FinalWin Prob.pScore
629%96
110
271%104
124
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
125.08889.5
DEN logo DEN
134.89290.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN110
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENNUGGETS Rebound110
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 2110
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)110
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)110
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DALMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)110
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)110
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:24DENNene Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Billups 12 AST)110
0.4%
120
99.6%
Q4 - 1:46DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)110
1.1%
118
98.9%
Q4 - 1:46DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)109
1.0%
118
99.0%
Q4 - 1:47DALBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)108
0.7%
118
99.3%
Q4 - 1:48DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 1:53DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)108
0.7%
118
99.3%
Q4 - 2:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 2:18DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot108
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 2:38DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS)108
0.8%
118
99.2%
Q4 - 2:56DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)108
1.5%
116
98.5%
Q4 - 3:06DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)105
0.7%
116
99.3%
Q4 - 3:06DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2105
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 3:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)105
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 3:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)104
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 3:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)103
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot103
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 3:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)103
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 3:52DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.7%
115
99.3%
Q4 - 3:59DALBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)103
0.9%
115
99.1%
Q4 - 4:00DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 4:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 4:11DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.6%
115
99.4%
Q4 - 4:33DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS)103
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 4:43DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
1.1%
113
98.9%
Q4 - 4:44DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
1.3%
113
98.7%
Q4 - 4:59DENAnthony 9' Running Bank Shot (30 PTS)103
1.7%
113
98.3%
Q4 - 5:19DALBass Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)103
3.7%
111
96.3%
Q4 - 5:19DALBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)100
2.0%
111
98.0%
Q4 - 5:20DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot100
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 5:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)100
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 5:36DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 2100
1.8%
111
98.2%
Q4 - 5:36DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)100
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 5:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 5:50DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot100
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 6:06DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)100
3.6%
110
96.4%
Q4 - 6:23DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)100
6.2%
107
93.8%
Q4 - 6:34DENBillups Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)97
3.5%
107
96.5%
Q4 - 6:35DENAnthony 25' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)97
4.7%
106
95.3%
Q4 - 7:05DALNowitzki Driving Layup (27 PTS)97
9.1%
103
90.9%
Q4 - 7:19DALMavericks Rebound95
7.2%
103
92.8%
Q4 - 7:21DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
6.6%
103
93.4%
Q4 - 7:38DALBass 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)95
5.4%
103
94.6%
Q4 - 7:47DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
4.2%
103
95.8%
Q4 - 7:49DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.8%
103
96.2%
Q4 - 8:00DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P4.T13)93
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 8:15DENMartin 5' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)93
4.9%
103
95.1%
Q4 - 8:24DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
6.3%
101
93.7%
Q4 - 8:25DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper93
6.8%
101
93.2%
Q4 - 8:49DENCarter 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)93
7.9%
101
92.1%
Q4 - 9:12DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)93
11.2%
99
88.8%
Q4 - 9:36DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)90
7.1%
99
92.9%
Q4 - 9:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 9:58DALMISS Bass Free Throw 2 of 290
11.4%
96
88.6%
Q4 - 9:58DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 10:01DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)89
11.7%
96
88.3%
Q4 - 10:13DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
9.6%
96
90.4%
Q4 - 10:13DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
9.2%
96
90.8%
Q4 - 10:18DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 10:20DENMISS Anthony 12' Fadeaway Jumper87
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 10:36DALWright Driving Layup (4 PTS)87
6.3%
96
93.7%
Q4 - 10:48DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T11)85
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 11:07DALBass Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)85
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 11:08DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 11:09DALMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot82
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 11:18DENMartin Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)82
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 11:40DALBass 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN80
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Carter Layup80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Anthony 13' Running Jump Shot80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0DALMartin STEAL (4 STL)80
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENMISS Anthony Layup80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENMISS Martin 8' Running Jump Shot80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENMISS Anthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q3 - 1:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q3 - 1:12DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q3 - 1:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q3 - 1:22DENMISS Martin 5' Jump Hook Shot80
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q3 - 1:37DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q3 - 1:37DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q3 - 1:54DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q3 - 1:54DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 278
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 2:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q3 - 2:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q3 - 2:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q3 - 2:21DALMISS Barea 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 2:44DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)76
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q3 - 2:59DENBillups Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)76
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q3 - 2:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q3 - 3:00DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
4.3%
89
95.7%
Q3 - 3:21DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q3 - 3:21DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q3 - 3:21DALTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T11)76
6.1%
87
93.9%
Q3 - 3:24DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q3 - 3:25DENMISS Nene Slam Dunk76
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q3 - 3:47DALMartin STEAL (3 STL)76
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q3 - 3:59DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q3 - 3:59DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q3 - 4:16DALKidd 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)76
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q3 - 4:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q3 - 4:27DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 274
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q3 - 4:27DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 4:30DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q3 - 4:32DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot74
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q3 - 4:56DENNene Slam Dunk (14 PTS)74
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q3 - 4:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q3 - 4:58DENMISS Martin Driving Layup74
