Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Wizards	32%	96	93	94.9	98	86.4
	9	Raptors	68%	102	86	88.7	97	90.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	47.5	16	32%	9	6	1	0	4	2	3	6	3-5	60%	5-16	31%	1-7	14%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 25	43.7	10	28%	6	8	0	1	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	5-16	31%	0-2	0%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 38	36.5	20	91%	4	0	1	1	1	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-7	57%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	26.1	8	57%	8	1	0	0	2	3	3	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 33	21.3	12	43%	13	1	1	0	0	1	7	6	0-2	0%	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	33.5	5	42%	5	1	2	0	0	1	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	23.1	6	30%	10	2	0	1	2	1	4	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 29	16.6	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	16.5	10	50%	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 36	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
DeJuan Blair #45 · C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Garrett Temple #17 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	93	43%	61	22	6	3	10	0	19	42	9-15	60%	33-78	42%	6-21	29%

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18 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	47.5	16	32%	9	6	1	0	4	2	3	6	3-5	60%	5-16	31%	1-7	14%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 25	43.7	10	28%	6	8	0	1	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	5-16	31%	0-2	0%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 38	36.5	20	91%	4	0	1	1	1	4	0	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-7	57%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	26.1	8	57%	8	1	0	0	2	3	3	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 33	21.3	12	43%	13	1	1	0	0	1	7	6	0-2	0%	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	33.5	5	42%	5	1	2	0	0	1	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	23.1	6	30%	10	2	0	1	2	1	4	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 29	16.6	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	16.5	10	50%	4	2	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 36	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
DeJuan Blair #45 · C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Garrett Temple #17 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	93	43%	61	22	6	3	10	0	19	42	9-15	60%	33-78	42%	6-21	29%

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9 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 26	42.9	15	34%	11	6	1	0	3	3	2	9	3-5	60%	6-19	32%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	33.4	7	29%	8	4	1	0	3	6	2	6	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	24.3	6	43%	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	22.1	6	27%	3	0	0	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-6	0%
Tyler Hansbrough F · 6'9" 250 · 29	12.6	4	67%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28	34.1	18	69%	8	1	0	1	2	3	2	6	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	32.5	10	31%	3	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	2-8	25%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	32.1	10	63%	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	31.1	10	83%	2	3	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 20	Inactive · INACTIVE
Lucas Nogueira #92 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	86	43%	48	21	5	4	12	0	10	38	10-14	71%	29-63	46%	6-29	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.85 42.7%

TOR

0.85 42.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

21

33

64%

TOR

19

31

61%

Midrange

WAS

12

45

27%

TOR

10

32

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

6

9.0

21

29%

43%

TOR

6

9.0

29

21%

31%

Free Throws

WAS

9

15

60%

TOR

10

14

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pierce	20	91%	10.0 / 11
B. Beal	16	32%	8.0 / 25
Nene	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Wall	10	28%	5.0 / 18
K. Seraphin	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Gortat	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Gooden	6	30%	3.0 / 10
R. Sessions	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. Porter Jr.	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Johnson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. DeRozan	15	34%	7.5 / 22
L. Williams	10	31%	5.0 / 16
P. Patterson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Vasquez	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Lowry	7	29%	3.5 / 12
J. Valančiūnas	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Ross	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Hansbrough	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 105.6 15 99.5	WAS 94.9 +6.2 TOR 88.7
Pace	4 94.7 5 94.3	WAS 86.4 TOR 90.3 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.8 28 14.0	WAS 16.7 TOR 15.9 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 49.7% 12 45.9%	WAS 42.4% +1.1% TOR 41.3%
TO %	12 14.1% 2 12.1%	WAS 9.4% −1.5% TOR 10.9%
ORB %	4 26.6% 16 19.0%	WAS 33.3% +14.1% TOR 19.2%
FTrt	6 28.0 14 24.1	WAS 15.2 TOR 15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 61.9% 13 53.1%	WAS 56.4% TOR 60.0% +3.6%
STL %	11 7.5% 10 7.7%	WAS 6.1% +0.9% TOR 5.2%
BLK %	8 8.6% 16 3.9%	WAS 4.8% TOR 5.1% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 51.7% 15 48.0%	WAS 42.7% +0.1% TOR 42.6%
Rim FG%	9 55.9% 5 58.5%	WAS 63.6% +2.3% TOR 61.3%
Mid FG%	11 35.3% 12 34.6%	WAS 26.7% TOR 31.3% +4.6%
3P %	1 40.3% 15 30.0%	WAS 28.6% +7.9% TOR 20.7%
FT %	10 72.2% 11 71.8%	WAS 60.0% TOR 71.4% +11.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 36.2% 7 34.8%	WAS 33.3% TOR 33.7% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	8 36.2% 11 36.8%	WAS 45.5% TOR 34.8% −10.7%
3P Att. %	11 27.6% 10 28.3%	WAS 21.2% TOR 31.5% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	TOR
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	27.2	25.8
Points	93	86
Rebounds	61	48
Assists	22	21
Steals	6	5
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (4)	38 (3)
Field Goals	39-99	35-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	19-31
Midrange FG	12-45	10-32
2-Point FG	33-78	29-63
3-Point FG	6-21	6-29
Free Throws	9-15	10-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg