Final Win Prob. pScore
341%92
84
1059%95
105
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
96.68790.3
SAS logo Spurs
119.38884.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALGreen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASGooden 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)82
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0DALHollins 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)82
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:05DALMavericks Rebound80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DALMISS Singleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DALHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DALGooden STEAL (1 STL)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57SASGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57DALSingleton S.FOUL (P1.T4)80
102
Q4 - 1:57SASGooden 15' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)80
102
Q4 - 2:10DALHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10DALHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.PN)78
100
Q4 - 2:20DALSUB: Carroll FOR Wright78
100
Q4 - 2:20SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
100
Q4 - 2:22DALHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23DALMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASOberto 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00DALSingleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26DALUdoka STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DALGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39SASMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bonner78
98
Q4 - 3:48SASSUB: Gooden FOR Mason Jr.78
98
Q4 - 3:48DALHollins P.FOUL (P2.T3)78
98
Q4 - 3:58DALWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45DALGreen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker73
95
Q4 - 4:57SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)73
95
Q4 - 4:57DALMavericks Rebound73
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DALSUB: Singleton FOR Bass73
95
Q4 - 4:58SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)73
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58SASSUB: Hill FOR Bowen73
94
Q4 - 4:58SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan73
94
Q4 - 4:58DALSUB: Green FOR Terry73
94
Q4 - 4:58DALHollins S.FOUL (P1.T2)73
94
Q4 - 5:13SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14SASMISS Bonner 14' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35DALMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T3)73
94
Q4 - 5:59DALSUB: Hollins FOR Kidd73
94
Q4 - 5:59DALSUB: Barea FOR Nowitzki73
94
Q4 - 5:59DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)73
94
Q4 - 6:01SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)73
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)73
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:14DALMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:30SASSUB: Bowen FOR Udoka73
91
Q4 - 6:30SASSUB: Duncan FOR Gooden73
91
Q4 - 6:30SASGooden Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)73
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:41SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:42DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:53SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:18DALTerry 5' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:28DALMavericks Rebound71
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Udoka 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 7:56DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)71
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:09SASSUB: Bonner FOR Thomas69
91
Q4 - 8:09SASThomas P.FOUL (P5.T2)69
91
Q4 - 8:16DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:17SASMISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:31DALBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 8:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)69
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:4669
89
Q4 - 8:46DALWright S.FOUL (P3.T1)69
89
Q4 - 9:07SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:08DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 9:24SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:43DALBass 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)69
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:58SASUdoka 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 10:13DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 10:13DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 10:13SASUdoka S.FOUL (P2.T1)65
87
Q4 - 10:16DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 10:18SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot65
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 10:36SASSPURS Rebound65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:36DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 10:46SASMISS Parker Layup65
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 10:52SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:53DALMISS Wright 2' Reverse Layup65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 11:13SASThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T11)65
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 11:13SASThomas OFF.Foul (P4)65
87
Q4 - 11:28DALTerry 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)65
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 11:43SASThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)63
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 12:0063
85
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASParker 10' Running Jump Shot (35 PTS)63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALSUB: Wright FOR Nowitzki63
83
Q3 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Gooden63
83
Q3 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Udoka63
83
Q3 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Bowen63
83
Q3 - 0:05.0DALHoward P.FOUL (P3.T4)63
83
Q3 - 0:27.0DALKidd 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)63
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Udoka Layup61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALHoward 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:10DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:29SASMason Jr. 21' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 1:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 1:43SASThomas S.FOUL (P3.T3)57
81
Q3 - 1:58SASGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)57
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 2:09SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 2:10DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot57
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 2:25SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 2:25SASSUB: Gooden FOR Duncan57
80
Q3 - 2:25SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 2:25SASSUB: Udoka FOR Finley57
79
Q3 - 2:25DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.T3)57
79
Q3 - 2:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 2:39DALDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)57
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 2:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:54SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 3:20DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)57
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 3:27SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 3:37SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 3:38DALMISS Kidd 15' Jump Shot54
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 3:51SASSUB: Thomas FOR Udoka54
79
Q3 - 3:51SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Parker54