11.5%
82
88.5%
Q3 - 5:21DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)74
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q3 - 5:42DENJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
9.2%
82
90.8%
Q3 - 5:42DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 5:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q3 - 5:50DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.8%
80
88.2%
Q3 - 6:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q3 - 6:03DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q3 - 6:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q3 - 6:29DENBillups Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)72
10.8%
80
89.2%
Q3 - 6:30DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)72
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q3 - 6:52DENBillups Driving Layup (18 PTS)69
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 7:09DALKidd 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)69
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 7:29DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS)66
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 7:46DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)66
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 7:46DALMavericks Rebound66
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q3 - 7:47DALBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)66
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q3 - 8:10DENNene 4' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)66
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q3 - 8:45DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)66
12.9%
73
87.1%
Q3 - 8:53DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)63
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 8:59DENNUGGETS Rebound63
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 9:00DENMISS Billups Driving Layup63
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q3 - 9:13DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 9:15DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot63
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 9:28DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T9)63
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q3 - 9:41DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)63
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 9:52DENJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)60
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 10:14DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)60
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 10:26DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)57
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 10:41DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 10:42DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 10:56DENAnthony 8' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)57
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 11:26DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)57
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 11:45DENJones 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)55
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN55
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound55
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Terry 39' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)55
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALMISS Bass Layup55
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup55
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)55
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T6)53
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q2 - 1:03DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q2 - 1:03DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 252
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q2 - 1:13DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)52
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q2 - 1:31DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)52
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q2 - 1:47DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)50
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q2 - 2:09DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)50
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 2:22DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q2 - 2:24DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 2:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 2:39DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q2 - 2:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q2 - 2:46DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot47
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 2:56DALHoward Layup (13 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)47
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 3:12DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q2 - 3:12DENBillups Tip Shot (13 PTS)45
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q2 - 3:13DENMISS Smith Alley Oop Layup45
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q2 - 3:20DENJump Ball Martin vs. Bass: Tip to Billups45
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q2 - 3:42DENCarter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)45
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q2 - 3:49DENNUGGETS Rebound45
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q2 - 3:49DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q2 - 4:09DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q2 - 4:10DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 4:27DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q2 - 4:27DALDampier Tip Shot (6 PTS)45
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q2 - 4:28DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot43
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q2 - 4:49DENNene Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)43
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q2 - 4:54DALMartin STEAL (2 STL)43
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 5:06DENCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 5:06DENCarter Tip Shot (6 PTS)43
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 5:08DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Hook Shot43
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q2 - 5:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 5:26DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q2 - 5:46DALDampier 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)43
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 6:16DENCarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)41
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 6:26DALWright Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)41
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q2 - 6:45DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)39
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 7:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 7:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q2 - 7:20DENCarter Reverse Layup (2 PTS)37
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 7:21DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 7:22DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 7:35DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 7:36DALMISS Bass 10' Jump Shot37
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 7:57DENAnthony 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)37
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 8:08DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 8:24DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 8:25DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 137
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 8:35DALBarea 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)37
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 8:49DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 8:52DALDampier 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)34
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 9:07DENNene Traveling Turnover (P3.T3)32
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 9:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 9:20DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot32
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 9:42DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)32
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 10:04DALBass Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)32
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 10:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 10:16DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot30
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q2 - 10:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 10:23DALMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot30
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 10:42DENAnthony 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)30
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 10:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 11:01DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 11:02DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 11:28DENAnthony Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)27
