FinalWin Prob.pScore
424%85
95
176%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
110.58694.5
CLE logo CLE
110.38779.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLCLE
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL95
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)95
7.5%
96
92.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P6.T14)93
54.1%
93
45.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound93
31.4%
93
68.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot93
47.6%
93
52.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)93
32.5%
93
67.5%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
11.9%
93
88.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEMISS James 1' Layup90
10.1%
93
89.9%
Q4 - 1:25CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)90
9.0%
93
91.0%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
10.7%
93
89.3%
Q4 - 1:40CLEWilliams 9' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)90
16.6%
93
83.4%
Q4 - 2:03ORLPietrus 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)90
24.0%
91
76.0%
Q4 - 2:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)88
19.1%
91
80.9%
Q4 - 2:19CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3PT Jump Shot88
15.9%
91
84.1%
Q4 - 2:45CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)88
10.3%
91
89.7%
Q4 - 2:48CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
16.1%
91
83.9%
Q4 - 3:05CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
11.4%
91
88.6%
Q4 - 3:06ORLMISS Lee 16' Jump Shot88
13.4%
91
86.6%
Q4 - 3:13CLEWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)88
19.3%
91
80.7%
Q4 - 3:31ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T12)88
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 3:47CLEIlgauskas 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)88
19.7%
91
80.3%
Q4 - 4:05ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)88
25.7%
89
74.3%
Q4 - 4:25CLEWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 4 AST)86
19.4%
89
80.6%
Q4 - 4:44CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q4 - 4:46ORLVarejao BLOCK (1 BLK)86
36.7%
86
63.3%
Q4 - 5:08CLEWilliams 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)86
42.0%
86
58.0%
Q4 - 5:27ORLLee 10' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
50.1%
84
49.9%
Q4 - 5:39ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
42.1%
84
57.9%
Q4 - 5:43CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot84
39.5%
84
60.5%
Q4 - 5:47CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
33.7%
84
66.3%
Q4 - 5:49CLEMISS James 11' Running Jump Shot84
39.5%
84
60.5%
Q4 - 6:14ORLLewis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)84
32.8%
84
67.2%
Q4 - 6:37CLEJames 3' Driving Layup (32 PTS)82
26.8%
84
73.2%
Q4 - 6:54ORLLee 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)82
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q4 - 7:08CLEVarejao Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)80
26.3%
82
73.7%
Q4 - 7:28ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)80
20.9%
82
79.1%
Q4 - 7:47CLEJames Foul Turnover (P5.T11)77
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q4 - 7:53CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q4 - 7:54ORLMISS Lee 9' Running Jump Shot77
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q4 - 8:18ORLMagic Rebound77
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q4 - 8:18CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot77
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q4 - 8:29ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T11)77
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q4 - 8:39CLEJames Foul Turnover (P4.T10)77
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q4 - 8:51ORLLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q4 - 8:51ORLLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 9:09CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)75
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 9:09CLECAVALIERS Rebound75
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 9:09CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 9:37ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)75
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 9:58ORLMagic Rebound73
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 9:58CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 173
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 9:58CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)73
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 10:13ORLGortat 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)73
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q4 - 10:32CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)71
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 10:32CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)71
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q4 - 10:40CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q4 - 10:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot71
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q4 - 11:06CLEWest 15' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 11:36ORLGortat Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q4 - 11:47ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q4 - 11:48CLEMISS James 2' Layup69
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE69
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound69
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLLee Foul Turnover (P3.T10)69
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot69
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q3 - 1:13ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
13.4%
75
86.6%
Q3 - 1:14CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 1:19CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 1:20CLEMISS James 3' Jump Shot69
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 1:47ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 2:02CLEJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)66
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 2:13ORLLewis Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)66
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 2:13ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)65
6.8%
75
93.2%
Q3 - 2:13ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)64
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 2:22CLEWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 2:22CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 2:37ORLLewis 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)63
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 2:47CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)61
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 3:11CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)61
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 3:13ORLMISS Lewis 2' Reverse Layup61
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 3:25CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)61
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 3:52CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 3:53ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 4:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)61
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 4:03CLEMISS Williams 8' Floating Jump Shot61
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q3 - 4:19ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)61
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 4:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)61
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 4:21ORLIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)61
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 4:29CLEWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)61
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 4:32CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 4:33ORLMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot61
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 4:45CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)61
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 4:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 4:45CLEJames 1' Layup (25 PTS)61
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 4:45CLEMISS James 4' Jump Shot61
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q3 - 5:05ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)61
10.3%
68
89.7%
Q3 - 5:20CLEVarejao 7' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)58
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q3 - 5:39CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 5:40ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 5:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)58
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 5:57CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 5:57CLEMISS Varejao 1' Tip Shot58
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q3 - 5:59CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 158
10.3%
66
89.7%
Q3 - 6:16ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)58
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 6:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 6:23CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3PT Jump Shot55
