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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers32%9386
10Grizzlies68%99100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
42.0
21.5
32
44%
14
1
0
0
4
2
7
7
4-5
80%
11-29
5-11
38%
45%
2-5
40%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.8
39.4
30.7
14
29%
8
3
0
1
0
0
1
7
4-7
57%
5-15
4-8
33%
46%
0-6
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.3
38.4
16.1
15
58%
7
4
0
0
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
3-6
50%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
37.0
17.1
2
13%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.0
19.3
23.6
2
35%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.1
16.3
25.0
7
72%
9
2
1
0
2
2
0
9
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
15.3
27.3
7
117%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.0
14.3
6.5
7
54%
6
2
0
0
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.1
9.1
16.8
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-3
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.5
3.0
18.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28.2
3.0
17.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.9
3.0
16.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
29.5
0
2-5
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.4
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
39.3
29.5
15
43%
11
7
1
1
3
1
2
9
1-3
33%
7-16
5-11
44%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
35.9
32.2
16
39%
11
0
0
1
0
0
4
7
4-4
100%
6-18
5-11
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.5
29.4
27.1
9
71%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
28.1
31.7
11
40%
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
5-6
83%
3-11
4-8
27%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
23.8
33.4
16
61%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.3
25.3
15.5
4
58%
3
2
3
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
24.2
21.4
20
67%
7
7
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
8-13
3-6
62%
49%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.2
14.3
17.7
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.1
12.5
16.6
5
64%
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.2
3.0
22.6
2
100%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.8
1.4
15.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.8
1.4
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.9
1.4
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.