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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz29%96100
2Lakers71%103113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
45.0
38.7
16
46%
3
17
2
1
0
3
1
2
8-8
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
49%
0-4
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
39.0
34.0
27
72%
9
2
2
1
0
4
1
8
5-6
83%
11-16
7-13
69%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.1
33.1
23.1
7
51%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
22.0
31.7
6
36%
7
1
2
2
0
2
1
6
2-3
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.4
15.1
10.4
7
46%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
5-6
83%
1-5
1-1
20%
41%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
25.8
28.7
8
37%
8
4
1
1
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.2
25.3
28.3
15
51%
8
1
0
1
0
1
7
1
3-4
75%
6-13
4-8
46%
50%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
17.2
15.7
6
30%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.9
14.6
12.2
8
58%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.4
3.0
7.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
2.5
0
0-0
42%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.9
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.7
39.8
30.7
24
60%
4
8
2
1
1
6
0
4
6-7
86%
9-13
6-12
69%
49%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.8
36.6
35.2
20
73%
9
1
2
1
4
1
1
8
6-6
100%
7-11
7-12
64%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
33.6
25.2
21
93%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
3-4
75%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.7
22.6
18.8
8
69%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.5
20.4
27.3
7
49%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
2-5
6-11
40%
57%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.5
33.9
26.0
13
64%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
3-5
60%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.4
21.5
15.6
9
113%
2
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
3-3
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
11.8
19.0
0
0%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.1
11.5
19.0
5
42%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
1-1
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.2
4.3
8.8
6
61%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
3.9
14.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.8
1.0
0
0-0
41%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.