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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors59%104123
9Pelicans41%101119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
46.0
32.0
28
60%
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
4-5
80%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
6-12
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
43.9
35.4
40
57%
5
9
0
2
0
3
1
4
13-14
93%
3-11
4-9
27%
50%
7-18
39%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
40.2
37.9
12
49%
17
5
3
2
1
1
7
10
2-3
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
37.2
24.5
11
56%
7
2
1
1
2
0
4
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.4
25.9
28.4
6
60%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
26.1
28.0
4
24%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-5
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.6
20.2
14.8
12
72%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.4
11.3
14.7
6
44%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
10.7
9.4
2
14%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
3.6
5.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
9.7
0
1-3
51%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.0
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.9
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.1
46.3
41.5
29
56%
15
3
2
2
3
4
3
12
7-9
78%
11-22
10-20
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
39.6
31.0
19
49%
4
8
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
7-12
5-10
58%
46%
1-6
17%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
34.8
35.7
6
28%
4
5
1
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
1-6
17%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
34.7
31.3
6
61%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
20.3
23.5
1
17%
6
1
1
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.0
30.3
15.2
26
82%
5
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
4-4
100%
8-11
1-3
73%
44%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
25.9
25.8
16
80%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
43%
2-4
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
16.8
12.5
10
57%
1
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.0
16.4
16.6
6
100%
5
0
0
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.0
4.1
0
1-1
51%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.1
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
0.1
0
0-0
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.1
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.