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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 18, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets30%101106
3Warriors70%108115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.6
40.5
34.0
28
55%
2
11
0
1
1
5
0
2
13-15
87%
6-11
5-11
55%
46%
1-8
13%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.8
38.7
33.0
7
35%
5
1
2
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
35.5
29.0
12
68%
10
4
1
1
2
3
5
5
2-4
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.8
33.5
26.9
13
61%
7
2
0
1
2
0
1
6
6-6
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
1-1
100%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.6
15.4
13.7
7
31%
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1-3
33%
3-9
2-4
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.6
29.7
20.0
13
73%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.4
18.0
12.3
9
90%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
11.9
8.3
10
53%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-1
0%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.1
9.6
21.2
2
53%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
6.4
17.8
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
0.9
13.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-1
100%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.3
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
39.1
33.2
12
41%
14
8
2
1
1
0
4
10
4-6
67%
4-10
3-6
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
36.7
32.8
34
63%
3
5
1
1
0
4
1
2
15-16
94%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
3-8
38%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.9
33.0
32.0
6
26%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
50%
0-3
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.6
28.7
22.4
16
74%
2
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
7-9
3-5
78%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.4
27.1
17.5
10
73%
7
2
1
0
3
2
5
2
0-2
0%
5-6
2-3
83%
57%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
32.6
26.1
18
83%
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
4-6
67%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.4
13.0
15.3
6
60%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
12.9
4.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
10.9
12.6
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
3.4
10.7
4
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
2.5
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.6
3.5
0
0-1
49%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.3
1.7
0
0-1
53%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.