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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
April 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
103
16Celtics
95
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.3
42.0
36.5
31
55%
11
4
4
2
2
2
1
10
4-5
80%
12-21
7-13
57%
54%
1-5
20%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.1
39.8
34.7
13
48%
1
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
5-6
83%
1-8
5-11
13%
47%
2-3
67%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
38.3
25.9
15
63%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
3-8
38%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.6
37.4
29.1
23
65%
9
3
0
1
0
1
2
7
1-4
25%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
6-10
60%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.8
19.4
24.1
5
56%
6
0
0
0
1
4
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.1
28.1
24.8
12
57%
7
0
0
0
2
1
5
2
4-8
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.8
20.6
27.3
4
50%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.6
10.2
13.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
37%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.5
4.3
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
39%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.4
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.0
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
3.9
0
0-0
42%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.4
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
33.1
31.6
19
60%
8
8
2
1
0
4
0
8
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.4
32.7
28.5
18
47%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
28.5
23.1
9
44%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
22.4
19.3
4
67%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.1
17.7
26.0
8
52%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.8
30.7
24.5
16
98%
7
4
2
1
2
4
2
5
4-5
80%
3-3
3-5
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.1
25.2
10.5
4
29%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.2
21.1
28.0
5
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
16.5
18.8
10
73%
8
0
0
0
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
9.5
2.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.0
2.7
19.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.2
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.8
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.