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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 19, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Celtics
72
6Hawks
89
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
35
31
2
7
3
4
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-4
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.2
30
33
16
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
7-8
88%
3-9
5-11
33%
44%
1-6
17%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
30
28
3
2
3
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
42%
1-6
17%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.0
21
22
14
8
0
0
1
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
57%
0-2
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
14
19
4
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
45%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
33
32
12
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
4-10
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.1
24
2
10
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
36%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.1
20
17
7
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
15
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
14
4
4
5
2
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
48%
0-0
-
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 27.4
1
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.0
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.2
34
35
4
7
1
0
2
4
5
0
7
2-2
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
49%
0-5
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.1
33
31
17
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
31
35
17
5
2
1
1
5
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
53%
3-4
75%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.8
29
29
5
9
4
2
1
0
0
0
9
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
49%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.9
27
33
13
1
6
2
1
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
21
22
12
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
3-5
60%
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.8
20
16
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
52%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.6
20
15
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
12
12
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
11
5
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.7
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
4
0
0-1
47%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.1
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.