79
Q3 - 3:51DALSUB: Bass FOR Barea54
79
Q3 - 3:51DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)54
79
Q3 - 3:51SASFinley 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)54
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 3:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 3:54SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot54
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:03DALFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)54
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:16SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)54
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 4:36DALKidd 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)54
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 4:49SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 5:05SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 5:06DALMISS Barea Layup52
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 5:23SASDuncan 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)52
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 5:28DALParker STEAL (2 STL)52
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 5:30SASUdoka P.FOUL (P1.T2)52
72
Q3 - 5:42SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)52
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 5:56SASSPURS Rebound52
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 5:56DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot52
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 5:59DALMavericks Rebound52
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 6:01DALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)52
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 6:19SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bonner52
69
Q3 - 6:19DALSUB: Terry FOR Dampier52
69
Q3 - 6:19DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)52
69
Q3 - 6:21SASParker 7' Jump Shot (33 PTS)52
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 6:44SASJump Ball Bowen vs. Barea: Tip to Bonner52
67
Q3 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 6:47DALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)52
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 7:04SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 7:04SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 7:04DALKidd S.FOUL (P1.T2)52
65
Q3 - 7:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 7:05SASMISS Bonner 8' Jump Shot52
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 7:18DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot52
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 7:36SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS)52
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 7:44SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 7:45DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 8:09SASDuncan 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)52
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 8:22DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 8:39DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
16.9%
61
83.1%
Q3 - 8:40SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot52
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q3 - 8:55SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)52
61
Q3 - 8:56DALDampier 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)52
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 9:03DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 9:04SASMISS Bonner 2' Layup50
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 9:07SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 9:08SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 9:25DALBarea 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 9:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 9:39SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 9:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 9:46DALMISS Kidd 2' Layup47
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 9:56DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot47
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 10:12DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)47
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q3 - 10:36DALDampier S.FOUL (P3.T1)47
59
Q3 - 10:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 10:54DALMISS Dampier 1' Layup47
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 10:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 10:56DALMISS Barea 10' Floating Jump Shot47
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 11:12DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)47
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 11:12SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bowen )46
59
Q3 - 11:16SASBonner P.FOUL (P2.T1)46
59
Q3 - 11:31SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)46
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q3 - 11:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
12.7%
57
87.3%
Q3 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot46
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 12:0046
57
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL46
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Hill46
57
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSUB: Udoka FOR Oberto46
57
Q2 - 0:01.0DALSUB: Bass FOR Howard46
57
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)46
57
Q2 - 0:01.0DALSUB: Wright FOR Dampier46
57
Q2 - 0:01.0DALTerry Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)46
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)45
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMavericks Rebound44
57
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 344
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSUB: Hill FOR Mason Jr.44
57
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas44
57
Q2 - 0:01.0SAS44
57
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P3.PN)44
57
Q2 - 0:01.0SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALBowen STEAL (1 STL)44
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot44
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)44
10.6%
57
89.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)41
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q2 - 1:13SASParker 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)41
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q2 - 1:25DALKidd 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)41
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q2 - 1:38SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Finley38
53
Q2 - 1:38SASSUB: Thomas FOR Bonner38
53
Q2 - 1:3838
53
Q2 - 1:38DALMavericks Rebound38
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 1:38SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot38
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q2 - 1:58DALTerry 2' Layup (2 PTS)38
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 2:00DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 2:01DALMISS Terry 2' Layup36
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 2:07SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)36
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 2:13SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 2:26SASParker 2' Layup (23 PTS)36
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 2:31DALParker STEAL (1 STL)36
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 2:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 3:03DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 3:15DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q2 - 3:16SASMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot33
