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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 26, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Celtics35%9883
5Hawks65%103110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
31.1
36.6
15
64%
5
2
1
1
1
4
0
5
4-4
100%
4-8
5-12
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.2
29.3
36.5
7
26%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-3
33%
3-8
6-12
38%
45%
0-4
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
27.6
34.7
10
50%
3
1
0
2
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.2
23.9
28.1
6
61%
8
1
2
1
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.0
13.3
25.7
6
61%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.1
25.6
13.9
4
29%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
38%
0-3
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.1
24.5
34.3
10
52%
2
2
1
2
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.1
12.9
14.5
10
51%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
12.0
3.0
6
65%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
11.6
3.6
3
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.0
10.5
8.7
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.7
8.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.8
8.8
4
67%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.4
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.2
27.6
38.4
10
51%
8
6
1
2
1
2
3
5
1-4
25%
3-5
6-12
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.1
26.7
36.3
13
81%
2
1
5
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
24.0
34.6
6
25%
8
4
2
1
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
2-9
5-9
22%
53%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.8
23.2
34.0
16
57%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
4-8
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.9
22.1
30.9
16
59%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
4-9
4-10
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.8
21.7
17.3
17
90%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
52%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
19.7
17.7
6
61%
5
6
3
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
17.8
3.0
4
33%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.6
14.3
19.2
9
64%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
13.7
3.9
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.3
11.6
2
33%
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
8.8
1.0
8
67%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
45%
2-2
100%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.7
8.8
3
28%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 24.1
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.