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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks
105
5Nuggets
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.9
40
40
35
9
4
0
1
0
3
1
8
12-13
92%
10-18
8-17
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.1
38
37
4
6
7
2
2
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
0-1
1-4
0%
40%
1-5
20%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
30
13
10
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
19
25
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
6
34
0
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
5-11
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
39
32
21
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
3-8
38%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.9
20
24
5
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
16
13
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
14
13
8
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
14
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
2
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
42
34
25
5
5
1
1
1
1
1
4
8-9
89%
7-13
7-15
54%
48%
1-8
13%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.6
39
37
18
3
8
3
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
4-9
44%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
34
34
25
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
9-13
69%
8-12
5-9
67%
57%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.3
29
30
12
7
4
1
1
0
3
1
6
4-5
80%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
15
18
0
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
25
26
8
9
2
1
1
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
55%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
25
29
21
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
3-3
3-6
100%
51%
3-7
43%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
20
18
4
4
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.3
6
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.