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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers62%9284
18Hawks38%8874
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.8
44.6
38.5
21
64%
4
6
1
1
0
3
1
3
5-8
63%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
2-4
50%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
43.4
38.4
27
52%
8
8
1
2
0
3
0
8
6-9
67%
6-16
7-14
38%
52%
3-6
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.4
33.7
34.9
12
55%
4
5
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
4-7
57%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
31.8
26.9
2
26%
11
1
1
1
2
1
7
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.9
31.5
30.3
14
47%
10
0
1
0
2
1
5
5
1-4
25%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
1-1
100%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.8
19.6
22.4
2
33%
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.2
15.0
11.5
6
68%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.7
13.2
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.5
3.9
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
3.4
13.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.5
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.1
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.7
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.4
45.1
34.1
26
61%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
10-12
83%
8-16
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.9
43.7
39.5
18
45%
6
7
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
7-15
5-12
47%
44%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
30.8
34.9
3
25%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.9
29.9
11.9
4
25%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
19.0
28.8
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
32.2
31.9
14
41%
2
2
3
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
44%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
26.4
21.0
9
52%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
5-6
83%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
12.3
23.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
0.6
3.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.3
8.4
0
1-1
43%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
7.8
0
1-1
50%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.3
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.0
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.0
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.