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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 20, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons
90
4Cavaliers
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.2
37
32
13
8
2
1
1
1
1
0
8
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.0
37
24
14
4
6
3
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.7
36
30
20
7
0
1
1
1
3
5
2
4-16
25%
8-13
5-11
62%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
34
32
11
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
6-6
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
1-5
20%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
33
32
13
8
4
0
1
1
1
3
5
7-8
88%
3-10
4-8
30%
49%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.9
22
17
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
1-2
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.1
12
14
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.1
10
17
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
9
10
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.4
6
14
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
2
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.7
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
3
0
0-0
49%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 25.7
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.3
40
33
27
6
3
3
1
0
5
1
5
1-3
33%
10-14
7-13
71%
55%
2-4
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
34
29
21
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
7-11
64%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.1
34
32
22
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-11
5-11
36%
49%
4-7
57%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.6
32
30
16
10
2
0
1
0
1
1
9
3-6
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
3-7
43%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
13
25
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.8
23
16
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.6
22
17
8
1
9
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.8
18
16
2
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
11
11
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.8
9
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.3
1
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.1
1
8
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.5
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.3
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.