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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Magic28%85107
1Cavaliers72%93106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
41.7
40.0
22
79%
7
3
0
1
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
3-4
75%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.2
41.0
36.1
15
55%
6
14
0
1
0
2
0
6
6-6
100%
3-9
3-8
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
38.0
38.2
30
72%
13
1
2
1
0
3
5
8
2-2
100%
14-20
6-11
70%
55%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.8
31.1
32.2
11
53%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
40%
2-4
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.6
27.4
18.8
4
29%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
30.0
23.5
13
60%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.6
14.6
11.2
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
10.0
9.4
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.3
6.3
4.2
3
61%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.9
24.2
0
1-2
40%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.0
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.2
0.3
0
0-0
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.3
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.8
46.6
41.1
11
42%
1
6
4
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
3-8
38%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.4
41.7
34.1
17
42%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
2-8
25%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.4
41.2
40.7
49
71%
6
8
2
2
3
2
3
3
6-10
60%
17-24
8-15
71%
51%
3-6
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
36.9
29.3
14
79%
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.0
32.0
30.8
10
45%
10
2
0
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.8
15.1
20.8
5
51%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.2
13.4
13.0
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.7
9.8
10.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
3.2
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.5
5.7
0
0-1
43%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.5
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.2
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.7
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.