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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks17%8472
1Cavaliers83%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
40.5
38.3
22
57%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
6-10
60%
8-15
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
39.1
39.4
11
55%
4
6
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
5-12
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
35.3
36.5
19
95%
4
8
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
43%
5-7
71%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
25.6
21.7
4
50%
8
2
1
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
21.3
25.4
6
44%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
31.7
31.1
5
25%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-8
67%
44%
0-6
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
21.4
24.1
4
40%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.9
12.9
6.8
1
17%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
4.5
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.3
4.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
3.3
5.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.8
39.0
39.8
13
55%
4
9
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.4
37.2
37.6
21
76%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
4-8
50%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
34.3
40.3
34
71%
10
3
4
2
0
3
3
7
8-9
89%
10-14
8-15
71%
52%
2-6
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.9
26.9
26.9
7
31%
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
3-5
60%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
26.6
32.3
4
25%
9
0
2
1
1
0
5
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.8
20.4
19.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.7
15.4
11.8
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.5
12.1
2.5
7
60%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
0-0
60%
45%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.2
11.5
10.4
5
63%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
10.0
13.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.5
3.3
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.1
3.3
1.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.7
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.