Final Win Prob. pScore
1038%98
80
1262%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
86.09395.8
CHA logo Hornets
106.79087.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
96
Q4 - 0:01.0CHAHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)80
96
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
96
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
96
Q4 - 0:25.0CHAHarrison P.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Williams)78
96
Q4 - 0:42.0CHADaniels 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gutierrez 1 AST)78
96
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWeber P.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Callahan)78
94
Q4 - 1:03MIAWright 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
94
Q4 - 1:11MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
94
Q4 - 1:13CHAMISS Lamb 20' Jump Shot76
94
Q4 - 1:28CHASUB: Gutierrez FOR Zeller76
94
Q4 - 1:28CHASUB: Lamb FOR Walker76
94
Q4 - 1:28CHASUB: Harrison FOR Lee76
94
Q4 - 1:28CHASUB: Hansbrough FOR Kaminsky76
94
Q4 - 1:28CHASUB: Daniels FOR Williams76
94
Q4 - 1:28CHAHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)76
94
Q4 - 1:34MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)76
94
Q4 - 1:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
94
Q4 - 1:48CHAMISS Zeller 3' Jump Shot73
94
Q4 - 2:03CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)73
94
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
94
Q4 - 2:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
94
Q4 - 2:12CHAMISS Kaminsky 6' Jump Shot73
94
Q4 - 2:30CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)73
94
Q4 - 2:31MIA73
94
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 273
94
Q4 - 2:31MIAHeat Rebound73
94
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 273
94
Q4 - 2:31MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Winslow73
94
Q4 - 2:31MIASUB: Green FOR Whiteside73
94
Q4 - 2:31MIASUB: Wright FOR Deng73
94
Q4 - 2:3173
94
Q4 - 2:31CHAKaminsky S.FOUL (P4.PN) (M.Callahan)73
94
Q4 - 2:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
94
Q4 - 2:43CHAMISS Kaminsky 6' Jump Shot73
94
Q4 - 3:03CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
94
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Weber 16' Jump Shot73
94
Q4 - 3:15CHAWilliams 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)73
94
Q4 - 3:31CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)73
92
Q4 - 3:32MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 273
92
Q4 - 3:32MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson73
92
Q4 - 3:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
92
Q4 - 3:32CHAKaminsky P.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Williams)72
92
Q4 - 3:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)72
92
Q4 - 3:38CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot72
92
Q4 - 3:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
92
Q4 - 3:49MIASUB: Weber FOR Dragic71
92
Q4 - 3:49MIASUB: Richardson FOR Wade71
92
Q4 - 3:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
92
Q4 - 3:49CHAZeller L.B.FOUL (P5.PN) (M.Callahan)70
92
Q4 - 3:49MIAHeat Rebound70
92
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
92
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot70
92
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot70
92
Q4 - 4:07CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)70
92
Q4 - 4:20CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
90
Q4 - 4:21CHAMISS Lee 16' Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 4:32CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
90
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 4:46CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
90
Q4 - 4:46CHAZeller 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)70
90
Q4 - 4:47CHAMISS Williams 1' Layup70
88
Q4 - 4:53CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
88
Q4 - 4:54CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot70
88
Q4 - 5:07CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)70
88
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 270
88
Q4 - 5:08MIAHeat Rebound70
88
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 270
88
Q4 - 5:08CHAWalker P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Williams)70
88
Q4 - 5:19CHAZeller P.FOUL (P4.PN) (J.Williams)70
88
Q4 - 5:19MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
88
Q4 - 5:19CHAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot70
88
Q4 - 5:27MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)70
88
Q4 - 5:37CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
88
Q4 - 5:37CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
87
Q4 - 5:37MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P5.T2) (S.Wright)70
86
Q4 - 5:37MIADragic L.B.FOUL (P4.T1) (J.Williams)70
86
Q4 - 5:44CHAHORNETS Rebound70
86
Q4 - 5:44CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot70
86
Q4 - 5:49CHASUB: Zeller FOR Jefferson70
86
Q4 - 5:49CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)70
86
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
86
Q4 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)68
86
Q4 - 6:05CHAMISS Lee 14' Fadeaway Jumper68
86
Q4 - 6:31CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)68
86
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 268
86
Q4 - 6:32CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Zeller68
86
Q4 - 6:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
86
Q4 - 6:32CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T4) (J.Williams)67
86
Q4 - 6:49CHASUB: Walker FOR Hawes67
86
Q4 - 6:49CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Lin67
86
Q4 - 6:49CHALee Foul Turnover (P1.T3)67
86
Q4 - 6:49CHALee Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T3) (M.Callahan)67
86
Q4 - 6:53CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)67
86
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup67
86
Q4 - 7:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)67
86
Q4 - 7:06CHAMISS Hawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
86
Q4 - 7:13MIALin STEAL (1 STL)67
86
Q4 - 7:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
86
Q4 - 7:19CHAMISS Lin 12' Jump Shot67
86
Q4 - 7:37CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
86
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
86
Q4 - 7:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)67
86
Q4 - 8:00CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
86
Q4 - 8:14MIADeng 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
86
Q4 - 8:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)65
86
Q4 - 8:30CHAMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
86
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
86
Q4 - 8:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
86
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup63
86
Q4 - 8:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)63
86
Q4 - 8:55CHAMISS Lee 3' Jump Shot63
86
Q4 - 9:05CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
86
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup63
86
Q4 - 9:19CHALee 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Lin 4 AST)63
86
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)63
84
Q4 - 9:34CHALin S.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Callahan)62
84
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)62
84
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)62
84
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup60
84
Q4 - 9:46MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Winslow60
84
Q4 - 9:46MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson60
84
Q4 - 9:46MIA60
84
Q4 - 9:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)60
84
Q4 - 9:46CHALin 1' Running Layup (18 PTS)60
84
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
82
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup60
82
Q4 - 10:11CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
82
Q4 - 10:11CHAHawes 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)60
82
Q4 - 10:12CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup60
80
Q4 - 10:36MIARichardson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T13)60
80
Q4 - 10:47CHAZeller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)60
80
Q4 - 10:59CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
78
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
78
Q4 - 11:16CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)60
78
Q4 - 11:36MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)60
75
Q4 - 11:45CHAWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wright)58
75
Q4 - 12:0058
75
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA58
75
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound58
75
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 57' 3PT Jump Shot58
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Deng FOR Dragic57
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound57
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 257
75
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAWalker S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wright)57
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
75
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot57
75
Q3 - 0:20.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
75
Q3 - 0:20.0CHASUB: Williams FOR Lee57
74
Q3 - 0:20.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
74
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAStoudemire S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wright)57
73
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)57
73
Q3 - 0:33.0CHALee S.FOUL (P3.PN) (S.Wright)56
73
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
73
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAKaminsky 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
73
Q3 - 1:04MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
71
Q3 - 1:04MIAHeat Rebound53
71
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 253
71
Q3 - 1:04CHALin S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Williams)53
71
Q3 - 1:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
71
Q3 - 1:07CHAMISS Lin 3' Layup53
71
Q3 - 1:19MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)53
71
Q3 - 1:31CHAZeller Personal Block Foul (P3.T2) (M.Callahan)53
71
Q3 - 1:38CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
71
Q3 - 1:38CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
70
Q3 - 1:38MIARichardson L.B.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Callahan)53
69
Q3 - 1:38CHAHORNETS Rebound53
69
Q3 - 1:38CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup53
69
Q3 - 1:50MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)53
69
Q3 - 1:53MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
69
Q3 - 1:54CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup53
69
Q3 - 2:01MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Whiteside53
69
Q3 - 2:01MIASUB: Wade FOR Johnson53
69
Q3 - 2:01MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P4.T4) (S.Wright)53
69
Q3 - 2:01CHAHORNETS Rebound53
69
Q3 - 2:01CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
69
Q3 - 2:09CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
69
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
69
Q3 - 2:26CHAKaminsky 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Lin 3 AST)53
69
Q3 - 2:41CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
67
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup53
67
Q3 - 3:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
67
Q3 - 3:03CHAMISS Lin 8' Fadeaway Jumper53
67
Q3 - 3:14CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
67
Q3 - 3:16MIAMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot53
67
Q3 - 3:31CHALee P.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Callahan)53
67
Q3 - 3:38MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)53
67
Q3 - 3:46CHALin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)53
67
Q3 - 3:52CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
64
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
64
Q3 - 4:12CHAKaminsky 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
64
Q3 - 4:28CHASUB: Lee FOR Williams53
62
Q3 - 4:28MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T10)53
62
Q3 - 4:28MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P3) (S.Wright)53
62
Q3 - 4:37CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
62
Q3 - 4:37CHASUB: Zeller FOR Jefferson53
61
Q3 - 4:37MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T3) (M.Callahan)53
61
Q3 - 4:37CHAKaminsky 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)53
61
Q3 - 4:51CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
59
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
59
Q3 - 5:14CHASUB: Lin FOR Lee53
59
Q3 - 5:14MIASUB: Winslow FOR Wade53
59
Q3 - 5:14MIASUB: Richardson FOR Deng53
59
Q3 - 5:14MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)53
59
Q3 - 5:14CHALee 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
59
Q3 - 5:14CHALee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
