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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Bulls
113
22Bucks
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.6
53
41
24
3
2
3
2
2
3
0
3
7-8
88%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
1-7
14%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
48
30
34
5
8
3
1
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
7-14
5-10
50%
45%
5-9
56%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.2
46
29
2
12
5
2
1
1
3
3
9
0-2
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.8
41
34
17
14
5
1
0
2
2
2
12
5-6
83%
6-10
6-14
60%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.6
30
32
12
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
29
19
6
10
2
0
0
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.4
27
16
16
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
4-8
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.3
10
17
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.3
6
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.2
1
0
0-0
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.6
0
0
0-0
50%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.3
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.4
51
34
25
12
2
0
1
2
3
6
6
5-8
63%
10-22
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.7
49
34
18
3
7
2
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
3-8
38%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
43
31
19
4
9
2
1
0
4
1
3
1-1
100%
9-18
5-11
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
22
26
7
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.2
19
21
2
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.3
39
23
15
14
0
1
1
3
1
6
8
3-6
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
31
25
8
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
21
15
11
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
15
16
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.7
4
0
0-1
43%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 26.3
4
0
0-1
46%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.6
3
0
0-1
50%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.9
2
0
0-1
45%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.