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 3:31DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 3:31SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T4)32
51
Q2 - 3:31DALDampier 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)32
51
Q2 - 3:40SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 4:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 4:05SASMISS Bonner 2' Layup30
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 4:16SASSPURS Rebound30
51
Q2 - 4:16SASMISS Parker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 230
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 4:16SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (21 PTS)30
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 4:16DALTerry FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T4)30
50
Q2 - 4:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 4:22DALMISS Dampier Alley Oop Layup30
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 4:33SASFinley P.FOUL (P1.T3)30
50
Q2 - 4:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 4:35DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 4:57SASDuncan 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)30
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 5:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 5:07DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot30
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 5:21DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bass30
48
Q2 - 5:21DALSUB: Howard FOR Barea30
48
Q2 - 5:21SASSUB: Bowen FOR Udoka30
48
Q2 - 5:21DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)30
48
Q2 - 5:22SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)30
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 5:41SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 5:43DALBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)30
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)30
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 6:03SASSPURS Rebound30
44
Q2 - 6:03SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 230
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 6:03DALDampier S.FOUL (P2.T3)30
44
Q2 - 6:12SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 6:13DALMISS Terry 1' Layup30
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q2 - 6:31DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 6:32SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot30
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 6:42DALBarea P.FOUL (P1.T2)30
44
Q2 - 6:59DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 6:59DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 6:59SASSUB: Parker FOR Mason Jr.28
44
Q2 - 6:59SASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P2.T2)28
44
Q2 - 7:22SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)28
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 7:36SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 7:38SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 7:38SASMISS Finley 1' Layup28
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Finley 1' Layup28
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 7:46SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 7:47DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot28
13.4%
41
86.6%
Q2 - 8:04DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 8:06SASMISS Udoka 2' Layup28
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 8:18SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen28
41
Q2 - 8:18SASSUB: Duncan FOR Gooden28
41
Q2 - 8:18DALSUB: Dampier FOR Nowitzki28
41
Q2 - 8:18SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
41
Q2 - 8:26DALBarea 1' Layup (2 PTS)28
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 8:32DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 8:33SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q2 - 8:42SASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 8:45DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot26
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 9:06SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
12.5%
41
87.5%
Q2 - 9:21DALKidd 1' Layup (4 PTS)26
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 9:47SASGooden 1' Layup (8 PTS)24
13.7%
38
86.3%
Q2 - 10:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)24
15.5%
36
84.5%
Q2 - 10:03DALMavericks Rebound23
36
Q2 - 10:03DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 223
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 10:03SASGooden S.FOUL (P2.T1)23
36
Q2 - 10:13SASGooden 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)23
15.5%
36
84.5%
Q2 - 10:29DALBass 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)23
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 10:45SASMason Jr. 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)21
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 11:00DALSUB: Kidd FOR Howard21
32
Q2 - 11:00DALHoward L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)21
32
Q2 - 11:01SASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 11:02DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot21
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 11:25SASGooden 2' Layup (4 PTS)21
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 11:41DALNowitzki 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)21
20.4%
30
79.6%
Q2 - 12:0019
30
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
18.8%
30
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Barea 5' Running Jump Shot19
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASMason Jr. 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)19
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Thomas18
28
Q1 - 0:27.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen18
28
Q1 - 0:27.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASThomas S.FOUL (P2.PN)17
28
Q1 - 0:41.0DALMavericks Rebound17
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMISS Gooden 10' Jump Shot17
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot17
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q1 - 1:15SASGooden 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)17
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q1 - 1:27DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q1 - 1:27DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 1:27SASSUB: Udoka FOR Parker15
26
Q1 - 1:27SASThomas P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
26
Q1 - 1:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot15
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q1 - 1:50SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 1:51DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q1 - 2:02DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd15
26
Q1 - 2:02SASGooden P.FOUL (P1.T4)15
26
Q1 - 2:14SASParker Driving Layup (19 PTS)15
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 2:32DALNowitzki 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)15
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q1 - 2:51SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)13
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 3:05SASGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot13
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 3:14DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier13
22
Q1 - 3:14DALDampier P.FOUL (P1.T4)13
22
Q1 - 3:20SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Finley13
22
Q1 - 3:20SASSUB: Gooden FOR Duncan13
22
Q1 - 3:20SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
22
