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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 29, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat
97
8Hornets
90
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.8
37
34
11
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.3
37
32
23
6
4
2
1
3
2
0
6
1-2
50%
8-18
7-16
44%
47%
2-2
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
36
35
21
4
2
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
32
29
14
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
6-15
5-9
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
28
30
12
7
0
0
1
4
2
3
4
2-3
67%
5-7
5-9
71%
58%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
26
31
6
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
17
23
6
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.9
15
3
2
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.3
8
4
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.2
5
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
6
0
1-2
53%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.0
5
0
0-1
48%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30.4
2
0
0-0
40%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.3
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.6
40
35
2
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.0
39
37
37
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
10-22
5-11
45%
44%
4-8
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.9
37
32
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.1
36
26
7
7
3
2
1
2
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.3
30
23
18
9
0
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-3
67%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
24
31
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
6-6
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.6
18
21
12
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
4-6
67%
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.4
15
28
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
1
0
0-0
48%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.5
1
0
0-0
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.5
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.6
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.3
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.