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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 26, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pacers33%9699
6Raptors67%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.0
41.1
35.7
39
80%
8
8
2
2
1
3
1
7
12-12
100%
6-8
5-11
75%
44%
5-11
45%
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.1
35.2
25.9
14
70%
8
1
0
0
3
3
2
6
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.0
34.1
31.1
15
79%
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.5
32.9
30.4
8
37%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
18.9
27.5
4
69%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
30.4
28.0
11
113%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
3-3
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.0
21.5
16.2
2
9%
2
5
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
1-9
2-4
11%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.1
17.5
14.0
5
31%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.5
7.5
12.2
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.2
1.0
7.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
1.9
0
0-1
43%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
39.6
33.3
34
61%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
12-13
92%
8-18
6-15
44%
44%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 196 · 30.1
37.0
36.8
14
48%
4
5
1
2
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
25.9
26.4
7
35%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
51%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
25.8
28.7
5
53%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
22.6
26.7
11
59%
5
2
1
0
2
4
3
2
1-3
33%
5-8
5-10
63%
54%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
28.1
13.5
10
42%
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
0-4
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.7
23.5
15.9
10
74%
16
1
0
0
0
1
4
12
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.7
23.0
18.6
8
62%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.2
14.4
15.9
3
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
1-6
17%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.0
13.1
0
1-2
46%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.2
4.1
0
0-1
53%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.8
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.