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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 16, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics
101
6Hawks
102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.2
37
30
27
3
8
1
1
1
3
1
2
7-9
78%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
4-10
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
33
29
14
10
4
0
1
0
2
1
9
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
2-7
29%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
33
30
18
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
3-3
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
1-7
14%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.0
22
22
4
8
1
0
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
19
19
9
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-13
3-7
23%
45%
1-1
100%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
34
30
10
8
5
1
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
29
28
15
5
2
2
1
1
1
3
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
3-6
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.1
17
18
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.0
12
19
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
8
0
1-3
48%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.1
4
0
0-1
38%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.8
0
0
0-0
38%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.7
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 27.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
37
32
24
12
2
0
1
2
2
5
7
7-8
88%
7-15
5-9
47%
53%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.2
37
33
14
7
3
1
2
3
0
2
5
1-1
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.8
36
29
23
4
12
1
1
0
2
1
3
9-11
82%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.8
34
23
23
8
0
1
1
2
0
0
8
8-10
80%
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.1
32
30
2
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-7
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
22
22
2
7
2
1
1
1
3
1
6
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.8
18
15
14
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
51%
2-4
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.6
11
19
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
8
16
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
4
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
35%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
9
0
1-2
47%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.1
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.3
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.