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 6:39ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)55
7.8%
64
92.2%
Q3 - 6:56ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 6:57CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 7:05CLECAVALIERS Rebound52
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 7:05CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 7:28ORLLee 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 7:38CLEWilliams 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 7:55ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q3 - 8:09CLEVarejao 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)48
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 8:34ORLTurkoglu 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 8:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)46
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 8:53CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)46
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 8:53CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot46
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 8:54CLEMISS Varejao 3' Jump Shot46
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 9:13ORLHoward 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)46
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q3 - 9:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)44
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 9:25CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 9:39CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)44
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 9:40ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot44
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 10:01CLEJames 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q3 - 10:13CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 10:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)44
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q3 - 10:34CLEMISS James 23' Jump Shot44
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:41CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q3 - 10:43ORLIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 11:06CLEJames 23' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)44
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q3 - 11:14CLECAVALIERS Rebound44
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 11:14CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup44
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 11:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 11:33ORLMISS Lewis 21' Jump Shot44
6.1%
56
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE44
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound44
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Pavlovic 12' Jump Shot44
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLPavlovic STEAL (1 STL)44
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)44
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 244
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)44
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
6.1%
55
93.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Alston 2' Layup42
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)42
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 1:03CLEMISS Williams 5' Floating Jump Shot42
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 1:22ORLRedick 12' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 1:37CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)40
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q2 - 2:02ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 2:18CLEJames 2' Driving Dunk (12 PTS)37
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 2:42ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 2:42ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 2:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)35
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 2:57CLEMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot35
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 3:15ORLRedick 5' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)35
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 3:26CLEJames 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 3:44ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 3:44ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 232
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 3:46CLEJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)32
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 4:01ORLAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 4:04ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 4:06CLEMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup32
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 4:21ORLAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 4:21ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
4.5%
47
95.5%
Q2 - 4:33CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)30
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 4:33CLEIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)30
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 4:34CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup30
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 4:52ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 229
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMagic Rebound29
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 4:52CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot29
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 5:05CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 5:07ORLMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot29
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 5:22CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)29
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 5:43ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)29
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 6:00CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 6:00CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 6:15ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMagic Rebound23
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot23
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 6:35ORLMagic Rebound23
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 6:36CLEMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 6:55ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 7:01ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 221
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 7:02ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 7:12CLESmith 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)20
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 7:30CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 7:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 7:56CLEPavlovic 2' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)20
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 8:13ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T6)20
3.9%
38
96.1%
Q2 - 8:34CLEPavlovic 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)20
4.3%
38
95.7%
Q2 - 8:51ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P1.T5)20
4.8%
36
95.2%
Q2 - 9:05CLEWilliams 13' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)20
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 9:21CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.0%
34
94.0%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q2 - 9:47CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
6.7%
34
93.3%
Q2 - 9:47CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 9:57ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 9:57ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
7.1%
32
92.9%
Q2 - 9:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)18
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q2 - 9:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot18
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q2 - 10:09ORLMagic Rebound18
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q2 - 10:12CLEMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q2 - 10:17CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q2 - 10:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup18
6.4%
32
93.6%
Q2 - 10:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)18
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q2 - 10:37CLEMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot18
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q2 - 11:00ORLPietrus 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)18
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q2 - 11:18CLESmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q2 - 11:18CLESmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q2 - 11:41CLECAVALIERS Rebound16
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL16
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot16
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0CLEPavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
7.3%
30
92.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0ORLLee Backcourt Turnover (P2.T4)16