57
Q3 - 5:16CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup53
57
Q3 - 5:21CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
57
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot53
57
Q3 - 5:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
57
Q3 - 5:46CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot53
57
Q3 - 6:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
57
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Deng 3' Layup53
57
Q3 - 6:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)53
57
Q3 - 6:10CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
57
Q3 - 6:28CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
57
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
57
Q3 - 6:57CHAWalker 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)53
57
Q3 - 7:03CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
55
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot53
55
Q3 - 7:20CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
55
Q3 - 7:20CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
54
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T2) (J.Williams)53
53
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)53
53
Q3 - 8:06CHAKaminsky 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
53
Q3 - 8:24MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)51
51
Q3 - 8:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)49
51
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup49
51
Q3 - 8:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
51
Q3 - 8:44CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup49
51
Q3 - 8:53CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
51
Q3 - 9:03MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
51
Q3 - 9:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
51
Q3 - 9:17CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot47
51
Q3 - 9:46MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)47
51
Q3 - 9:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
51
Q3 - 9:53CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 10:11CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
51
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 10:20MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
51
Q3 - 10:22CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
51
Q3 - 10:22CHAMISS Jefferson Dunk44
51
Q3 - 10:24CHAMISS Walker 3' Driving Layup44
51
Q3 - 10:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
51
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Driving Hook Shot44
51
Q3 - 11:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
51
Q3 - 11:01CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 11:10MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)44
51
Q3 - 11:23CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
51
Q3 - 11:23CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
50
Q3 - 11:23MIADeng S.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Williams)44
49
Q3 - 11:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
49
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
49
Q3 - 11:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
49
Q3 - 11:42CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot44
49
Q3 - 12:0044
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound44
49
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot44
49
Q2 - 0:10.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
49
Q2 - 0:13.0CHAMISS Lin 17' Step Back Jump Shot44
49
Q2 - 0:33.0CHASUB: Lin FOR Kaminsky44
49
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)44
49
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Rebound44
49
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Winslow 31' 3PT Jump Shot44
49
Q2 - 0:57.0CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)44
49
Q2 - 1:08MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
46
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Deng FOR Wade43
46
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Whiteside43
46
Q2 - 1:08MIAHeat Rebound43
46
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 243
46
Q2 - 1:08CHAKaminsky S.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wright)43
46
Q2 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
46
Q2 - 1:24CHAMISS Lee 28' 3PT Jump Shot43
46
Q2 - 1:48CHAHORNETS Rebound43
46
Q2 - 1:48MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)43
46
Q2 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
46
Q2 - 1:52MIAKaminsky BLOCK (1 BLK)43
46
Q2 - 2:10CHAZeller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 2:21MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Wright)43
44
Q2 - 2:32MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
44
Q2 - 2:32MIAHeat Rebound42
44
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 242
44
Q2 - 2:32CHASUB: Lee FOR Lin42
44
Q2 - 2:32CHASUB: Zeller FOR Jefferson42
44
Q2 - 2:32CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
44
Q2 - 2:32CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wright)42
44
Q2 - 2:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
44
Q2 - 2:45CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
44
Q2 - 2:55CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
44
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
44
Q2 - 3:18MIAHeat Rebound42
44
Q2 - 3:19CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup42
44
Q2 - 3:41MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)42
44
Q2 - 3:45MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
44
Q2 - 3:46CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Layup40
44
Q2 - 4:06CHASUB: Williams FOR Lee40
44
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T2) (S.Wright)40
44
Q2 - 4:12CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
44
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
44
Q2 - 4:34CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
44
Q2 - 4:34CHAJefferson 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)40
44
Q2 - 4:36CHAMISS Lee 2' Layup40
42
Q2 - 5:00MIAWinslow 3' Layup (2 PTS)40
42
Q2 - 5:15MIASUB: Johnson FOR Deng38
42
Q2 - 5:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
42
Q2 - 5:15CHAWalker 14' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 5:33MIARichardson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)38
40
Q2 - 5:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
40
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 5:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
40
Q2 - 5:49MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)36