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 11:45DENNUGGETS Rebound27
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot27
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN27
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound27
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot27
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALBarea Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALNowitzki 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
11.8%
34
88.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0DALMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot23
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q1 - 1:04DENSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)23
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q1 - 1:21DALBarea Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q1 - 1:38DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)21
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q1 - 1:42DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)21
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 1:52DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)21
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q1 - 2:14DALKidd 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)21
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 2:30DENAnthony 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q1 - 2:48DALHoward Driving Layup (11 PTS)18
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 3:07DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q1 - 3:27DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 3:28DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
17.5%
22
82.5%
Q1 - 3:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
18.5%
22
81.5%
Q1 - 3:35DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot16
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 3:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 3:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 3:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 3:48DALAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)14
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 4:14DENNene Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 4:17DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 4:19DALMISS Kidd 28' 3PT Jump Shot14
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 4:47DENJones Driving Dunk (4 PTS)14
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 4:50DALJones STEAL (1 STL)14
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 5:03DENNene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 5:07DALNene STEAL (1 STL)14
22.8%
16
77.2%
Q1 - 5:30DENNene 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)14
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 5:48DALNowitzki Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 6:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 6:04DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot12
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 6:09DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:14DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 6:15DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot12
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 6:32DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 6:49DALHoward 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)12
25.7%
12
74.3%
Q1 - 7:09DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)10
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 7:23DALMartin STEAL (1 STL)10
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 7:37DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 7:53DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 7:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 3 of 310
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 7:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 310
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 7:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 310
33.5%
7
66.5%
Q1 - 8:01DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.1%
7
67.9%
Q1 - 8:02DENMISS Nene Driving Finger Roll Layup10
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 8:07DALAnthony STEAL (1 STL)10
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 8:31DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)10
32.1%
7
67.9%
Q1 - 8:54DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)10
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 8:58DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)7
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:03DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot7
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 9:10DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot7
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 9:34DALHoward 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)7
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:48DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)5
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 10:06DALHoward 20' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)5
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:23DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:39DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 10:40DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot3
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:52DENMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 11:06DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 11:07DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot3
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 11:18DENJones Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)3
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:39DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)3
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Dampier: Tip to Kidd0
26.1%
0
73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.26 63.2%
DEN
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
17
82%
DEN
20
28
71%
Midrange
DAL
12
23
52%
DEN
17
28
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
DEN
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
DAL
22
29
76%
DEN
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3276%16.0 / 21
J. Kidd1986%9.5 / 11
B. Bass1777%8.5 / 11
J. Howard1447%7.0 / 15
J. Terry1142%5.5 / 13
J. Barea770%3.5 / 5
E. Dampier6100%3.0 / 3
A. Wright450%2.0 / 4
G. Green0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3068%15.0 / 22
C. Billups2888%14.0 / 16
J. Smith1860%9.0 / 15
Nene1777%8.5 / 11
K. Martin1550%7.5 / 15
D. Jones880%4.0 / 5
A. Carter867%4.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
75
+11
-13
86
DEN
79
+15
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.26 63.2%
DEN
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
116.5
DAL 125.0
DEN 134.8 +9.8
Pace
90.7
92.6
DAL 89.5
DEN 90.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.3
DAL 16.1
DEN 15.9 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.6%
DAL 59.5%
DEN 65.2% +5.7%
TO %
13.5%
12.6%
DAL 13.9%
DEN 12.4% +1.5%
ORB %
24.9%
26.4%
DAL 25.7%
DEN 36.4% +10.7%
FTrt
37.5
42.6
DAL 39.2 +12.4
DEN 26.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.8%
60.7%
DAL 60.5%
DEN 64.6% +4.1%
STL %
7.2%
10.0%
DAL 5.7%
DEN 8.7% +3.0%
BLK %
6.5%
9.3%
DAL 3.6%
DEN 5.0% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
56.4%
DAL 63.2%
DEN 66.0% +2.8%
Rim FG%
58.9%
60.6%
DAL 82.4% +11.0%
DEN 71.4%
Mid FG%
46.8%
40.1%
DAL 52.2%
DEN 60.7% +8.5%
3P %
35.4%
38.3%
DAL 35.3%
DEN 42.3% +7.0%
FT %
81.3%
75.9%
DAL 75.9%
DEN 77.3% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.3%
38.4%
DAL 23.0%
DEN 34.1% +11.2%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
34.7%
DAL 31.1% +3.1%
DEN 34.1%
3P Att. %
27.2%
26.9%
DAL 45.9% +14.2%
DEN 31.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions8892
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points110124
Rebounds3038
Assists2331
Steals58
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)26 (2)
Field Goals38-7448-82
At-the-Rim FG14-1720-28
Midrange FG12-2317-28
2-Point FG26-4037-56
3-Point FG12-3411-26
Free Throws22-2917-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
45.3
32
76%
10
7
0
1
5
5
3
7
12-12
100%
7-12
58%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 210 · 36
44.0
19
86%
3
9
1
1
5
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
33.9
11
42%
1
1
2
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-10
30%
F · 6'7" 210 · 29
32.7
14
47%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-5
20%
5-7
71%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
24.3
6
100%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 24
25.2
17
77%
7
1
1
0
0
3
4
3
7-8
88%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
17.5
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25
14.9
4
50%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 25
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 29
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
63%
30
23
5
2
13
0
9
21
22-29
76%
26-40
65%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.