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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets
117
10Mavericks
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
43
40
41
11
3
5
1
0
2
3
8
9-11
82%
13-24
8-17
54%
47%
2-5
40%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
42
32
9
8
3
1
1
3
2
0
8
5-10
50%
2-5
5-9
40%
56%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.6
40
39
24
2
7
1
1
1
2
0
2
10-10
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
2-6
33%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.4
33
35
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
17
15
10
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-7
1-3
29%
47%
1-1
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
28
29
19
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
2-3
67%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.4
20
12
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
1-4
25%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
15
18
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
16
0
1-3
55%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.3
1
0
0-0
44%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
0
0
0-0
50%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.0
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.9
44
39
44
13
3
2
1
1
4
1
12
16-17
94%
14-25
8-16
56%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.1
41
39
13
10
6
3
2
0
1
0
10
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
2-5
40%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
34
26
21
11
2
1
1
0
3
3
8
7-8
88%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
23
19
0
4
1
0
0
1
5
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
21
20
8
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
31
34
12
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-7
71%
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
28
21
11
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.9
17
16
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
12
0
1-2
52%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
6
0
1-2
44%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.7
0
0
0-0
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.