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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs31%8890
7Mavericks69%9599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
41.8
22.8
25
60%
10
7
2
0
1
4
4
6
11-18
61%
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
41.2
28.6
43
66%
5
3
4
1
1
3
0
5
5-8
63%
16-24
7-14
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
36.0
22.3
7
51%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.9
31.1
23.8
5
63%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
21.9
22.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
19.1
23.5
1
10%
4
1
2
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
17.2
22.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.0
14.5
14.1
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.6
8.8
16.2
1
27%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
8.3
21.8
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
4-9
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
10.4
0
1-2
57%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
9.8
0
1-2
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.5
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.9
40.6
32.8
12
54%
13
1
1
1
1
3
0
13
4-5
80%
4-9
7-14
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.1
39.9
32.1
17
67%
7
7
2
1
0
0
3
4
6-6
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
3-7
43%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
35.8
28.2
28
71%
4
1
1
1
0
4
0
4
11-13
85%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
3-6
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
24.6
28.5
9
51%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
24.2
25.0
10
75%
6
1
1
0
0
4
4
2
6-6
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
32.9
28.4
10
27%
3
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-11
3-6
18%
50%
1-6
17%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
19.2
8.7
2
35%
8
0
0
0
3
0
4
4
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
11.9
20.3
2
25%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
10.9
17.2
9
83%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
2-4
50%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
0.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.7
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
4.1
0
1-1
44%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.