40
Q2 - 6:12CHAJefferson 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)36
40
Q2 - 6:36MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T7)36
38
Q2 - 6:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
38
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
38
Q2 - 6:53CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Hawes36
38
Q2 - 6:53CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Zeller36
38
Q2 - 6:53CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P2.T2)36
38
Q2 - 6:53CHAZeller OFF.Foul (P2) (J.Williams)36
38
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
38
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
38
Q2 - 7:05CHAZeller S.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Callahan)34
38
Q2 - 7:10CHASUB: Walker FOR Williams34
38
Q2 - 7:10MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Stoudemire34
38
Q2 - 7:10MIAHeat Rebound34
38
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
38
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup34
38
Q2 - 7:11MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)34
38
Q2 - 7:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
38
Q2 - 7:18CHAMISS Lin 3' Layup34
38
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
38
Q2 - 7:39CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 7:39MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic32
37
Q2 - 7:39CHAHORNETS Rebound32
37
Q2 - 7:39CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 1 of 232
37
Q2 - 7:39MIADragic S.FOUL (P3.T1) (M.Callahan)32
37
Q2 - 7:56MIAStoudemire Foul Turnover (P2.T6)32
37
Q2 - 7:56MIAStoudemire OFF.Foul (P1) (S.Wright)32
37
Q2 - 8:03CHALin 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)32
37
Q2 - 8:13CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
35
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 8:27CHALin 6' Driving Bank Shot (10 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 8:5032
33
Q2 - 8:50CHAHORNETS Rebound32
33
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 9:02CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)32
33
Q2 - 9:07CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
33
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 9:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
33
Q2 - 9:25CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 9:36MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)32
33
Q2 - 9:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33
Q2 - 9:42CHAMISS Lee 19' Step Back Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 10:01MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 10:01MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
33
Q2 - 10:01CHAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)30
33
Q2 - 10:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
33
Q2 - 10:07CHAMISS Lin 2' Layup30
33
Q2 - 10:21MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
33
Q2 - 10:31CHAWilliams Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)28
33
Q2 - 10:52MIAStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)28
31
Q2 - 11:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
31
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic 13' Floating Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 11:09MIAHeat Rebound28
31
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup28
31
Q2 - 11:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31
Q2 - 11:14CHAMISS Lin 5' Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 11:24CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
31
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
31
Q2 - 11:43CHALee 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)28
31
Q2 - 12:0028
29
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA28
29
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 9' Jump Shot28
29
Q1 - 0:06.0CHASUB: Williams FOR Lee28
29
Q1 - 0:06.0CHALee Personal Block Foul (P1.T4) (M.Callahan)28
29
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
29
Q1 - 0:22.0CHAMISS Lee 14' Pullup Jump Shot28
29
Q1 - 0:29.0CHALee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
29
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup28
29
Q1 - 0:48.0CHALee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
29
Q1 - 0:48.0CHASUB: Hawes FOR Kaminsky28
28
Q1 - 0:48.0MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Whiteside28
28
Q1 - 0:48.0CHALee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
28
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wright)28
27
Q1 - 0:53.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
27
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot28
27
Q1 - 1:10CHALin 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)28
27
Q1 - 1:17CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup28
25
Q1 - 1:42CHAZeller 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)28
25
Q1 - 1:53MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)28
23
Q1 - 1:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
23
Q1 - 2:00CHAMISS Zeller 7' Jump Shot28
23
Q1 - 2:22MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)28
23
Q1 - 2:38CHALin Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)26
23
Q1 - 2:38MIASUB: Deng FOR Wade26
22
Q1 - 2:38MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Callahan)26
22
Q1 - 2:38CHALin 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)26
22
Q1 - 2:51MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)26
20
Q1 - 3:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
20
Q1 - 3:02CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 3:17MIAJohnson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 3:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20
Q1 - 3:37CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 3:42CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 3:53CHASUB: Lee FOR Williams21
20
Q1 - 3:53MIASUB: Johnson FOR Deng21
20
Q1 - 3:53MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
20
Q1 - 3:55CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 3:55MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson21
19
Q1 - 3:55CHASUB: Zeller FOR Jefferson21
19
Q1 - 3:55CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Williams)21
18
Q1 - 4:09CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Deng 3' Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 4:36CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)21
18
Q1 - 4:50CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
15
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 221
15
