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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 18, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards28%9693
8Raptors72%10486
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.8
47.5
23.2
16
32%
9
6
1
1
0
4
3
6
3-5
60%
5-16
3-7
31%
43%
1-7
14%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
43.7
23.9
10
28%
6
8
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-16
4-8
31%
46%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.5
36.5
12.9
20
92%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
4-7
57%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
26.1
24.9
8
58%
8
1
0
0
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
21.3
20.0
12
43%
13
1
1
1
0
0
7
6
0-2
0%
6-13
3-6
46%
49%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.9
33.5
25.5
5
43%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
23.1
16.6
6
30%
10
2
0
0
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
16.6
23.3
6
61%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.4
16.5
19.7
10
50%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.9
0.1
20.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.2
18.8
0
3-6
48%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.4
13.2
0
1-1
44%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.3
8.7
0
1-3
44%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.0
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
42.9
27.1
15
34%
11
6
1
1
0
3
2
9
3-5
60%
6-19
5-11
32%
44%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.1
33.4
33.0
7
30%
8
4
1
1
0
3
2
6
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.9
24.3
25.3
6
43%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
55%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.2
22.1
27.6
6
27%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-6
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.5
12.6
25.0
4
69%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
34.1
16.5
18
68%
8
1
0
0
1
2
2
6
2-3
67%
8-11
2-4
73%
57%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
32.5
19.0
10
31%
3
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
2-8
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.1
32.1
27.7
10
63%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.3
31.1
27.9
10
83%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.2
13.7
1
2-4
54%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.9
2.8
0
0-0
44%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.6
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.7
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.