Rebound34
47
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
47
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
47
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot34
47
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAHeat Rebound34
47
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Smith Alley Oop Dunk34
47
Q2 - 1:02MIAJohnson STEAL (4 STL)34
47
Q2 - 1:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)34
47
Q2 - 1:09ATLMISS Smith 5' Running Hook Shot34
47
Q2 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)34
47
Q2 - 1:32MIAHaslem Putback Layup (10 PTS)34
47
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot32
47
Q2 - 1:58ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
47
Q2 - 1:58ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
46
Q2 - 1:5832
45
Q2 - 1:58MIABeasley S.FOUL (P2.PN)32
45
Q2 - 2:19MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
45
Q2 - 2:34ATLBibby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
45
Q2 - 2:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
45
Q2 - 2:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
45
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Chalmers Tip Shot30
45
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Jump Shot30
45
Q2 - 2:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
45
Q2 - 3:00ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 230
45
Q2 - 3:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)30
45
Q2 - 3:00MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.PN)30
44
Q2 - 3:12ATLSUB: Evans FOR Murray30
44
Q2 - 3:12ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)30
44
Q2 - 3:20MIABeasley 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)30
44
Q2 - 3:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
44
Q2 - 3:37ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot28
44
Q2 - 3:43MIAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)28
44
Q2 - 4:02ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)28
44
Q2 - 4:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
41
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup28
41
Q2 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
41
Q2 - 4:27ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
41
Q2 - 4:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
41
Q2 - 4:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
41
Q2 - 4:48ATLMurray P.FOUL (P2.PN)26
41
Q2 - 4:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
41
Q2 - 4:57MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony26
40
Q2 - 4:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
40
Q2 - 4:57MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T4)26
39
Q2 - 4:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
39
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
39
Q2 - 5:19MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)26
39
Q2 - 5:31ATLMurray Running Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
39
Q2 - 5:35MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)26
37
Q2 - 5:53ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)26
37
Q2 - 6:08ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
34
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
34
Q2 - 6:20ATLHorford L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)26
34
Q2 - 6:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
34
Q2 - 6:21ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot26
34
Q2 - 6:36MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)26
34
Q2 - 6:36MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P2)26
34
Q2 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)26
34
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup26
34
Q2 - 6:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)26
34
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot26
34
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
34
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
34
Q2 - 7:14ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T3)24
34
Q2 - 7:26ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
34
Q2 - 7:26ATLHAWKS Rebound24
33
Q2 - 7:26ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 224
33
Q2 - 7:26MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T3)24
33
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)24
33
Q2 - 7:43ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia23
33
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)23
33
Q2 - 7:43ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P2.T2)22
33
Q2 - 8:00ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
33
Q2 - 8:20MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
30
Q2 - 8:20MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P1)22
30
Q2 - 8:30MIASUB: Jones FOR Magloire22
30
Q2 - 8:30MIASUB: Anthony FOR Cook22
30
Q2 - 8:30ATLSUB: Smith FOR Horford22
30
Q2 - 8:30MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)22
30
Q2 - 8:39ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 8:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
27
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 9:08ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)22
27
Q2 - 9:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
24
Q2 - 9:16ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
24
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
24
Q2 - 9:33MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley21
24
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)21
24
Q2 - 9:33ATLMurray S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
24
Q2 - 9:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24
Q2 - 9:39ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup20
24
Q2 - 9:55MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones20
24
Q2 - 9:55MIAMagloire L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)20
24
Q2 - 9:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot20
24
Q2 - 10:15ATLPachulia 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)20
24
Q2 - 10:25ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
22
Q2 - 10:28ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
22
Q2 - 10:43ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)20
22
Q2 - 10:43MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)20
22
Q2 - 11:02MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22
Q2 - 11:04ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
22
Q2 - 11:21MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
22
Q2 - 11:34ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
22
Q2 - 11:34ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
21
Q2 - 11:34MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
20
Q2 - 11:37MIABibby STEAL (2 STL)18
20
Q2 - 12:0018
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
20
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
19
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)18
18
Q1 - 0:02.0MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)18
18
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLSUB: West FOR Johnson18
18
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
18
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
18
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 0:31.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR O'Neal18
17
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLSUB: Horford FOR Smith18
17
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.PN)18
16
