Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Wizards	28%	95	117	120.6	97	88.5
	9	Raptors	72%	102	106	110.4	96	106.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	42.1	28	64%	5	2	1	0	3	3	0	5	2-2	100%	10-16	63%	2-5	40%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 25	39.8	26	65%	1	17	1	1	5	1	0	1	8-11	73%	6-12	50%	2-4	50%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	27.7	16	80%	8	1	1	3	1	4	2	6	2-3	67%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 38	27.4	10	56%	2	2	1	1	3	3	0	2	4-6	67%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 33	24.9	6	60%	9	0	1	0	1	2	1	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	34.9	15	75%	9	1	1	0	0	3	4	5	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	18.1	5	36%	6	2	0	1	1	3	3	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 29	14.9	5	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	10.3	6	60%	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
DeJuan Blair #45 · C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Garrett Temple #17 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	45	26	6	6	15	0	10	35	23-34	68%	32-58	55%	10-21	48%

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18 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	42.1	28	64%	5	2	1	0	3	3	0	5	2-2	100%	10-16	63%	2-5	40%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 25	39.8	26	65%	1	17	1	1	5	1	0	1	8-11	73%	6-12	50%	2-4	50%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	27.7	16	80%	8	1	1	3	1	4	2	6	2-3	67%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 38	27.4	10	56%	2	2	1	1	3	3	0	2	4-6	67%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 33	24.9	6	60%	9	0	1	0	1	2	1	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	34.9	15	75%	9	1	1	0	0	3	4	5	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	18.1	5	36%	6	2	0	1	1	3	3	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 29	14.9	5	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	10.3	6	60%	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
DeJuan Blair #45 · C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	Inactive · INACTIVE
Garrett Temple #17 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	45	26	6	6	15	0	10	35	23-34	68%	32-58	55%	10-21	48%

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9 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 26	40.8	20	56%	4	7	1	0	3	5	1	3	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-1	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 23	29.3	15	54%	10	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	27.4	6	27%	2	4	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	24.3	9	75%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Tyler Hansbrough F · 6'9" 250 · 29	12.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	27.9	7	44%	2	5	1	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	26.6	20	56%	1	1	3	0	3	4	1	0	10-10	100%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	25.3	15	125%	4	0	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-3	100%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28	19.0	10	71%	5	0	0	0	1	4	1	4	2-5	40%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	7.1	4	40%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-4	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 20	Inactive · INACTIVE
Lucas Nogueira #92 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	28	19	8	1	10	0	5	23	21-32	66%	32-62	52%	7-18	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.23 61.6%

TOR

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

21

31

68%

TOR

19

31

61%

Midrange

WAS

11

27

41%

TOR

13

31

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10

15.0

21

48%

71%

TOR

7

10.5

18

39%

58%

Free Throws

WAS

23

34

68%

TOR

21

32

66%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	28	64%	14.0 / 22
J. Wall	26	65%	13.0 / 20
M. Gortat	16	80%	8.0 / 10
O. Porter Jr.	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Pierce	10	56%	5.0 / 9
Nene	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Seraphin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Gooden	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Sessions	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	20	56%	10.0 / 18
L. Williams	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Valančiūnas	15	54%	7.5 / 14
P. Patterson	15	125%	7.5 / 6
A. Johnson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Ross	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Vasquez	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Lowry	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. Johnson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 105.6 15 99.5	WAS 120.6 +10.2 TOR 110.4
Pace	4 94.7 5 94.3	WAS 88.5 TOR 106.3 +17.8
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.8 28 14.0	WAS 16.3 TOR 13.6 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 49.7% 12 45.9%	WAS 59.5% +6.4% TOR 53.1%
TO %	12 14.1% 2 12.1%	WAS 14.6% TOR 10.5% −4.1%
ORB %	4 26.6% 16 19.0%	WAS 30.3% +17.8% TOR 12.5%
FTrt	6 28.0 14 24.1	WAS 43.0 +3.0 TOR 40.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 61.9% 13 53.1%	WAS 61.9% +13.2% TOR 48.7%
STL %	11 7.5% 10 7.7%	WAS 6.2% TOR 8.3% +2.1%
BLK %	8 8.6% 16 3.9%	WAS 9.7% +8.0% TOR 1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 51.7% 15 48.0%	WAS 61.6% +7.5% TOR 54.1%
Rim FG%	9 55.9% 5 58.5%	WAS 67.7% +6.4% TOR 61.3%
Mid FG%	11 35.3% 12 34.6%	WAS 40.7% TOR 41.9% +1.2%
3P %	1 40.3% 15 30.0%	WAS 47.6% +8.7% TOR 38.9%
FT %	10 72.2% 11 71.8%	WAS 67.6% +2.0% TOR 65.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 36.2% 7 34.8%	WAS 39.2% +0.5% TOR 38.8%
Mid Att. %	8 36.2% 11 36.8%	WAS 34.2% −4.6% TOR 38.8%
3P Att. %	11 27.6% 10 28.3%	WAS 26.6% +4.1% TOR 22.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	TOR
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.7
Points	117	106
Rebounds	45	28
Assists	26	19
Steals	6	8
Blocks	6	1
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	23 (4)
Field Goals	42-79	39-80
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	19-31
Midrange FG	11-27	13-31
2-Point FG	32-58	32-62
3-Point FG	10-21	7-18
Free Throws	23-34	21-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg