Final Win Prob. pScore
337%100
92
263%104
107
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
92.010096.6
LAC logo Clippers
108.199102.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

ClippersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASLAC
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
107
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound92
107
Q4 - 0:02.0SASMISS Mills 15' Jump Shot92
107
Q4 - 0:05.0LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)92
107
Q4 - 0:27.0LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
107
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot92
107
Q4 - 0:35.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
107
Q4 - 0:36.0LACMISS Paul 12' Jump Shot92
107
Q4 - 0:58.0SASBarnes STEAL (4 STL)92
107
Q4 - 1:16LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)92
107
Q4 - 1:41SASJoseph 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)92
107
Q4 - 1:46SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
107
Q4 - 1:47LACMISS Barnes 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
107
Q4 - 2:11SASBelinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)90
107
Q4 - 2:15SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
107
Q4 - 2:17SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
107
Q4 - 2:39LACPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Griffin 6 AST)87
107
Q4 - 2:53LACBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
104
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot87
104
Q4 - 3:16SASSUB: Mills FOR Diaw87
104
Q4 - 3:16SASSUB: Bonner FOR Parker87
104
Q4 - 3:16LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)87
104
Q4 - 3:16SASSUB: Joseph FOR Leonard87
104
Q4 - 3:16SASSUB: Ayres FOR Duncan87
104
Q4 - 3:16LACPaul Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)87
104
Q4 - 3:30LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)87
104
Q4 - 3:31SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
104
Q4 - 3:53LACPaul 14' Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS)87
104
Q4 - 4:02LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)87
102
Q4 - 4:04SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
102
Q4 - 4:15SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
102
Q4 - 4:17LACMISS Jordan Alley Oop Dunk87
102
Q4 - 4:28SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
102
Q4 - 4:28SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
102
Q4 - 4:28LACBarnes S.FOUL (P5.T4) (K.Mauer)85
102
Q4 - 4:38LACPaul 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)85
102
Q4 - 4:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
100
Q4 - 4:52SASSUB: Leonard FOR Green84
100
Q4 - 4:52LACSUB: Barnes FOR Crawford84
100
Q4 - 4:52SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
100
Q4 - 4:52LACGriffin S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Jones)83
100
Q4 - 5:05LACRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Griffin 5 AST)83
100
Q4 - 5:13LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
97
Q4 - 5:15SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
97
Q4 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)83
97
Q4 - 5:23LACMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
97
Q4 - 5:39SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
97
Q4 - 5:49SASSpurs Rebound83
97
Q4 - 5:49LACMISS Griffin 3' Jump Hook Shot83
97
Q4 - 6:12SASBelinelli 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)83
97
Q4 - 6:32LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
97
Q4 - 6:32LACJordan 2' Tip Shot (9 PTS)81
97
Q4 - 6:34LACMISS Redick 17' Step Back Jump Shot81
95
Q4 - 6:49LACCLIPPERS Rebound81
95
Q4 - 6:49SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
95
Q4 - 6:58LACPaul 14' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)81
95
Q4 - 7:07SASGriffin STEAL (3 STL)81
93
Q4 - 7:22LACGriffin Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)81
93
Q4 - 7:22SASDuncan S.FOUL (P4.T3) (E.Malloy)81
92
Q4 - 7:22LACGriffin 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)81
92
Q4 - 7:35LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)81
90
Q4 - 7:36SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)81
90
Q4 - 7:43SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
90
Q4 - 7:47LACMISS Redick 15' Jump Shot78
90
Q4 - 8:03SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)78
90
Q4 - 8:22LACPaul 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
90
Q4 - 8:34LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)75
88
Q4 - 8:35LACMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
88
Q4 - 8:55LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)75
88
Q4 - 8:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 275
88
Q4 - 8:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
88
Q4 - 8:56SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills74
88
Q4 - 8:56SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Leonard74
88
Q4 - 8:56LACSUB: Redick FOR Barnes74
88
Q4 - 8:5674
88
Q4 - 8:56LACBarnes S.FOUL (P4.T2) (E.Malloy)74
88
Q4 - 9:06LACPaul 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)74
88
Q4 - 9:16LACSUB: Griffin FOR Davis74
86
Q4 - 9:16LACSUB: Paul FOR Rivers74
86
Q4 - 9:16SASLeonard P.FOUL (P3.T2) (E.Malloy)74
86
Q4 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
86
Q4 - 9:32SASDuncan Putback Dunk (8 PTS)74
86
Q4 - 9:35SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
86
Q4 - 9:40SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
86
Q4 - 9:41LACMISS Rivers 2' Layup72
86
Q4 - 9:55SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)72
86
Q4 - 10:06SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili69
86
Q4 - 10:06LACCrawford P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Mauer)69
86
Q4 - 10:17LACCrawford 21' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
86
Q4 - 10:26SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Jones)69
84
Q4 - 10:26LACRivers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
84
Q4 - 10:26LACMISS Rivers 2' Layup69
84
Q4 - 10:47SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)69
84
Q4 - 10:58LACCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
84
Q4 - 11:13SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)67
81
Q4 - 11:20LACJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
81
Q4 - 11:22LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)64
81
Q4 - 11:24SASCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)64
81
Q4 - 11:37LACDavis 7' Hook Shot (3 PTS)64
81
Q4 - 12:0064
79
Q3 - 0:00.0LAC64
79
Q3 - 0:00.0SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)64
79
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
79
Q3 - 0:06.0LACMISS Paul 30' 3PT Jump Shot61
79
Q3 - 0:28.0LACSUB: Paul FOR Davis61
79
Q3 - 0:28.0LACCLIPPERS Rebound61
79
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
79
Q3 - 0:33.0LACSUB: Davis FOR Paul61
79
Q3 - 0:33.0SASSpurs Rebound61
79
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 261
79
Q3 - 0:33.0LACSUB: Paul FOR Davis61
79
Q3 - 0:33.0SASSpurs Rebound61
79
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 261
79
Q3 - 0:33.0LACBarnes S.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Mauer)61
79
Q3 - 0:39.0SASSUB: Mills FOR Joseph61
79
Q3 - 0:39.0LACSUB: Rivers FOR Paul61
79
Q3 - 0:39.0LACDavis P.FOUL (P3.T4) (E.Malloy)61
79
Q3 - 0:42.0LACPaul 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)61
79
Q3 - 0:44.0LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
77
Q3 - 0:46.0SASGriffin BLOCK (3 BLK)61
77
Q3 - 1:02LACGriffin Driving Slam Dunk (23 PTS)61
77
Q3 - 1:19SASLeonard 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)61
75
Q3 - 1:25SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
75
Q3 - 1:26SASMISS Leonard 23' Jump Shot59
75
Q3 - 1:36LACCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)59
75
Q3 - 1:42LACDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
72
Q3 - 1:43SASGriffin BLOCK (2 BLK)59
72
Q3 - 1:46SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
72
Q3 - 1:47SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup59
72
Q3 - 2:02LACPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
72
Q3 - 2:02LACCLIPPERS Rebound59
71
Q3 - 2:02LACMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 259
71
Q3 - 2:02SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)59
71
Q3 - 2:02SASJoseph P.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Jones)59
71
Q3 - 2:13SASLeonard 7' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)59
71
Q3 - 2:26LACPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
71
Q3 - 2:32LACBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
68
Q3 - 2:33SASMISS Diaw 3' Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 2:43LACGriffin 3' Jump Hook Shot (21 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 2:59SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)57
66
Q3 - 3:05LACBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)54
66
Q3 - 3:12SASBarnes STEAL (3 STL)54
66
Q3 - 3:33LACPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
66
Q3 - 3:33LACSUB: Davis FOR Jordan54
65
Q3 - 3:33LACPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
65
Q3 - 3:33SASJoseph S.FOUL (P1.T4) (D.Jones)54
64
Q3 - 3:41LACJump Ball Jordan vs. Leonard: Tip to Barnes54
64
Q3 - 3:41LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
64
Q3 - 3:42SASMISS Baynes 1' Layup54
64
Q3 - 4:01LACGriffin Driving Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)54
64
Q3 - 4:14LACSUB: Crawford FOR Redick54
62
Q3 - 4:14SASBaynes L.B.FOUL (P3.T3) (E.Malloy)54
62
Q3 - 4:14LACCLIPPERS Rebound54
62
Q3 - 4:15LACMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 4:21SASPaul STEAL (2 STL)54
62
Q3 - 4:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
62
Q3 - 4:25LACMISS Griffin 2' Layup54
62
Q3 - 4:33LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
62
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Joseph 16' Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 4:41LACJump Ball Barnes vs. Baynes: Tip to Joseph54
62
Q3 - 4:41LAC54
62
Q3 - 4:58LACBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)54
62
Q3 - 5:19SASLeonard Violation:Kicked Ball (D.Jones)54
59
Q3 - 5:24SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green54
59
Q3 - 5:24LACCLIPPERS Rebound54
59
Q3 - 5:25LACMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot54
59
Q3 - 5:36SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
59
Q3 - 5:36SASSpurs Rebound53
59
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 253
59
Q3 - 5:36SASSUB: Diaw FOR Duncan53
59
Q3 - 5:36SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker53
59
Q3 - 5:36LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)53
59
Q3 - 5:36LACJordan S.FOUL (P3.T3) (E.Malloy)53
59
Q3 - 5:46SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
59
Q3 - 5:47LACMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot53
59
Q3 - 5:58LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
59
Q3 - 5:59SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot53
59
Q3 - 6:04LACGriffin P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Jones)53
59
Q3 - 6:20LACGriffin Driving Slam Dunk (17 PTS)53
59
Q3 - 6:43SASParker 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
57
Q3 - 6:55LACPaul 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)51
57
Q3 - 7:07SASParker 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
55
Q3 - 7:20LACGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
55
Q3 - 7:20SASSUB: Baynes FOR Splitter49
54
Q3 - 7:20LACCLIPPERS Rebound49
54
Q3 - 7:20LACMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 249
54
Q3 - 7:20SASSplitter S.FOUL (P3.T2) (D.Jones)49
54
Q3 - 7:26SASParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
54
Q3 - 7:51SASSpurs Rebound47
54
Q3 - 7:51LACMISS Griffin 2' Layup47
54
Q3 - 7:57SASGriffin STEAL (2 STL)47
54
Q3 - 8:16LACPaul 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
54
Q3 - 8:22LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
52
Q3 - 8:23SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot47
52
Q3 - 8:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
52
Q3 - 8:34LACMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot47
52
Q3 - 8:41LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
52
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Green 5' Jump Shot47
52
Q3 - 9:01LACGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
52
Q3 - 9:01LACCLIPPERS Rebound47
51
Q3 - 9:01LACMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 247
51
Q3 - 9:01SASSplitter S.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Mauer)47
51
Q3 - 9:09LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
51
Q3 - 9:10SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot47
51
Q3 - 9:27LACRedick Foul Turnover (P2.T10)47
51
Q3 - 9:27LACRedick OFF.Foul (P2) (E.Malloy)47
51
Q3 - 9:40SASSplitter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)47
51
Q3 - 9:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
51
Q3 - 9:59SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup45
51
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
51
Q3 - 10:08SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 245
51
Q3 - 10:08SASSpurs Rebound45
51
Q3 - 10:08SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 245
51
Q3 - 10:08LACRedick S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Jones)45
51
Q3 - 10:08SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
51
Q3 - 10:08SASGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)45
51
Q3 - 10:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
51
Q3 - 10:14LACMISS Paul 2' Layup45
51
Q3 - 10:19SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)45
51
Q3 - 10:24LACJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)43
51
Q3 - 10:26LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
51
Q3 - 10:28LACMISS Jordan Dunk43
51
Q3 - 10:35LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
51
Q3 - 10:36SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
51
Q3 - 11:02LACJordan Dunk (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)43
51
Q3 - 11:04LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
49
Q3 - 11:05SASMISS Leonard 5' Fadeaway Jumper43
49
Q3 - 11:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
49
Q3 - 11:11SASJordan BLOCK (4 BLK)43
49
Q3 - 11:13SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
49
Q3 - 11:14SASMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
49
Q3 - 11:21LACBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
49
Q3 - 11:26LACCLIPPERS Rebound43
49
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS Splitter 1' Reverse Layup43
49
Q3 - 11:36SASGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
49
Q3 - 11:37SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot43
49
Q3 - 12:0043
49
Q2 - 0:00.0LAC43
49
Q2 - 0:00.0LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
49
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
49
Q2 - 0:20.0LACSUB: Jones FOR Crawford43
49
Q2 - 0:20.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Baynes43
49
Q2 - 0:20.0LACSUB: Davis FOR Jordan43
49
Q2 - 0:20.0LACRivers Personal Take Foul (P1.T3) (K.Mauer)43
49
Q2 - 0:23.0LACJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
49
Q2 - 0:23.0LACJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
48
Q2 - 0:23.0SASMills Personal Take Foul (P2.PN) (E.Malloy)43
47
Q2 - 0:24.0LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
47
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot43
47
Q2 - 0:44.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
47
Q2 - 0:46.0LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 243
47
Q2 - 0:46.0LACJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 0:46.0SASBaynes Personal Take Foul (P2.PN) (E.Malloy)43
46
Q2 - 0:48.0SASBaynes Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)43
46
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
46
Q2 - 0:50.0SASMISS Diaw 3' Jump Shot41
46
Q2 - 1:05LACJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
46
Q2 - 1:05LACCLIPPERS Rebound41
45
Q2 - 1:05LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 241
45
Q2 - 1:05SASMills Personal Take Foul (P1.PN) (E.Malloy)41
45
Q2 - 1:12SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 1:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
45
Q2 - 1:34LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 239
45
Q2 - 1:34SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker39
45
Q2 - 1:34LACCLIPPERS Rebound39
45
Q2 - 1:34LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 239
45
Q2 - 1:34SASBaynes Personal Take Foul (P1.PN) (E.Malloy)39
45
Q2 - 1:37LACJordan Violation:Defensive Goaltending (D.Jones)39
45
Q2 - 1:37SASLeonard 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
45
Q2 - 1:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
45
Q2 - 1:46SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
45
Q2 - 1:54SASSpurs Rebound37
45
Q2 - 1:54SASJordan BLOCK (3 BLK)37
45
Q2 - 2:05SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
45
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
45
Q2 - 2:22LACCrawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
45
Q2 - 2:30SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Belinelli37
43
Q2 - 2:30SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)37
43
Q2 - 2:56LACCrawford 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 3:04SASGriffin STEAL (1 STL)37
41
Q2 - 3:11LACRivers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
41
Q2 - 3:27LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
41
Q2 - 3:28SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 3:47LACRivers 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
41
Q2 - 4:00SASSUB: Baynes FOR Duncan37
39
Q2 - 4:00SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T7)37
39
Q2 - 4:00SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P3) (D.Jones)37
39
Q2 - 4:08LACSUB: Rivers FOR Paul37
39
Q2 - 4:08LACPaul P.FOUL (P3.T2) (E.Malloy)37
39
Q2 - 4:22LACGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
39
Q2 - 4:22SASSUB: Diaw FOR Baynes37
38
Q2 - 4:22SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
38
Q2 - 4:22LACSUB: Crawford FOR Barnes37
38
Q2 - 4:22LACGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
38
Q2 - 4:22SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Mauer)37
37
Q2 - 4:27LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
37
Q2 - 4:28SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot37
37
Q2 - 4:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
37
Q2 - 4:52LACMISS Paul 2' Layup37
37
Q2 - 5:00LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
37
Q2 - 5:01SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
37
Q2 - 5:08SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
37
Q2 - 5:10LACMISS Jordan 2' Hook Shot37
37
Q2 - 5:19LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
37
Q2 - 5:20SASMISS Leonard 10' Jump Shot37
37
Q2 - 5:39LACPaul 15' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)37
37
Q2 - 5:43LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
35
Q2 - 5:45LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 237
35
Q2 - 5:45LACCLIPPERS Rebound37
35
Q2 - 5:45LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 237
35
Q2 - 5:4537
35
Q2 - 5:45SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T4) (E.Malloy)37
35
Q2 - 6:05SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)37
35
Q2 - 6:14SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
35
Q2 - 6:15LACMISS Barnes 17' Jump Shot35
35
Q2 - 6:21LACBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
35
Q2 - 6:22LACMISS Griffin 6' Hook Shot35
35
Q2 - 6:37SASBarnes STEAL (2 STL)35
35
Q2 - 6:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
35
Q2 - 6:52LACMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot35
35
Q2 - 7:06SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 7:06SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
35
Q2 - 7:06LACPaul S.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Mauer)33
35
Q2 - 7:12SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
35
Q2 - 7:13LACMISS Redick 22' Jump Shot33
35
Q2 - 7:19SASSUB: Baynes FOR Diaw33
35
Q2 - 7:19SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Mauer)33
35
Q2 - 7:25SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)33
35
Q2 - 7:44LACRedick 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)30
35
Q2 - 7:59LACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
33
Q2 - 8:00SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 8:09SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
33
Q2 - 8:10LACMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 8:15SASDiaw P.FOUL (P2.T2) (E.Malloy)30
33
Q2 - 8:21SASLeonard 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)30
33
Q2 - 8:42LACGriffin 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)28
33
Q2 - 8:51LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
31
Q2 - 8:53SASMISS Diaw 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
31
Q2 - 9:17LACJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
31
Q2 - 9:17LACSUB: Barnes FOR Crawford28
30
Q2 - 9:17SASSUB: Leonard FOR Ginobili28
30
Q2 - 9:17LACCLIPPERS Rebound28
30
Q2 - 9:17LACMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 228
30
Q2 - 9:17SASDiaw S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Jones)28
30
Q2 - 9:37LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
30
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Diaw 10' Jump Shot28
30
Q2 - 9:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
30
Q2 - 9:48LACMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot28
30
Q2 - 10:09SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills28
30
Q2 - 10:09LACSUB: Paul FOR Rivers28
30
Q2 - 10:09LACSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu28
30
Q2 - 10:09LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)28
30
Q2 - 10:09SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)28
30
Q2 - 10:17LACSUB: Griffin FOR Davis25
30
Q2 - 10:17LACSUB: Jordan FOR Hawes25
30
Q2 - 10:17SASSpurs Rebound25
30
Q2 - 10:17SASMISS Duncan 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot25
30
Q2 - 10:27SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30
Q2 - 10:28LACMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot25
30
Q2 - 10:42SASDiaw 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)25
30
Q2 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
30
Q2 - 10:56LACMISS Davis 3' Hook Shot23
30
Q2 - 11:12SASDiaw 8' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)23
30
Q2 - 11:35LACDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T6)21
30
Q2 - 11:35LACDavis OFF.Foul (P2) (D.Jones)21
30
Q2 - 11:48SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
30
Q2 - 12:0018
30
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
30
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
30
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 42' 3PT Jump Shot18
30
Q1 - 0:01.0LACCrawford 9' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
30
Q1 - 0:12.0SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
28
Q1 - 0:12.0SASSUB: Mills FOR Belinelli17
28
Q1 - 0:12.0LACSUB: Redick FOR Davis17
28
Q1 - 0:12.0SASSUB: Baynes FOR Bonner17
28
Q1 - 0:12.0SASSpurs Rebound17
28
Q1 - 0:12.0SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 217
28
Q1 - 0:12.0LACHawes P.FOUL (P1.PN) (K.Mauer)17
28
Q1 - 0:30.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
28
Q1 - 0:31.0LACMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 217
28
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Green17
28
Q1 - 0:31.0LACDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
28
Q1 - 0:31.0SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.PN) (E.Malloy)17
27
Q1 - 0:49.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
27
Q1 - 0:49.0LACSUB: Hawes FOR Griffin16
27
Q1 - 0:49.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Baynes16
27
Q1 - 0:49.0SASSpurs Rebound16
27
Q1 - 0:49.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 216
27
Q1 - 0:49.0LACDavis P.FOUL (P1.PN) (E.Malloy)16
27
Q1 - 0:53.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
27
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Baynes 6' Jump Shot16
27
Q1 - 1:12LACCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
27
Q1 - 1:19LACSUB: Turkoglu FOR Paul16
24
Q1 - 1:19LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)16
24
Q1 - 1:29LACDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
24
Q1 - 1:31SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
24
Q1 - 1:37LACPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
24
Q1 - 1:44SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)16
24
Q1 - 1:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
24
Q1 - 1:55LACMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot16
24
Q1 - 2:03LACDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
24
Q1 - 2:05SASMISS Green 2' Alley Oop Layup16
24
Q1 - 2:18LACPaul 3' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
24
Q1 - 2:29LACDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
22
Q1 - 2:30SASMISS Diaw 4' Running Hook Shot16
22
Q1 - 2:46LACCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
22
Q1 - 3:09SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
22
Q1 - 3:09SASSpurs Rebound15
22
Q1 - 3:09SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 1 of 215
22
Q1 - 3:09LACPaul P.FOUL (P1.PN) (K.Mauer)15
22
Q1 - 3:16LACGriffin 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)15
22
Q1 - 3:29LACSUB: Rivers FOR Redick15
20
Q1 - 3:29SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
20
Q1 - 3:29SASGinobili Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4) (E.Malloy)15
20
Q1 - 3:40SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 3:41LACMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
20
Q1 - 4:00LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 215
20
Q1 - 4:01SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker15
20
Q1 - 4:01LACSUB: Davis FOR Jordan15
20
Q1 - 4:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
20
Q1 - 4:01LACJordan S.FOUL (P2.T4) (K.Mauer)14
20
Q1 - 4:14SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20
Q1 - 4:15LACMISS Griffin 6' Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 4:27SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 4:27LACSUB: Crawford FOR Barnes13
20
Q1 - 4:27LACBarnes S.FOUL (P2.T3) (K.Mauer)13
20
Q1 - 4:27SASBaynes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)13
20
Q1 - 4:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20
Q1 - 4:36LACMISS Griffin 3' Hook Shot11
20
Q1 - 4:55SASSUB: Green FOR Leonard11
20
Q1 - 4:55SASSUB: Diaw FOR Duncan11
20
Q1 - 4:55LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
20
Q1 - 4:55SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
20
Q1 - 4:55SASLeonard Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3) (K.Mauer)11
20
Q1 - 4:58LACPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
20
Q1 - 5:10LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
20
Q1 - 5:11SASMISS Baynes 2' Layup11
20
Q1 - 5:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
20
Q1 - 5:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 5:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
20
Q1 - 5:33LACMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 5:43LACBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20
Q1 - 5:44SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 211
20
Q1 - 5:44SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
20
Q1 - 5:44LACBarnes S.FOUL (P1.T2) (E.Malloy)10
20
Q1 - 5:59LACBarnes 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)10
20
Q1 - 6:04LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot10
18
Q1 - 6:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18
Q1 - 6:13LACMISS Griffin 1' Layup10
18
Q1 - 6:34SASLeonard Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)10
18
Q1 - 6:43LACGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
18
Q1 - 6:43SASSUB: Baynes FOR Splitter8
17
Q1 - 6:43SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green8
17
Q1 - 6:43LACGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 6:43SASLeonard S.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Mauer)8
16
Q1 - 6:47SASBarnes STEAL (1 STL)8
16
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16
Q1 - 6:54LACMISS Griffin 1' Layup8
16
Q1 - 7:00LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16
Q1 - 7:01SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot8
16
Q1 - 7:18LACRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)8
16
Q1 - 7:31SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
13
Q1 - 7:31LACGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
13
Q1 - 7:53SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)8
13
Q1 - 8:11LACRedick 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)6
13
Q1 - 8:24SASSplitter 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
11
Q1 - 8:39LACGriffin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 8:39SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
10
Q1 - 8:39SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Malloy)4
10
Q1 - 8:39LACGriffin 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)4
10
Q1 - 8:47LACJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Green 10' Jump Bank Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:52SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8
Q1 - 8:54SASJordan BLOCK (2 BLK)4
8
Q1 - 9:15LACBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
8
Q1 - 9:27LACRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
5
Q1 - 9:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 14
5
Q1 - 9:28LACJordan S.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Malloy)4
5
Q1 - 9:28SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
5
Q1 - 9:51LACPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
5
Q1 - 9:57LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
2
Q1 - 9:58SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:04SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:05LACMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:16LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
2
Q1 - 10:17SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:33SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:35LACMISS Griffin Dunk2
2
Q1 - 10:52LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:53SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:06LACGriffin 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:23SASGreen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:29SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:32SASJordan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:43LACRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Jordan vs. Duncan: Tip to Paul0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASLAC
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.85 42.6%
LAC
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
31
45%
LAC
14
29
48%
Midrange
SAS
10
29
34%
LAC
16
31
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
LAC
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
SAS
14
26
54%
LAC
17
28
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard1860%9.0 / 15
T. Duncan1146%5.5 / 12
M. Belinelli1179%5.5 / 7
T. Parker1042%5.0 / 12
M. Ginobili1042%5.0 / 12
P. Mills990%4.5 / 5
D. Green625%3.0 / 12
B. Diaw519%2.5 / 13
A. Baynes536%2.5 / 7
T. Splitter433%2.0 / 6
C. Joseph350%1.5 / 3
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul3273%16.0 / 22
B. Griffin2654%13.0 / 24
J. Crawford1785%8.5 / 10
J. Redick1038%5.0 / 13
D. Jordan941%4.5 / 11
M. Barnes880%4.0 / 5
G. Davis350%1.5 / 3
A. Rivers233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+22
-14
108
LAC
86
+8
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.85 42.6%
LAC
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
109.1
SAS 92.0
LAC 108.1 +16.1
Pace
94.2
98.1
SAS 96.6
LAC 102.6 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.4
SAS 14.9
LAC 14.0 −0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
51.5%
SAS 41.9%
LAC 57.7% +15.8%
TO %
12.4%
12.6%
SAS 12.6% −1.6%
LAC 14.2%
ORB %
24.8%
21.3%
SAS 29.8% +14.0%
LAC 15.8%
FTrt
29.8
36.1
SAS 28.0
LAC 35.9 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
57.0%
SAS 73.5% +33.5%
LAC 40.0%
STL %
6.4%
8.7%
SAS 9.0%
LAC 9.1% +0.1%
BLK %
7.6%
10.4%
SAS 5.0%
LAC 13.3% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.5%
SAS 42.6%
LAC 56.3% +13.7%
Rim FG%
55.3%
64.1%
SAS 45.2%
LAC 48.3% +3.1%
Mid FG%
42.4%
41.6%
SAS 34.5%
LAC 51.6% +17.1%
3P %
36.6%
32.9%
SAS 30.3%
LAC 55.6% +25.3%
FT %
68.0%
66.7%
SAS 53.8%
LAC 60.7% +6.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
33.8%
SAS 33.3%
LAC 37.2% +3.8%
Mid Att. %
36.3%
36.2%
SAS 31.2% −8.6%
LAC 39.7%
3P Att. %
30.7%
30.0%
SAS 35.5% +12.4%
LAC 23.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASLAC
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points92107
Rebounds4946
Assists2516
Steals99
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (5)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)40 (3)
Field Goals34-9340-78
At-the-Rim FG14-3114-29
Midrange FG10-2916-31
2-Point FG24-6030-60
3-Point FG10-3310-18
Free Throws14-2617-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 225 · 24
33.0
18
60%
6
3
4
0
4
3
2
4
3-6
50%
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 39
30.2
11
46%
11
4
1
2
1
4
4
7
3-5
60%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
28.6
10
42%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
21.5
6
25%
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-7
14%
C · 6'11" 245 · 30
9.9
4
33%
3
1
1
0
0
3
3
0
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33
28.3
5
19%
6
5
0
1
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-5
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
20.1
5
36%
5
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
19.2
10
42%
7
6
2
0
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
18.8
11
79%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
12.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
10.6
9
90%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#55 · F · 6'6" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
43%
49
25
9
3
14
0
17
32
14-26
54%
24-60
40%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.