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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets27%90100
2Lakers73%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.6
40.4
39.9
28
65%
10
0
1
0
2
2
1
9
10-10
100%
9-17
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.5
40.1
37.7
21
64%
3
7
1
2
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
5-9
4-10
56%
43%
3-6
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
39.0
39.9
6
44%
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.3
36.1
31.1
19
57%
2
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
4-6
67%
6-9
3-7
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.0
34.5
31.6
10
51%
8
3
2
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.1
17.4
18.8
6
61%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.6
12.2
16.4
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.8
7.8
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.9
6.3
3.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.3
6.1
0.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
1-3
33%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
0.2
0
0-0
40%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.4
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.9
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.8
44.2
38.1
14
47%
13
4
3
1
1
4
5
8
2-2
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.7
44.0
41.0
32
48%
8
4
2
2
0
2
0
8
3-5
60%
13-24
8-16
54%
48%
1-7
14%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
38.3
29.5
10
56%
4
1
2
2
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
52%
0-4
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.7
32.6
29.2
8
37%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.5
15.1
12.5
10
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.5
31.4
38.0
9
42%
5
3
1
1
2
1
4
1
1-6
17%
4-8
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
13.8
18.8
2
25%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.4
12.5
17.0
2
114%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
5.2
5.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
2.9
1.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.1
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.8
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.