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
16
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
16
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
15
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
14
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
14
Q1 - 0:55.0MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)18
14
Q1 - 1:14MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Anthony18
14
Q1 - 1:14ATLPachulia Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
14
Q1 - 1:28MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 1:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
14
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Layup18
14
Q1 - 1:50ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper18
14
Q1 - 2:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14
Q1 - 2:11ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot18
14
Q1 - 2:29MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
14
Q1 - 2:40MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers16
14
Q1 - 2:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 13' Running Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 2:58ATLHAWKS Rebound16
14
Q1 - 2:58ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup16
14
Q1 - 3:08MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem16
14
Q1 - 3:08ATLSUB: Murray FOR Evans16
14
Q1 - 3:08ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford16
14
Q1 - 3:08ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
14
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
14
Q1 - 3:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)14
14
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 3:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14
Q1 - 3:48ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 3:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 4:10ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)14
14
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
14
Q1 - 4:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 5:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
14
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
14
Q1 - 5:22ATLMISS Horford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 5:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
14
Q1 - 5:50ATLMISS Horford Dunk12
14
Q1 - 6:09MIAWade 14' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 6:22MIASUB: Beasley FOR Jones10
14
Q1 - 6:22MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)10
14
Q1 - 6:27ATLHorford 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
14
Q1 - 6:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup10
12
Q1 - 6:56ATLSmith 4' Layup (6 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 7:19MIAWade 4' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 8:06ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 8:06MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
9
Q1 - 8:06ATLBibby 2' Running Layup (5 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 8:14ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
7
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot8
7
Q1 - 8:29ATLSmith 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 8:29MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)8
5
Q1 - 8:57ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
5
Q1 - 9:05MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
2
Q1 - 9:23MIAWade 3' Running Layup (4 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
2
Q1 - 9:28ATLMISS Johnson 4' Running Layup6
2
Q1 - 9:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
2
Q1 - 9:41ATLMISS Bibby 2' Layup6
2
Q1 - 10:07MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 10:25ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
0
Q1 - 10:31ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:45ATLMISS Bibby 13' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:47MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:15ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:29MIAHaslem 4' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:48ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Anthony: Tip to Johnson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.8%
ATL
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
14
57%
ATL
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
14
30
47%
ATL
4
20
20%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
ATL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
MIA
22
25
88%
ATL
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3153%15.5 / 29
M. Beasley1761%8.5 / 14
U. Haslem1458%7.0 / 12
J. Jones643%3.0 / 7
M. Chalmers429%2.0 / 7
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
D. Cook250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn2100%1.0 / 1
J. O'Neal0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2771%13.5 / 19
J. Smith2166%10.5 / 16
R. Murray1547%7.5 / 16
M. Bibby1150%5.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia8100%4.0 / 4
A. Horford735%3.5 / 10
S. Jones250%1.0 / 2
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
66
+13
-17
79
ATL
73
+11
-7
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.8%
ATL
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
101.3
MIA 94.0
ATL 113.8 +19.8
Pace
84.1
82.9
MIA 76.3
ATL 87.7 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.9
16.3
MIA 18.9
ATL 16.4 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
45.0%
MIA 44.4%
ATL 48.6% +4.2%
TO %
14.8%
13.5%
MIA 20.4%
ATL 9.9% −10.5%
ORB %
24.9%
26.1%
MIA 30.6% +15.4%
ATL 15.2%
FTrt
32.4
32.3
MIA 39.7 +4.5
ATL 35.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
56.2%
MIA 46.2%
ATL 62.1% +15.9%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
MIA 6.0%
ATL 13.8% +7.8%
BLK %
10.3%
6.6%
MIA 16.7% +14.4%
ATL 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
48.6%
MIA 48.8%
ATL 54.2% +5.4%
Rim FG%
60.7%
53.1%
MIA 57.1% +7.1%
ATL 50.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
33.5%
MIA 46.7% +26.7%
ATL 20.0%
3P %
35.7%
34.7%
MIA 21.1%
ATL 47.8% +26.7%
FT %
81.6%
74.4%
MIA 88.0%
ATL 88.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.1%
36.0%
MIA 22.2%
ATL 39.4% +17.2%
Mid Att. %
46.2%
40.1%
MIA 47.6%
ATL 28.2% −19.5%
3P Att. %
28.7%
23.8%
MIA 30.2%
ATL 32.4% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8380
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points7891
Rebounds3930
Assists1218
Steals511
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)25 (0)
Field Goals26-6329-71
At-the-Rim FG8-1414-28
Midrange FG14-304-20
2-Point FG22-4418-48
3-Point FG4-1911-23
Free Throws22-2522-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
42.1
31
53%
3
4
1
2
4
2
0
3
9-9
100%
8-16
50%
2-9
22%
F · 6'8" 218 · 29
39.9
6
43%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
38.6
14
58%
13
0
1
1
3
4
4
9
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
34.2
4
29%
2
4
2
0
3
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
22.6
2
50%
6
1
0
2
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
33.9
17
61%
7
0
0
2
3
3
2
5
1-4
25%
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
17.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
3.9
2
100%
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
#2 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'8" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
49%
39
12
5
8
17
0
11
28
22-25
88%
22-44
50%
4-19
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.