Q1 - 4:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 4:52CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Wright)20
15
Q1 - 5:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
15
Q1 - 5:03CHALin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
15
Q1 - 5:03CHAMISS Lin 1' Layup20
15
Q1 - 5:05CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Hook Shot20
15
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
15
Q1 - 5:24CHALin S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)18
15
Q1 - 5:38CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
15
Q1 - 5:38CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 5:38MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic18
13
Q1 - 5:38CHASUB: Lin FOR Lee18
13
Q1 - 5:38CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
13
Q1 - 5:38MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wright)18
13
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)18
13
Q1 - 6:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13
Q1 - 6:09CHAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot16
13
Q1 - 6:33MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)16
13
Q1 - 6:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13
Q1 - 6:39CHAMISS Williams 1' Layup13
13
Q1 - 6:51MIADeng Foul Turnover (P2.T2)13
13
Q1 - 6:51MIADeng Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2) (S.Wright)13
13
Q1 - 7:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
13
Q1 - 7:12CHAJefferson Putback Dunk (6 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 7:14CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup13
11
Q1 - 7:24CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
11
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
11
Q1 - 7:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
11
Q1 - 7:42CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup13
11
Q1 - 8:10MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)13
11
Q1 - 8:30CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)10
11
Q1 - 8:46MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
9
Q1 - 9:09CHAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)8
9
Q1 - 9:32MIADragic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:43CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 9:43CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 9:43MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wright)6
4
Q1 - 9:45MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)6
4
Q1 - 10:02CHAJefferson 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:25MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 10:35CHAKaminsky P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Callahan)3
2
Q1 - 10:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Deng 8' Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:54CHAJefferson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)3
2
Q1 - 11:08CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 11:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 11:26CHAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 11:44MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
0
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Whiteside: Tip to Deng0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 41.2%
CHA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
23
30%
CHA
22
44
50%
Midrange
MIA
13
34
38%
CHA
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
CHA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
19
30
63%
CHA
21
22
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1968%9.5 / 14
D. Wade1740%8.5 / 21
H. Whiteside1354%6.5 / 12
G. Dragic1137%5.5 / 15
J. Johnson732%3.5 / 11
J. Winslow422%2.0 / 9
D. Wright467%2.0 / 3
G. Green3150%1.5 / 1
J. Richardson217%1.0 / 6
A. Stoudemire0-0.0 / 1
B. Weber0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lin1853%9.0 / 17
K. Walker1737%8.5 / 23
F. Kaminsky1554%7.5 / 14
M. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
C. Zeller1260%6.0 / 10
A. Jefferson1045%5.0 / 11
C. Lee833%4.0 / 12
S. Hawes250%1.0 / 2
T. Daniels2100%1.0 / 1
J. Lamb0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+17
-14
96
CHA
87
+13
-3
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.82 41.2%
CHA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
99.4
MIA 86.0
CHA 106.7 +20.6
Pace
90.2
90.9
MIA 95.8 +8.3
CHA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.3
MIA 15.0 −1.4
CHA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
43.2%
MIA 38.6%
CHA 41.7% +3.1%
TO %
13.2%
9.1%
MIA 14.0%
CHA 3.9% −10.1%
ORB %
23.0%
16.2%
MIA 24.0% +6.0%
CHA 18.0%
FTrt
26.4
30.9
MIA 38.0 +13.6
CHA 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
42.6%
MIA 48.1%
CHA 51.4% +3.3%
STL %
5.9%
6.3%
MIA 1.1%
CHA 5.6% +4.5%
BLK %
9.4%
5.4%
MIA 11.1% +4.1%
CHA 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
47.7%
MIA 41.2%
CHA 46.6% +5.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
46.9%
MIA 30.4%
CHA 50.0% +19.6%
Mid FG%
40.2%
37.2%
MIA 38.2% +9.6%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
35.8%
30.8%
MIA 31.8% +4.0%
CHA 27.8%
FT %
76.5%
83.9%
MIA 63.3%
CHA 95.5% +32.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
40.1%
MIA 29.1%
CHA 48.9% +19.8%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
36.8%
MIA 43.0%
CHA 31.1% −11.9%
3P Att. %
23.8%
23.1%
MIA 27.8% +7.8%
CHA 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points8096
Rebounds5347
Assists1318
Steals15
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)3 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (1)38 (2)
Field Goals27-7935-90
At-the-Rim FG7-2322-44
Midrange FG13-348-28
2-Point FG20-5730-72
3-Point FG7-225-18
Free Throws19-3021-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
35.7
7
32%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
34.9
19
68%
8
2
0
0
4
2
1
7
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
5-6
83%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
34.5
13
54%
18
0
0
4
1
5
4
14
7-11
64%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
32.9
17
40%
7
1
0
1
2
3
4
3
3-3
100%
7-20
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
28.6
11
37%
7
4
0
0
1
4
1
6
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
28.9
2
17%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
24.4
4
22%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
8.8
0
0%
1
0
1
2
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
2.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
2.5
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
41%
53
13
1
8
14
0
12
41
19-30
63%
20-57
35%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.