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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Celtics
100
4Cavaliers
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
34
26
12
7
5
1
1
0
2
0
7
3-3
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
44%
1-1
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.4
31
27
7
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
27
21
10
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.1
26
28
10
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-4
25%
3-3
1-4
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
15
19
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.2
32
25
22
5
10
1
1
0
5
0
5
8-8
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
2-5
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.8
23
16
10
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.1
19
18
7
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.0
18
17
12
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
2-3
67%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
14
19
4
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
1
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.2
1
12
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
7
0
0-1
48%
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.3
42
25
20
6
7
2
1
1
5
0
6
3-4
75%
7-15
5-9
47%
55%
1-3
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.1
41
17
30
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
3-5
60%
6-12
3-5
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.6
33
23
19
12
4
1
0
0
1
3
9
7-8
88%
3-10
2-4
30%
48%
2-4
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.8
23
18
6
8
0
0
0
3
1
3
5
4-4
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
54%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
19
17
9
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.8
32
27
7
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.1
26
21
12
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
4-6
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.5
15
12
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
2-4
50%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.6
9
29
2
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
38%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.0
1
18
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.4
17
0
1-3
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
15
0
0-0
45%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.4
4
0
0-1
47%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.