Q1 - 3:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 3:27DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 3:46SASSUB: Thomas FOR Bonner13
22
Q1 - 3:46DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)13
22
Q1 - 3:47SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 3:53SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 3:56DALMISS Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot13
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 4:11SASParker 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)13
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q1 - 4:28DALHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 4:49SASParker 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)11
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:14DALHoward Layup (3 PTS)11
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 5:20SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 5:33DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 5:33DALHoward OFF.Foul (P1)9
16
Q1 - 5:43SASParker 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 5:53DALSUB: Terry FOR Wright9
14
Q1 - 5:53DALWright P.FOUL (P2.T3)9
14
Q1 - 6:03DALKidd 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 6:18SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)7
29.2%
14
70.8%
Q1 - 6:32DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
30.8%
12
69.2%
Q1 - 6:35SASSUB: Bowen FOR Mason Jr.7
12
Q1 - 6:35SASBonner P.FOUL (P1.T3)7
12
Q1 - 6:50SASParker 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)7
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 6:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
34.0%
10
66.0%
Q1 - 6:57DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot7
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 7:03SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 7:26DALDampier 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 7:38SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:54DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)5
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 8:11SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 8:20SASSPURS Rebound3
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 8:21SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot3
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 8:31DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 8:31DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 8:31SASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T2)1
8
Q1 - 8:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)1
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 8:47DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)1
7
Q1 - 8:47DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T2)1
7
Q1 - 8:47SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS)1
7
Q1 - 8:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot1
34.8%
5
65.2%
Q1 - 9:12DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)1
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 9:39SASParker 1' Layup (5 PTS)1
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 9:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
37.5%
3
62.5%
Q1 - 9:46DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot1
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 10:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)1
38.7%
3
61.3%
Q1 - 10:03DALWright S.FOUL (P1.T1)1
2
Q1 - 10:03SASParker 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)1
2
Q1 - 10:14SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:15DALMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot1
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:24DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 10:33SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Howard 2' Layup1
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 10:51DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 10:52SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot1
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:57SASSPURS Rebound1
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 10:57SASMISS Finley Reverse Layup1
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:17DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 21
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:17DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 11:17SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:38SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Dampier: Tip to Bonner0
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.98 48.8%
SAS
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
26
50%
SAS
17
25
68%
Midrange
DAL
10
28
36%
SAS
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
DAL
20
23
87%
SAS
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry1650%8.0 / 16
D. Nowitzki1439%7.0 / 18
J. Kidd1470%7.0 / 10
E. Dampier975%4.5 / 6
B. Bass867%4.0 / 6
J. Howard739%3.5 / 9
J. Barea531%2.5 / 8
R. Hollins4100%2.0 / 2
G. Green4100%2.0 / 2
A. Wright338%1.5 / 4
J. Singleton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3876%19.0 / 25
T. Duncan1359%6.5 / 11
D. Gooden1372%6.5 / 9
R. Mason Jr.1255%6.0 / 11
M. Bonner1155%5.5 / 10
B. Bowen7117%3.5 / 3
M. Finley536%2.5 / 7
I. Udoka217%1.0 / 6
K. Thomas250%1.0 / 2
F. Oberto2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
77
+7
-10
84
SAS
75
+11
-13
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.98 48.8%
SAS
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
104.9
DAL 96.6
SAS 119.3 +22.8
Pace
90.7
86.3
DAL 90.3 +5.4
SAS 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.5
DAL 15.9 −1.0
SAS 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
49.5%
DAL 44.4%
SAS 57.6% +13.2%
TO %
13.5%
12.5%
DAL 12.7% −0.4%
SAS 13.1%
ORB %
24.9%
21.4%
DAL 12.5%
SAS 28.1% +15.6%
FTrt
37.5
26.9
DAL 31.9 +10.4
SAS 21.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.8%
45.7%
DAL 58.6% +13.4%
SAS 45.2%
STL %
7.2%
6.4%
DAL 10.3% +4.6%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
6.5%
5.6%
DAL 6.6%
SAS 9.3% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
51.5%
DAL 48.8%
SAS 60.3% +11.5%
Rim FG%
58.9%
59.2%
DAL 50.0%
SAS 68.0% +18.0%
Mid FG%
46.8%
42.9%
DAL 35.7%
SAS 50.0% +14.3%
3P %
35.4%
33.0%
DAL 33.3%
SAS 38.9% +5.6%
FT %
81.3%
70.9%
DAL 87.0% +4.6%
SAS 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.3%
31.3%
DAL 36.1% +4.5%
SAS 31.6%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
45.7%
DAL 38.9% −6.7%
SAS 45.6%
3P Att. %
27.2%
23.0%
DAL 25.0% +2.2%
SAS 22.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points84105
Rebounds2844
Assists1719
Steals95
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)35 (2)
Field Goals29-7242-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2617-25
Midrange FG10-2818-36
2-Point FG23-5435-61
3-Point FG6-187-18
Free Throws20-2314-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
39.0
14
39%
6
3
2
0
0
1
0
6
8-9
89%
3-10
30%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 36
39.0
14
70%
4
5
3
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 210 · 29
30.3
7
39%
3
2
0
0
2
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
22.7
9
75%
4
0
2
2
1
3
2
2
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 25
15.9
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
31.3
16
50%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
22.8
5
31%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 24
20.8
8
67%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 25
6.0
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23
5.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 29
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
49%
28
17
9
4
10
0
5
23
20-23
87%
23-54
43%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.