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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
May 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers61%9297
18Hawks39%8882
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.8
44.7
32.6
12
61%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.4
43.2
33.2
47
73%
12
8
1
1
1
1
2
10
12-16
75%
10-15
6-12
67%
52%
5-10
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.4
36.5
34.0
11
42%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-6
17%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.9
33.5
26.9
14
65%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-4
50%
6-7
4-9
86%
47%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
25.2
28.4
6
47%
10
1
1
1
0
1
7
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.8
25.9
19.2
7
72%
8
0
0
0
1
5
1
7
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
14.1
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.7
8.3
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.2
7.2
16.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.5
0.8
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.1
0.8
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.5
7.9
0
1-1
48%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.7
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.9
45.8
35.2
21
52%
5
3
3
1
0
3
3
2
2-3
67%
8-16
5-10
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
38.0
33.0
8
50%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
37.0
31.8
18
46%
5
2
0
1
2
2
3
2
2-4
50%
8-17
5-10
47%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
35.6
23.5
6
38%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
19.4
27.5
5
63%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
36.1
29.1
17
61%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.9
13.5
10.1
4
40%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
11.7
28.2
3
80%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
1.5
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
0.8
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.9
0.8
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.3
5.1
0
0-1
41%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.0
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.