Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Trail Blazers	30%	92	82	95.3	86	92.3
	6	Grizzlies	70%	99	97	114.1	85	79.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 26	42.5	11	37%	7	7	0	0	4	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 30	41.9	24	48%	14	1	2	4	4	3	3	11	9-10	90%	6-18	33%	1-2	50%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 25	39.9	18	45%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	7-8	88%	4-11	36%	1-5	20%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 27	31.4	10	83%	6	1	1	2	2	3	4	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Allen Crabbe G · 6'6" 215 · 23	23.3	3	75%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	29.0	6	23%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 23	18.5	10	100%	7	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 35	9.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Freeland C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Right Shoulder
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	DND - Left Ankle
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Wesley Matthews #2 · G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	46%	42	11	4	8	13	0	11	31	16-18	89%	24-57	42%	6-20	30%

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10 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 26	42.5	11	37%	7	7	0	0	4	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 30	41.9	24	48%	14	1	2	4	4	3	3	11	9-10	90%	6-18	33%	1-2	50%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 25	39.9	18	45%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	7-8	88%	4-11	36%	1-5	20%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 27	31.4	10	83%	6	1	1	2	2	3	4	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Allen Crabbe G · 6'6" 215 · 23	23.3	3	75%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	29.0	6	23%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 23	18.5	10	100%	7	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 35	9.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Freeland C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Right Shoulder
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	DND - Left Ankle
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Wesley Matthews #2 · G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	46%	42	11	4	8	13	0	11	31	16-18	89%	24-57	42%	6-20	30%

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6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Allen F · 6'4" 213 · 33	36.3	4	50%	9	1	1	3	1	4	2	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 30	35.1	15	42%	7	5	1	3	0	2	1	6	7-7	100%	4-15	27%	0-0	-
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 30	33.1	18	82%	2	1	3	0	0	1	1	1	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 34	33.0	10	31%	10	2	1	0	1	4	3	7	0-0	-	5-15	33%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 28	29.3	18	69%	1	6	1	0	2	0	0	1	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%

Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 29	26.6	9	35%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 33	18.7	10	50%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38	14.5	9	75%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 26	12.7	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 26	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Adams G · 6'5" 209 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Russ Smith #2 · G · 6'0" 165 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Jarnell Stokes #1 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	50%	41	19	9	7	5	0	11	30	13-14	93%	30-73	41%	8-16	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.91 45.6%

MEM

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

12

21

57%

MEM

17

33

52%

Midrange

POR

12

36

33%

MEM

13

40

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

MEM

8

12.0

16

50%

75%

Free Throws

POR

16

18

89%

MEM

13

14

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	24	48%	12.0 / 25
D. Lillard	18	45%	9.0 / 20
N. Batum	11	37%	5.5 / 15
R. Lopez	10	83%	5.0 / 6
M. Leonard	10	100%	5.0 / 5
C. McCollum	6	23%	3.0 / 13
A. Crabbe	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Lee	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Conley	18	69%	9.0 / 13
M. Gasol	15	42%	7.5 / 18
Z. Randolph	10	31%	5.0 / 16
B. Udrih	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Green	9	35%	4.5 / 13
V. Carter	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Allen	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Koufos	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 102.4 10 103.4	POR 95.3 MEM 114.1 +18.8
Pace	14 91.6 13 91.6	POR 92.3 +12.8 MEM 79.5
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.5 16 16.8	POR 15.6 −2.5 MEM 18.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 45.5% 15 45.1%	POR 42.9% MEM 47.2% +4.3%
TO %	3 12.2% 1 11.4%	POR 14.2% MEM 5.9% −8.3%
ORB %	12 22.1% 10 23.6%	POR 26.8% +0.6% MEM 26.2%
FTrt	11 25.8 8 27.0	POR 23.4 +7.7 MEM 15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 49.7% 11 57.0%	POR 36.7% MEM 50.0% +13.3%
STL %	16 3.7% 2 9.3%	POR 4.7% MEM 10.6% +5.9%
BLK %	14 7.2% 10 7.8%	POR 11.0% MEM 12.3% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 49.2% 14 49.0%	POR 45.6% MEM 50.0% +4.4%
Rim FG%	13 51.4% 15 50.3%	POR 57.1% +5.6% MEM 51.5%
Mid FG%	16 33.1% 5 40.8%	POR 33.3% +0.8% MEM 32.5%
3P %	6 35.1% 12 31.2%	POR 30.0% MEM 50.0% +20.0%
FT %	2 82.4% 1 83.2%	POR 88.9% MEM 92.9% +4.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 34.0% 8 34.6%	POR 27.3% MEM 37.1% +9.8%
Mid Att. %	6 34.7% 16 48.8%	POR 46.8% MEM 44.9% −1.8%
3P Att. %	5 31.3% 16 16.6%	POR 26.0% +8.0% MEM 18.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.

Game Totals	POR	MEM
Possessions	86	85
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	82	97
Rebounds	42	41
Assists	11	19
Steals	4	9
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (6)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	30 (1)
Field Goals	30-77	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	12-21	17-33
Midrange FG	12-36	13-40
2-Point FG	24-57	30-73
3-Point FG	6-20	8-16
Free Throws	16-18	13-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg