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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks25%9282
6Bulls75%10191
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.7
38.3
31.0
22
52%
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
3-7
43%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.4
37.9
30.9
6
25%
11
4
2
1
2
2
2
9
2-2
100%
2-11
4-9
18%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
32.9
29.9
12
45%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-11
4-11
45%
42%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
23.7
28.9
8
37%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.2
22.5
20.6
7
39%
6
3
1
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
27.1
23.9
8
37%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
44%
0-3
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.3
25.5
21.0
8
42%
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
3
0-1
0%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
17.0
12.5
3
38%
3
0
4
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
15.2
17.0
8
58%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.7
7.1
0
1-2
41%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 26.3
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.6
5.4
0
1-1
49%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.9
4.4
0
1-1
43%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.6
46.0
36.4
31
62%
9
2
0
2
1
0
2
7
8-14
57%
7-10
5-10
70%
47%
3-9
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
38.1
23.2
15
46%
7
9
1
1
1
3
3
4
5-5
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.8
33.6
34.9
11
38%
16
3
0
0
4
3
2
14
3-6
50%
4-11
7-14
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.6
33.4
32.0
12
50%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
4-9
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.1
32.3
26.4
6
33%
19
5
0
1
1
3
4
15
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
22.4
19.2
8
40%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.4
13.3
17.9
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
11.0
25.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
3
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.3
9.9
23.0
5
83%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-6
100%
44%
1-2
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.1
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.6
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.3
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.