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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks20%8585
1Cavaliers80%96105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
35.0
22.9
7
45%
12
0
1
1
1
3
5
7
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
33.2
23.4
16
64%
3
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
1-1
100%
6-10
1-3
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.9
30.3
39.1
10
31%
3
1
2
1
0
3
3
0
0-2
0%
5-12
5-11
42%
44%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
30.0
35.7
11
59%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
22.0
39.2
8
27%
1
3
1
1
1
2
1
0
4-4
100%
2-13
6-12
15%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
27.3
31.1
8
59%
1
3
1
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
3-8
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
21.8
7.0
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
15.5
2.5
12
52%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
0-0
17%
42%
3-5
60%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
11.1
2.2
2
50%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.3
7.4
3.5
8
62%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
6.5
4.1
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
0.6
0
0-0
43%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.4
32.4
36.8
15
61%
5
5
0
1
0
2
3
2
2-3
67%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
3-8
38%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
31.2
35.5
27
70%
3
5
4
1
1
0
0
3
6-12
50%
6-9
7-13
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
28.6
27.7
12
67%
8
2
2
1
4
2
4
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.8
28.4
38.8
14
60%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.9
26.8
27.1
6
50%
7
2
0
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
5-10
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.2
21.1
10.9
17
82%
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
3-3
100%
7-9
1-1
78%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.8
19.4
19.8
4
72%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.5
17.4
10.7
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
14.0
10.5
4
42%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.5
12.0
2.7
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.7
6.9
14.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.1
1.9
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.7
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.