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMagic Rebound16
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot16
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0CLEMISS James 9' Turnaround Jump Shot16
9.3%
27
90.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot16
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 1:21CLEWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)16
9.7%
27
90.3%
Q1 - 1:39CLECAVALIERS Rebound16
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 1:40ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 1:53CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)16
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 2:17CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 2:18ORLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 216
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 2:18ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 2:18ORLMagic Rebound15
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 2:19CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot15
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 2:36CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 2:37ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot15
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 2:51CLEIlgauskas 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 3:02CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 3:03ORLMISS Lee 1' Driving Layup15
13.1%
22
86.9%
Q1 - 3:18CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q1 - 3:18CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 3:25ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 3:25ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 214
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 3:38CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 3:56ORLPietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
13.9%
20
86.1%
Q1 - 4:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)11
11.8%
20
88.2%
Q1 - 4:11CLEMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot11
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 4:28ORLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 4:42CLEWilliams 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 4:56CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 4:57ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 29
11.0%
18
89.0%
Q1 - 4:57ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 29
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 5:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)9
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 5:10CLEMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot9
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 5:24ORLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 5:40CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 5:40CLEMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 27
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 5:46CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 5:47ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot7
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 6:00CLEJames 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)7
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 6:06ORLVarejao STEAL (1 STL)7
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 6:22ORLMagic Rebound7
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 6:22CLEMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot7
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 6:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)7
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 6:47ORLHoward Dunk (5 PTS)7
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Running Bank Shot5
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 7:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 7:02CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 15
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 7:05CLEWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.8%
13
88.2%
Q1 - 7:06ORLMISS Alston 1' Layup5
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 7:18CLEWilliams 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
12.8%
13
87.2%
Q1 - 7:38ORLJames STEAL (1 STL)5
13.6%
11
86.4%
Q1 - 7:56CLEIlgauskas 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)5
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 8:15ORLAlston 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 8:25CLEJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)3
14.6%
9
85.4%
Q1 - 8:30ORLWest STEAL (1 STL)3
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 8:47CLEWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:56CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Lewis 7' Running Bank Shot3
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 9:10CLEWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 9:20CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 9:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 23
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 9:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 9:42CLEIlgauskas 11' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 10:07ORLHoward 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 10:17CLEMISS Varejao 16' Jump Shot0
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 10:35CLEMISS James 2' Finger Roll Layup0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:48CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 10:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:04CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 11:04CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
19.3%
1
80.7%
Q1 - 11:04CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:05ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:08ORLWest BLOCK (1 BLK)0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:35CLEMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:44CLECAVALIERS Rebound0
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:45CLEMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Howard: Tip to Varejao0
20.1%
0
79.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.12 55.9%
CLE
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
11
20
55%
CLE
16
28
57%
Midrange
ORL
13
28
46%
CLE
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
CLE
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
ORL
17
25
68%
CLE
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis2361%11.5 / 19
H. Turkoglu2158%10.5 / 18
C. Lee1155%5.5 / 10
D. Howard1042%5.0 / 12
M. Pietrus10100%5.0 / 5
J. Redick788%3.5 / 4
A. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
R. Alston425%2.0 / 8
M. Gortat4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3560%17.5 / 29
M. Williams1941%9.5 / 23
D. West1286%6.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas1243%6.0 / 14
S. Pavlovic964%4.5 / 7
J. Smith5125%2.5 / 2
A. Varejao433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+9
-12
83
CLE
75
+15
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.12 55.9%
CLE
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.7
112.8
ORL 110.5 +0.1
CLE 110.3
Pace
88.9
85.9
ORL 94.5 +14.6
CLE 79.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
17.9
ORL 15.2 +2.8
CLE 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
50.7%
ORL 54.9% +6.2%
CLE 48.7%
TO %
14.1%
13.0%
ORL 12.8% +0.9%
CLE 13.7%
ORB %
21.6%
27.6%
ORL 18.9%
CLE 25.8% +6.9%
FTrt
36.0
38.3
ORL 35.2 +1.4
CLE 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.7%
55.0%
ORL 47.1%
CLE 48.6% +1.5%
STL %
7.5%
7.8%
ORL 7.0% +1.3%
CLE 5.7%
BLK %
8.0%
8.2%
ORL 12.1% +3.8%
CLE 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
53.7%
ORL 55.9% +3.7%
CLE 52.2%
Rim FG%
59.1%
63.3%
ORL 55.0%
CLE 57.1% +2.1%
Mid FG%
41.5%
41.9%
ORL 46.4%
CLE 46.7% +0.3%
3P %
36.0%
33.6%
ORL 43.5% +17.2%
CLE 26.3%
FT %
72.2%
74.2%
ORL 68.0%
CLE 80.8% +12.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
30.8%
ORL 28.2%
CLE 36.4% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
42.9%
ORL 39.4%
CLE 39.0% +0.5%
3P Att. %
30.9%
26.3%
ORL 32.4% +7.7%
CLE 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLCLE
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points9596
Rebounds3038
Assists1617
Steals65
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (7)30 (2)
Field Goals34-7135-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2016-28
Midrange FG13-2814-30
2-Point FG24-4830-58
3-Point FG10-235-19
Free Throws17-2521-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
43.1
23
61%
5
1
2
0
0
3
0
5
7-9
78%
2-8
25%
4-7
57%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
40.4
21
58%
2
4
1
0
2
5
1
1
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
38.1
10
42%
18
4
1
2
4
4
4
14
4-8
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 24
33.5
11
55%
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
28.5
4
25%
1
2
1
2
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 27
17.0
10
100%
1
0
0
2
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
15.8
5
50%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
9.9
4
100%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
9.8
7
88%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
30
16
6
7
12
0
7
23
17-25
68%
24-48
50%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.