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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz23%9596
1Lakers77%105107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
34.8
32.0
10
50%
6
2
1
2
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
32.6
44.4
14
48%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
3-8
6-12
38%
48%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
31.4
29.7
14
50%
0
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.9
30.4
16.0
8
37%
8
2
0
0
1
2
1
7
3-4
75%
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.4
30.1
39.0
10
47%
9
1
0
1
0
1
1
8
4-6
67%
3-8
7-15
38%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.2
31.2
30.3
16
57%
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
4
4-7
57%
6-11
4-9
55%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.1
22.3
27.3
11
55%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
3-6
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
14.0
8
40%
3
5
1
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.5
4.6
1.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.9
4.3
10.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
4.2
11.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.4
5.9
0
0-1
40%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.3
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.7
42.5
39.9
31
62%
2
4
4
2
1
5
0
2
8-9
89%
7-17
8-16
41%
49%
3-4
75%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.5
38.5
37.9
26
74%
15
4
0
1
3
3
5
10
4-6
67%
8-11
5-10
73%
53%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.8
36.3
39.9
17
51%
11
4
0
1
0
1
3
8
5-8
63%
6-13
7-13
46%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.7
28.9
29.6
9
59%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
27.5
31.3
12
77%
7
4
1
2
2
4
2
5
2-4
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
52%
2-4
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.1
24.0
14.4
6
30%
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.4
19.1
15.9
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.5
11.7
13.0
2
26%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
11.6
0.8
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
2.3
0
0-0
47%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.8
0.1
0
0-0
50%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.5
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.