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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
May 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers
103
3Nuggets
97
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.9
43
41
20
11
1
0
1
1
2
1
10
6-8
75%
7-12
7-13
58%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.7
41
39
41
6
5
2
2
0
1
1
5
15-17
88%
10-19
8-17
53%
48%
2-5
40%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
32
30
16
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
3-5
60%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.8
26
27
4
3
2
3
1
0
2
2
1
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.6
21
18
7
4
0
0
0
3
1
0
4
3-6
50%
2-6
4-6
33%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.5
30
29
8
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
2-3
3-7
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
14
17
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.5
14
11
2
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.2
12
11
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.5
8
13
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
3
0
0-1
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.4
1
0
0-0
47%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.8
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.7
40
41
18
6
7
2
1
0
4
0
6
6-7
86%
3-8
3-7
38%
43%
2-7
29%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
37
41
21
5
3
3
1
0
4
0
5
12-14
86%
3-6
9-18
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.4
35
36
6
7
1
0
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
31
34
13
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
5-9
5-9
56%
56%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
17
14
10
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
26
25
10
3
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
2-10
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
24
20
15
7
0
0
0
3
0
2
5
3-4
75%
6-9
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
15
10
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.4
14
16
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.9
0
0
0-0
50%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.1
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.