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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets37%8977
6Trail Blazers63%9388
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
41.8
39.9
4
52%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.6
39.6
38.8
15
60%
12
0
0
0
0
2
0
12
1-1
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
52%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.5
39.5
36.7
10
51%
4
5
2
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
4-10
25%
44%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.3
34.6
27.5
13
33%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-12
3-6
42%
43%
1-8
13%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.0
32.2
33.7
21
78%
6
2
0
1
0
4
0
6
1-1
100%
10-13
5-11
77%
51%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.8
15.8
17.4
8
44%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.1
13.6
20.9
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.6
12.6
16.0
4
42%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.9
8.4
4.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
0.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.3
0.5
0
0-0
33%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.4
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.8
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.8
41.0
42.6
25
56%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-5
60%
11-19
8-16
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.2
39.8
39.6
15
86%
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
2-2
100%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.8
38.9
40.5
25
55%
4
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
7-16
7-15
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.5
32.7
25.8
4
67%
6
4
2
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.4
5.8
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.1
35.5
22.4
7
44%
4
0
3
1
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.6
26.9
30.6
10
36%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
1-3
33%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.3
14.3
14.5
2
36%
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
3
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.9
5.2
3.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
5.6
0
1-2
45%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.3
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.4
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.